2018 AFL Ladder predictions

[daysofourlives]

And then I'll *try* and understand that not everything has to be analysed.

Urgh.

and this concludes The Bedge's therapy session for today.. well done all, I think we have made some really positive progress!

See, when it comes to understanding humans and in particular how to pass on knowledge... I have a lot of development to do

Just ask the missus!

"It's not just how you say it, but when!". Apparently.

I think my nature on here is perhaps related to me being in tune with this shit in real life.

Ragging on plebs, sorry, posters, on safooty is my outlet, in other words.

that you Sheldon?

[MW]

what did daisy call me?

an oversized self beater

And I missed it!

[Lightning McQueen]

what did daisy call me?

Didn't he call you Massive Wanker?

[morell]

And then I'll *try* and understand that not everything has to be analysed.

Urgh.

and this concludes The Bedge's therapy session for today.. well done all, I think we have made some really positive progress!

See, when it comes to understanding humans and in particular how to pass on knowledge... I have a lot of development to do

Just ask the missus!

"It's not just how you say it, but when!". Apparently.

I think my nature on here is perhaps related to me being in tune with this shit in real life.

Ragging on plebs, sorry, posters, on safooty is my outlet, in other words.

that you Sheldon?

Not dissimilar and that correlation has been made before.

Do you reckon I'd tap old Gertrude on the shoulder after she bellows "just bloody kick it" and point out to her that in fact, they're switching the ball to the other side to get around the press and that she really should study up on the finer details before commenting?

No. Of course I wouldn't.

But I would roll my eyes and subtly smirk at my mate next to me.

[morell]

But enough about me and more about how terrible all your predictions are.

Don't you know that a team from the bottom 8 finishes in the top 4 the next year at some sort of scary rate?

[MW]

what did daisy call me?

Didn't he call you Massive Wanker?

Someone has on here before I give you the hot tip

[Lightning McQueen]

Someone has on here before I give you the hot tip

I thought it was clever for a school kid.

[Booney]

But enough about me and more about how terrible all your predictions are.

Don't you know that a team from the bottom 8 finishes in the top 4 the next year at some sort of scary rate?

Prove it.

( **** every one )

[woodublieve12]

[The Bedge]

2016/17 - Richmond (13th to 3rd)
2015/16 - Geelong (10th to 2nd)
2014/15 - West Coast (9th to 2nd)
2013/14 - Same top 4 both years
2012/13 - Fremantle (7th to 3rd) not bottom 8 but close lol
2011/12 - Adelaide (14th to 2nd)
2010/11 - West Coast (16th to 4th)

[Lightning McQueen]

2016/17 - Richmond (13th to 3rd)
2015/16 - Geelong (10th to 2nd)
2014/15 - West Coast (9th to 2nd)
2013/14 - Same top 4 both years
2012/13 - Fremantle (7th to 3rd) not bottom 8 but close lol
2011/12 - Adelaide (14th to 2nd)
2010/11 - West Coast (16th to 4th)

#morellsbitch

[Lightning McQueen]

Who will be the bolter:
9 Melbourne 48
10 Western Bulldogs 44
11 St Kilda 44
12 Hawthorn 42
13 Collingwood 38
14 Fremantle 32
15 North Melbourne 24
16 Carlton 24
17 Gold Coast 24
18 Brisbane 20

[Lightning McQueen]

Who will be the bolter:
9 Melbourne 48
10 Western Bulldogs 44
11 St Kilda 44
12 Hawthorn 42
13 Collingwood 38
14 Fremantle 32
15 North Melbourne 24
16 Carlton 24
17 Gold Coast 24
18 Brisbane 20

@morell?

[Booney]

Who will be the bolter:
9 Melbourne 48
10 Western Bulldogs 44
11 St Kilda 44
12 Hawthorn 42
13 Collingwood 38
14 Fremantle 32
15 North Melbourne 24
16 Carlton 24
17 Gold Coast 24
18 Brisbane 20

Dogs for mine.

[Lightning McQueen]

Who will be the bolter:
9 Melbourne 48
10 Western Bulldogs 44
11 St Kilda 44
12 Hawthorn 42
13 Collingwood 38
14 Fremantle 32
15 North Melbourne 24
16 Carlton 24
17 Gold Coast 24
18 Brisbane 20

Dogs for mine.

Seems to be the general consensus on here, recovered from the hangover.

[am Bays]

Don't you know that a team from the bottom 8 finishes in the top 4 the next year at some sort of scary rate?

Who will be the bolter:
9 Melbourne 48
10 Western Bulldogs 44
11 St Kilda 44
12 Hawthorn 42
13 Collingwood 38
14 Fremantle 32
15 North Melbourne 24
16 Carlton 24
17 Gold Coast 24
18 Brisbane 20

That's not the bottom eight, that's the bottom 10.

#stats

[Trader]

Don't you know that a team from the bottom 8 finishes in the top 4 the next year at some sort of scary rate?

2016/17 - Richmond (13th to 3rd)
2015/16 - Geelong (10th to 2nd)
2014/15 - West Coast (9th to 2nd)
2013/14 - Same top 4 both years
2012/13 - Fremantle (7th to 3rd) not bottom 8 but close lol
2011/12 - Adelaide (14th to 2nd)
2010/11 - West Coast (16th to 4th)

So it's happened 3 times over the last half decade? (Hopefully that is an acceptable timeframe morell?)

Or to put it another way, 3 of the 50 teams outside the 8 have done it over the last half decade.
Therefore, to try and predict the 6% side over the 94% of sides that don't do it would be going out on a limb.
The statistician stays with the 94% chance.

#stats

[Lightning McQueen]

Don't you know that a team from the bottom 8 finishes in the top 4 the next year at some sort of scary rate?

Who will be the bolter:
9 Melbourne 48
10 Western Bulldogs 44
11 St Kilda 44
12 Hawthorn 42
13 Collingwood 38
14 Fremantle 32
15 North Melbourne 24
16 Carlton 24
17 Gold Coast 24
18 Brisbane 20

That's not the bottom eight, that's the bottom 10.

#stats

Plus GST.

[Lightning McQueen]

Don't you know that a team from the bottom 8 finishes in the top 4 the next year at some sort of scary rate?

2016/17 - Richmond (13th to 3rd)
2015/16 - Geelong (10th to 2nd)
2014/15 - West Coast (9th to 2nd)
2013/14 - Same top 4 both years
2012/13 - Fremantle (7th to 3rd) not bottom 8 but close lol
2011/12 - Adelaide (14th to 2nd)
2010/11 - West Coast (16th to 4th)

So it's happened 3 times over the last half decade? (Hopefully that is an acceptable timeframe morell?)

Or to put it another way, 3 of the 50 teams outside the 8 have done it over the last half decade.
Therefore, to try and predict the 6% side over the 94% of sides that don't do it would be going out on a limb.
The statistician stays with the 94% chance.

#stats

60%

[Trader]

Don't you know that a team from the bottom 8 finishes in the top 4 the next year at some sort of scary rate?

2016/17 - Richmond (13th to 3rd)
2015/16 - Geelong (10th to 2nd)
2014/15 - West Coast (9th to 2nd)
2013/14 - Same top 4 both years
2012/13 - Fremantle (7th to 3rd) not bottom 8 but close lol
2011/12 - Adelaide (14th to 2nd)
2010/11 - West Coast (16th to 4th)

So it's happened 3 times over the last half decade? (Hopefully that is an acceptable timeframe morell?)

Or to put it another way, 3 of the 50 teams outside the 8 have done it over the last half decade.
Therefore, to try and predict the 6% side over the 94% of sides that don't do it would be going out on a limb.
The statistician stays with the 94% chance.

#stats

60%

It happens 60% of the time.
But only 1 of the 10 teams has done it.
So to predict the specific team that will do it this year is 6%.