Inallseriousness wrote:Apart from number 4....what the hell has been in your coffee this morning?
McIntyre has 46 goals, 15 goals ahead of where Aloisi was at the same stage last season - needs another 54 goals from 11 games (plus finals) and will play ML, HD, SW again.
With the exception of last weekend, Houghton have been very competitive over the previous weeks, and are a far more difficult side to play when at home. Whilst they average the the same match points scored both home and away (63.3 to 63.7), they're a 6 goal better defensive side at home (concede 124.8 pts away, 90.7 pts home).
Salisbury West on the other hand struggle to kick goals in general, averaging 65.14 points per game. This figure is 77.7 points when playing at home and drops significantly by almost 4 goals on the road to 55.8 points. They concede an average of 83.5 points per game away from home.
Rain forecast during the week will make Houghton heavy, it'll nullify the runners that Westies do have, and play into the Raiders favour. Houghton if they get over the line have Mawson Lakes in two weeks time as well, that'll be win number 2 for the season. Westies have Lakes next week - could be their 2nd win also.
Round 17 could well be the deciding match between the two, and by then it may well come down to who has more "A Graders" available. Given Houghton are travelling reasonably well in the B grade, and Westies are struggling for numbers and depth, it's fair to presume that the Raiders could well be better positioned at that point in the season than the Tigers.
Point 3. Whilst the West Croydon top end talent is as good as any side in the division at the moment, their depth through the club into the B grade is one of the worst at the moment. They'd need to maintain their player fitness over the next 11 weeks and not expose their lack of depth to play finals - if they were to lose a couple out of Turner, Woodcock, Nicholls , Symons, Walsh, Curtis for an extended period, they would be hard pressed to fill those voids and would become very susceptible.
I think 10x wins is needed to play finals in D6.