Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Dec 13, 2018 4:08 pm

OnSong wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:
OnSong wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:I wonder if Adam McGrath will get another invite to a xmas party this year following his efforts last year and his black eye..

Did you dot him?
Nah not me.

Did he deserve it? [emoji38]
Yes

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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Dec 13, 2018 4:10 pm

Form analysis on horses is hard, especially when races are being run 'according to plan'

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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby carey » Thu Dec 13, 2018 8:01 pm

If there was an easy formula to pick winner I’d never work a day in my life!

It’s gambling for reason, no proven method of picking winners it’s all a matter of opinion and a shit load of luck.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:04 pm

carey wrote:If there was an easy formula to pick winner I’d never work a day in my life!

It’s gambling for reason, no proven method of picking winners it’s all a matter of opinion and a shit load of luck.

Haha, I don't disagree. I just think I can make better decisions if I'm doing the right sort of homework.
You can go through life pissing cash against the wall, I've decided after 13 years of betting that I should be better at it than I am.

Surely you have to get a bit of a feel for this analysis thing after a while doing it? I don't feel like I'm far away.
I did the form before the prices come up, then the markets yesterday largely mirrored my own analysis, barring two runners I had as longer shots that jumped as faves or nearly faves, and then won. :lol:
If I'm getting the markets about right, that's when you find the value? Is that right?

Corporates refuse to let people punt with them because they win. Surely that's not because of luck?
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:12 pm

Yep if you are confident in your markets, bet accordingly to any "overs" that exist
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 7:56 am

Lightning McQueen wrote:Thursday quaddies:

Warnambool:
8,9,10
9,10,11,12,13
5,3,8,14
7,8,12,13

Coffs Harbour:
6,7,11
4,7,10,16
8,11,12
7,11,14

Did anyone see this leg? Went to a photo, looked like a dead heat, awarded to the outside, number 3, got the first 3 legs, the first two at decent odds FFS
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Dec 14, 2018 8:49 am

Gee, the photo is inconclusive but I’m sure they got a decent closeup lol.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:11 am

OnSong wrote:Gee, the photo is inconclusive but I’m sure they got a decent closeup lol.

Pricks, the number 3 certainly ran home well, I thought the 7 found just enough live, only had 9% but at a tad under $4K it would've been quite handy.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:15 am

Lightning McQueen wrote:
OnSong wrote:Gee, the photo is inconclusive but I’m sure they got a decent closeup lol.

Pricks, the number 3 certainly ran home well, I thought the 7 found just enough live, only had 9% but at a tad under $4K it would've been quite handy.

Would have paid a bit over $2k if the 7 won, FWIW haha
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:17 am

Another example of high numbered roughies getting up in the last at regionals, Coffs Harbour yesterday.

If you ever see Jason Whiting on something late in a regional meet in WA that is as rough as a poorly shaved clam , get on it.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby carey » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:18 am

OnSong wrote:
carey wrote:If there was an easy formula to pick winner I’d never work a day in my life!

It’s gambling for reason, no proven method of picking winners it’s all a matter of opinion and a shit load of luck.

Haha, I don't disagree. I just think I can make better decisions if I'm doing the right sort of homework.
You can go through life pissing cash against the wall, I've decided after 13 years of betting that I should be better at it than I am.

Surely you have to get a bit of a feel for this analysis thing after a while doing it? I don't feel like I'm far away.
I did the form before the prices come up, then the markets yesterday largely mirrored my own analysis, barring two runners I had as longer shots that jumped as faves or nearly faves, and then won. :lol:
If I'm getting the markets about right, that's when you find the value? Is that right?

Corporates refuse to let people punt with them because they win. Surely that's not because of luck?


Spot on mate I do exactly the same. that way you cant be swayed by someone else's money.
you've gota keep on keep'n on .........
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:19 am

OnSong wrote:Would have paid a bit over $2k if the 7 won, FWIW haha

I just found the way to access that, one big tick for ubet over sportsbet, I hope when they switch back to TAB not much changes, except my luck.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:20 am

carey wrote:
Spot on mate I do exactly the same. that way you cant be swayed by someone else's money.

Yep, that f***s me, I do far better when I mark my tri's out in the morning from the paper.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:26 am

We should set up a punters club from here.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:33 am

Lightning McQueen wrote:Another example of high numbered roughies getting up in the last at regionals, Coffs Harbour yesterday.

If you ever see Jason Whiting on something late in a regional meet in WA that is as rough as a poorly shaved clam , get on it.

I actually like Knuckey on the roughies.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:34 am

Lightning McQueen wrote:We should set up a punters club from here.

How many of those are you in? Haha
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 10:02 am

OnSong wrote:
Lightning McQueen wrote:Another example of high numbered roughies getting up in the last at regionals, Coffs Harbour yesterday.

If you ever see Jason Whiting on something late in a regional meet in WA that is as rough as a poorly shaved clam , get on it.

I actually like Knuckey on the roughies.

Yeah, he's good value over there, I tend to have my couple of favourites in each state, Skye B in FNQ.

Pretty devo about Tye Angland ATM, I haven't heard much, I hope his condition has improved from first thoughts.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby OnSong » Fri Dec 14, 2018 10:03 am

Lightning McQueen wrote:
OnSong wrote:
Lightning McQueen wrote:Another example of high numbered roughies getting up in the last at regionals, Coffs Harbour yesterday.

If you ever see Jason Whiting on something late in a regional meet in WA that is as rough as a poorly shaved clam , get on it.

I actually like Knuckey on the roughies.

Yeah, he's good value over there, I tend to have my couple of favourites in each state, Skye B in FNQ.

Pretty devo about Tye Angland ATM, I haven't heard much, I hope his condition has improved from first thoughts.

Yeah, that whole scenario is pretty confronting. Young family etc.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 10:05 am

OnSong wrote:
Lightning McQueen wrote:We should set up a punters club from here.

How many of those are you in? Haha

Only the one at the Reepham, the wife and I are in it, $10 a week from Feb to Nov, we picked up a little over $400 each last week, pretty handy for this time of year, I opened mine, bought us a drink each and put a couple of bets on that got us an extra $200.
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Re: Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Dec 14, 2018 10:08 am

OnSong wrote:Yeah, that whole scenario is pretty confronting. Young family etc.

And it all being so tight-lipped.
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