Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby JK » Wed Oct 11, 2017 3:29 pm

Cracking field assembled for the Everest, looking forward to it .. Whats everyones tips?

Im going for:

She Will Reign, from Redkirk Warrior with Deploy 3rd, but there's so many chances. Value pick I reckon is Houtzen.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby gadj1976 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 7:24 pm

gadj1976 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:Our Donkey, Blazing Bullet runs again Wednesday at Gawler in race 3. No idea if will do any better than last start. I'll await instructions from Jolly.



Race 3 no 3, 9.50 currently on Ubet.


Apparently it needs 1400m.... FFS....
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 7:46 pm

gadj1976 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:Our Donkey, Blazing Bullet runs again Wednesday at Gawler in race 3. No idea if will do any better than last start. I'll await instructions from Jolly.



Race 3 no 3, 9.50 currently on Ubet.


Apparently it needs 1400m.... FFS....

Who said that??
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby gadj1976 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 9:20 pm

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:Our Donkey, Blazing Bullet runs again Wednesday at Gawler in race 3. No idea if will do any better than last start. I'll await instructions from Jolly.



Race 3 no 3, 9.50 currently on Ubet.


Apparently it needs 1400m.... FFS....

Who said that??


Jock or trainer or both. My other syndicate owners were at the races today.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 9:25 pm

gadj1976 wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:[quote="gadj1976"]Our Donkey, Blazing Bullet runs again Wednesday at Gawler in race 3. No idea if will do any better than last start. I'll await instructions from Jolly.



Race 3 no 3, 9.50 currently on Ubet.


Apparently it needs 1400m.... FFS....

Who said that??


Jock or trainer or both. My other syndicate owners were at the races today.[/quote]Both are clearly full of shit IMO.

I had the pleasure of watching your race today. You had a beautiful run sitting 1-1 and then when the leaders quickened unfortunately your boy couldn't.

If either the trainer/jock said that then the horse should've been ridden more aggressively from the start....



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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby LPH » Thu Oct 12, 2017 9:30 pm

14/10/2017 (Time Posted: 9:26pm Thursday, 12/10/17)

Last week was a shocker – only collect was the Place bet on Sully – on that run, I reckon he could win The Derby. He was the one finishing the race off the best. Currently $10 on Sportbet, $11 @ Ladbrokes – I’d want $13 & $4 to back it E/Way, but he’s my pick @ the minute for that race.
Anyway, we’ve got a big card this week to deal with first.

I’ll start with Sydney, because JK asked about The Everest.

Randwick – SR 8 The Everest

Can’t say I agree with the idea of a $10 million race for Sprinters in Australia but NSW seem to think that this will take some of the attention from The Melbourne Cup – yeah, right! Anyway, it’s another race to bet on at least.

Ball of Muscle leads (as always), with Houtzen outside it & Vega Magic coming over from an outside gate. Can’t fault She Will Reign – that run @ Mooney Valley was top class IMHO. The question is: Is Chautauqua the same horse he was? The pace on up front will suit him, but I wonder if he’s nearly had enough @ this level, now he’s a 7 yr old. He certainly hasn’t ‘set the world on fire’ this time in - $5.50 & $2.15???
Not for me – concede a Place Bet but don’t think he can win.

Vega Magic is a winner – must go in to all Multiples, but $4.80 is short enough.

I can’t believe that Fell Swoop is $61 & $16 the Place! I will have a PLACE ticket on it @ the price – has been placed @ the past 2 TJ Smith’s, beaten by Chautauqua & English in April.

I will be backing English in the race, 2 x 5 units @ the Powered $13.
Interesting Race, but not a $10 million one in my book.

Caulfield – MR 8 The Caulfield Guineas

Interestingly Hayes runs the filly Catchy here & not in the Thousand. That suggests they have a huge opinion of her & based on her previous runs, no surprise they go for the ‘bigger purse’ running in this race. That said, I have always believed that a ‘good colt will beat a good filly, more often than not’ & @ $4.50, I’m not prepared to back her.

I think the value runner is Salsamor – the Stutt run @ Mooney Valley was very good & at $6 the Place, I’ll have a bit on him running into ‘the money’. This race is traditionally known as the ‘Sires Race’ – so any Godolphin runner must be taken seriously. Sanctioned has ‘drawn the carpark’ so I expect it to go back. Kementari has to be given a chance on its previous run in the Prelude but @ $5.50 its too short for mine.

McEvoy said earlier in the week that if Royal Symphony runs well here, then he’ll go to the Cox Plate to take on Winx, with 49kgs. He’d want to run really well here to have any sort of show against ‘The Champ’.

The horse that gets the ‘gun run’ in the race is Gold Standard IMHO 8) . His run in the Stan Fox (1500m) was very good & I backed him in The Golden Rose, just missing out on 3rd Money. Difficult race, think I’ll stick with Gai, 2 x 5 Units with a 3 Units Place bet on Salsamor.

Trifectas: 6,7/ 6,7/ Field, 6,16/ 6,16/ Field, 7,16/ 7,16/ Field (2 x 2 x 14)

Caulfield – MR 9 The Toorak Handicap

So the ‘best loser’ in the Country goes around again. Tom Melbourne seems to find trouble EVERY race he’s in & from gate 15 here, he’s likely to do it again in this race! :roll:

Personally, I am a fan of the horse & it would not surprise me to see him win this race. The mile looks perfect for him but he has become a very costly proposition. I’ll put him in my Trifectas but that’s all.

I want to back the Mare here, I Am A Star.
She has a great record @ the distance. The wide gate is a concern but I’m hoping Melham can get her 1 off & a trail behind something like Jacquinot Bay or even Tom Melbourne. At the $17 Boosted on Ladbrokes & $4.25, she’ll do me 1 x 4 Units. Concede a winning chance to Egg Tart.

Trifectas: 4, 6/ 4,6/ Field, 4,9/ 4,9/ Field, 6,9/ 6,9/ Field

Caulfield – MR 7 The Caulfield Stakes

I have to be honest, I thought Hartnell was going to the Caulfield Cup but that appears unlikely – ATM he’s $21 for that race but I heard a whisper that he’s not going there next week. To be fair, he’s probably a better Mile & a Quarter horse than the extra 2 furlongs, so I understand the thinking. That said, he ran 3rd in The Melbourne Cup last year, so perhaps Cummings has that race in mind? BUT he does have to carry 57.5kgs in that race (58kgs in CC if he runs), so I can’t back him in the ‘Big One’ – Caulfield Cup, different story.

He’s clearly the one to beat in THIS race but $3.30, not for me. Good to see the International Runners going around here before the Cups – that’s how it should be IMHO, I’ve been ‘banging on’ about that for years now! I’m prepared to back the Aiden O’Brien runner The Taj Mahal @ the price. Oliver in the seat suggests it’s a good horse & this is clearly a ‘lead up’ run for the Cox Plate. We won’t get this sort of price again this Spring, so 3 x 7 Units is a good bet @ the Powered $18 & $4.20 the Place.

What a great day’s racing in store.
Good Luck Lads, enjoy the day on the Punt! :D
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Oct 12, 2017 9:59 pm

Heard there was a couple of decent bets on Houtzen top 5 $4.70 ubet
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby JK » Fri Oct 13, 2017 1:26 am

Good write-up as always mate. I won't be backing it, but wouldn't be upset to see the Grey Flash take out the Everest. There's a growing school of thought among a LOT of punters that Tommy Berry gets more out of him than any other jock. Be interesting to see what Avdulla can do. On the race itself, despite the cracking local lineup, I'm not sure it's worth $10mil yet - think they will be hoping for a greater international presence in the future, but gotta start somewhere I guess.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Oct 13, 2017 7:43 am

Did anyone see The Hotham yesterday??

The $50k maiden at Ballarat
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Oct 13, 2017 9:43 am

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Did anyone see The Hotham yesterday??

The $50k maiden at Ballarat

Yeah, I went to the pub to watch it.
Right in front of me. RIGHT IN FRONT OF ME!
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Mr Beefy » Fri Oct 13, 2017 10:54 am

OnSong wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Did anyone see The Hotham yesterday??

The $50k maiden at Ballarat

Yeah, I went to the pub to watch it.
When is the SAJC going to have The Lofty?

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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Oct 13, 2017 1:59 pm

After some thought

Ive taken Big Duke in Sydney and also had a nibble at it for caulfield cup and melbourne cup plus the doubles.
Done the same with Aloft at Caulfield. Poorly ridden last start. Is an on pace runner and will be in the firing line for a long way.

Aloft is $3.90
Big Duke $2.60
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Oct 13, 2017 9:57 pm

I'm on Redzel in the Everest.

No other reason than I like the name. $$$
Right in front of me. RIGHT IN FRONT OF ME!
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby JK » Sat Oct 14, 2017 6:51 am

OnSong wrote:I'm on Redzel in the Everest.

No other reason than I like the name. $$$


Fair choice, massive chance
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Oct 14, 2017 7:49 am

Small whisper for MR1-8. Opened $31 into $21
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Oct 14, 2017 11:56 am

4th
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Sat Oct 14, 2017 3:07 pm

Aloft looks like it went amiss on its near side i think

Big Duke did it comfortably and now $21 for Melb Cup
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Brodlach » Sat Oct 14, 2017 3:48 pm

OnSong wrote:I'm on Redzel in the Everest.

No other reason than I like the name. $$$

I bet you like the name even more now
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Sat Oct 14, 2017 3:55 pm

Yeah incredible. Was a bit miffed when it was up the front but heck, great ride. Was just waiting for Chautauqua to mow it down.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Sun Oct 15, 2017 12:33 pm

Coome - who came to fame by getting Craiglea Jabiru a beaten short privmce fav of numerous occassions has retired. He shoukd take Jabber with him
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