Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Dec 07, 2018 12:02 pm

Bum Crack wrote:How much is it for 25% of quaddie if I box 4 horses each leg? Is it around $140.00?

https://www.tabinfo.com.au/betcalculator/index.asp?bt=0

This is pretty handy for all that stuff too.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby helicopterking » Fri Dec 07, 2018 2:14 pm

twe wrote:
helicopterking wrote:My horse Shinar Ballina Race 3 #8.
Won’t be be going around at 121s again, but looking at around 14/1.

Good luck bud looks an even field the gate may kill u ... Having said that have had a 1/3 investment !


Can someone tell the jockey it’s not a 1000m race.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Dec 07, 2018 2:22 pm

helicopterking wrote:
twe wrote:
helicopterking wrote:My horse Shinar Ballina Race 3 #8.
Won’t be be going around at 121s again, but looking at around 14/1.

Good luck bud looks an even field the gate may kill u ... Having said that have had a 1/3 investment !


Can someone tell the jockey it’s not a 1000m race.

Clever as it will inflate its price next time.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Booney » Sat Dec 08, 2018 6:15 am

Spargo wrote:
Booney wrote:
5 (leg 1) x 5 (leg 2) = 25 x 5 (leg 3) = 125 x 5 (leg 4) = $625 for a full unit

6 (leg 1) x 6 (leg 2) = 36 x 6 (leg 3) = 216 x 6 (leg 4) = $1296 for a full unit


We established that two & a half hours ago, get back to the boozey cricket watching ;)


Show your workings or GTFO. ;)
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Spargo » Sat Dec 08, 2018 11:29 am

A couple I like at each way prices today;
SR 3 # 6
BR 4 # 14
2017 safooty NFL tipping champ

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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby gadj1976 » Sat Dec 08, 2018 7:35 pm

NOT going to be happy if the fourth leg gets up here.

I need EVERY collect I can get.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby gadj1976 » Sat Dec 08, 2018 8:23 pm

gadj1976 wrote:NOT going to be happy if the fourth leg gets up here.

I need EVERY collect I can get.


Phew.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Mon Dec 10, 2018 3:24 pm

Balaklava Wednesday - Good 4

Ahhhhh, back on the home deck and it looks a bloody picture. So it should after three months of no racing.

Recent McEvoy Mitchell stable trial here last Monday indicated even ground, so we might see some bloody backmarkers making some ground for once. Then again, we might not. I've been stung doing form for even tracks that end up favouring leaders, so that's a massive factor given how Balak played on Sep 12.

I've got a lot of the McEvoy runners on top. Like I said, they brought a fleet of runners over for trials seven days ago, so the camp knows where they'll want their horses to be in transit. I think that has to be an advantage.

R1) 2200m BM64 - Small field, so I'll comment on all runners.

3) Aali Mia - Made up excellent ground late when second up from a spell over the 2100m last week. A repeat performance in a smaller field will go close.
2) Connemara Rose - Going back previous preps, seems to put in a beauty 4th up, which it is here, so think it will reverse the recent form.
1) Barshonti - Can see it pressing forward and should run top 3 in this field.
4) Conquer The Moment - Think it has probably peaked looking at the way it faded last run after getting a box seat run.
5) Casiraghi - Harking back to April, it ran a close up 0.4L 3rd behind Connemara Rose over this track and trip. Has not looked like winning since and back in the Grant Young stable in recent weeks. Would be a huge turnaround to run top 3.

R2) 1000m Maiden - Another small field

4) Factual - First up after 26 weeks, wasn't far away when last first up in a metro maiden. Won a trial going into this. Barrier 5 maybe the only knock.
1) A Thousand Degrees - 900m not far enough, 1200m too far. This is its distance. Hoping it lobs third on the rail, on the speed.
5) Our Benevento - Another trial winner first up, with good previous maiden form, but at regional meets. Also does its best work late.
1) Regina Margherita - Probably gets shuffled three back on the rail, outside place hope from there.

Wary of 2) Almandram, 14 starts with no placings but first up after 49 weeks from the respected Balfour stable. Will watch it go around.

R3) 1200m Maiden

7) Far Afield - First starter for McEvoy stable but coasted in a recent trial win. Think this trip suits.
2) Cover Girl - Has been there or thereabouts this prep, honest from wide barriers but gets 1 this week. Each way hope.
6) Equichoi - Speed maps have it lobbing in the front few and has the best closing speed of the field. Only considering it because of J Maund.
9) Lomachenko - 1200m seems to be its go, expect it to lead but may be labouring late to keep a few of these out. If bias is present, will be hard to catch.

Not keen but interested to see how 5) Zucchini goes, showing good improvement to finish third in a trial behind Factual and Black Hat. Still 2L away but on the improve.

R4) 1200m BM56

2) Fortify - Been consistent this prep for the Balfour stable, Logan goes on board to claim 3kg off the big weight. Looking for $5 for it.
3) Ogunde - Drawn to find the front and down in grade, if the on-speed runners are winning, the 10-year-old may well be fighting out the finish.
4) Let's Tango - 50/50 for placing here at this distance. Don't rate the win at Clare last start but respect overall record.
1) Bwuva - Recent win was impressive but huge weight swing of 5.5kg probably makes things tough.

Giving 6) Hinchin Miss a sneaky chance first up with the 3kg weight claim of Lo.

R5) 1400m Maiden

1) Ethical Dilemma - Maps well here and longer straight, good barrier draw, should be in the finish.
2) Hidden Agenda - Putting faith in the McEvoy stable. Not sure it showed much in trials but Pannell takes the ride. Expecting improvement.
3) Smart Alick - Got within 3L of Left Hand Man and Kenyan Wonder a few starts back before drawing the car park. Draws better in an easier grade.
5) Super - Honest fourth last start, if we're getting $20+ it's worth a small EW ticket.

Watching 9) Kiss Me Charli, first starter from Stokes stable after two very average trials.

R6) 1400m Maiden - Yes, another one, and not completely sure how this will unfold.

2) Black Hat - First up after a spell, its two trials have been more than solid. Watch for form around Factual in R2.
5) Gourmelin - Change of jockey with Tourneur taking the ride. 3rd up now, fitter. Still not confident.
1) Brybek - Maybe it had more to give after turning last in recent 1200m run.
7) Indian Mo - Loves to lead and then fades more often than not. Got it here pending how the track plays. If leaders are winning, it's in with a show.

I really want to like 8 Out Of Kilter for the Lloyd Kennewell stable. Probably needs this run but one to watch.

R7) 1400m BM60

5) Light The Waves - Broke its maiden here earlier this year, two recent trials have been good against winning horses.
1) Polar Vortex - Loved its run last start with Toeroek doing his best from tough gate. Will be closer in a small field. More weight the query.
4) Triple Spec - Good overall record but first up run leaves some question marks.
7) Staghorn - Did ok to jag fourth from barrier 10 last start against some decent company.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Booney » Wed Dec 12, 2018 8:05 am

I'm out "seeing clients" most of the day today and it just so happens one or more of them will be interested in watching some of these so I'll be following with interest. ;) :D
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Wed Dec 12, 2018 9:02 am

Finding the short prices of Super and Out Of Kilter hard to believe.

Guess I’ll look silly if they win but had them marked well and truly longer than their current quote.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby carey » Wed Dec 12, 2018 10:25 am

I've been giving 'Tips' at Balaklava today and you've picked neither of them :lol:
you've gota keep on keep'n on .........
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Wed Dec 12, 2018 10:39 am

carey wrote:I've been giving 'Tips' at Balaklava today and you've picked neither of them :lol:

Don’t hold back.

My tips are based on form and speed maps. I think the best tips are more so insider knowledge.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby carey » Wed Dec 12, 2018 10:47 am

OnSong wrote:
carey wrote:I've been giving 'Tips' at Balaklava today and you've picked neither of them :lol:

Don’t hold back.

My tips are based on form and speed maps. I think the best tips are more so insider knowledge.



Super and Cobbers Mate
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Mythical Creature » Wed Dec 12, 2018 10:50 am

Whats your best of the day onsong. Ill hit it hard with ten bucks!
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Wed Dec 12, 2018 11:18 am

Mythical Creature wrote:Whats your best of the day onsong. Ill hit it hard with ten bucks!

I'd happily go $5EW on 2 Cover Girl in Race 3. As long as we're getting more than $2 the place.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Wed Dec 12, 2018 11:32 am

carey wrote:
OnSong wrote:
carey wrote:I've been giving 'Tips' at Balaklava today and you've picked neither of them :lol:

Don’t hold back.

My tips are based on form and speed maps. I think the best tips are more so insider knowledge.



Super and Cobbers Mate

Yeah, I didn't mind Super as an EW shot but it's favourite in the market. Up in trip, whereas A Thousand Degrees has gone back in trip. They came out of the same race. Would rather have some money on Smart Alick, which has been running Metro grade races against the likes of Kenyan Wonder, Behemoth and Left Hand Man (ayo). So there's some question marks there for me. Respect there's money for it.

I do love Ryan Balfour but I found Cobber's Mate hard to have after its very average trial on November 22 (10L 4th of 6), coming from Barrier 8 today. Call Me Crackers, which won that trial, won at Port Lincoln on Sunday.

You can analyse all you like though, always interesting to see how it unfolds today. Good luck.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Mythical Creature » Wed Dec 12, 2018 11:33 am

Value for your best. I like it.
You might need to go harder than 5 ew to pay your recent bills! ;)
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Wed Dec 12, 2018 11:40 am

Or not punt at all...
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby MW » Wed Dec 12, 2018 11:45 am

OnSong wrote:Finding the short prices of Super and Out Of Kilter hard to believe.

Guess I’ll look silly if they win but had them marked well and truly longer than their current quote.


I've got a connection to Out of Kilter. Trainer reckons good each way.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Wed Dec 12, 2018 11:54 am

MW wrote:
OnSong wrote:Finding the short prices of Super and Out Of Kilter hard to believe.

Guess I’ll look silly if they win but had them marked well and truly longer than their current quote.


I've got a connection to Out of Kilter. Trainer reckons good each way.

Yeah, toughest race of the day I thought. Wasn't far off them in previous prep, certainly money for it too. Can't entertain $3.60. Would want double that.
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