OAKSY Doggies Tips

Best Bets? Talking Odds? This is the place.

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Nov 12, 2019 3:58 pm

Groover wrote:Got 5 in tomorrow
Angle park
Heats of the Brian Johnstone
Race 4 box 5 Miss Bellawood
Should go well here, only needs average luck to be winning.
Race 7 box 7 Miss Breakout
Returns from a lay-off with injury, comes in very fresh, should qualify for next round of finals, look for her to improve on anything she does here.
Race 8 box 8 Mister Kingswood
Not going well enough, do not bet.
Race 11 box 3 Miss Takiri
Forgive her last run, she is a nice type and should be running well here.

Sandown
Race 8 box 4 Mister Harlewood
I can’t back him with any confidence at sandown and he runs into some smart ones here, should be ok odds though, place best with small wager.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
At least a treble there[emoji16]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56642
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11805 times
Been liked: 3582 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Nov 12, 2019 4:26 pm

moeee wrote:
Oaksnaf wrote:Will you be laying the 1 if can get $1.8 on betfair ?


I have had 2 or 3 recent LAY wagers and they all killed me.
I simply cannot LAY an animal succesfully , and my nerves are currently in terrible condition and will sit them out for a few months.
And I really don't like LAYING my top selection. ( No it ain't , but still nearly is )

I'll select something from amongst your wagers
I will definately take Trifecta 81-81-5 for 100%


Well that LAY wouldn't have killed you.
Can't let nerves get in the way of consistency. Just power through.

Just beat you on the 5 there
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Nov 12, 2019 4:28 pm

Yep, you need to trust your markets and wager accordingly.
If your top selection is unders why would you play it????

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56642
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11805 times
Been liked: 3582 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby moeee » Tue Nov 12, 2019 4:35 pm

Oaksnaf wrote:
moeee wrote:I have had 2 or 3 recent LAY wagers and they all killed me.
I simply cannot LAY an animal succesfully , and my nerves are currently in terrible condition and will sit them out for a few months.
And I really don't like LAYING my top selection. ( No it ain't , but still nearly is )


Well that LAY wouldn't have killed you.
Can't let nerves get in the way of consistency. Just power through.

Just beat you on the 5 there


Well Betfair was down between 4:30 and 5 for maintenance so couln't have layed it anyway.
I had Exacta 8-5 and $2 on the winner - ended up doubling my Outlay on the race
moeee
Rookie
 
Posts: 138
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 4:05 pm
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 10 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Nov 12, 2019 7:33 pm

Good work Moeee.
Do you have a market for WGL R12 ?
That's the only left for me today
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby moeee » Tue Nov 12, 2019 8:01 pm

Well I ended up square today , which at my current travels is a great result - I shall have a go right now with race 12 at Warragul and see if I can turn a good day into a Loser
moeee
Rookie
 
Posts: 138
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 4:05 pm
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 10 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Nov 12, 2019 8:57 pm

Here is mine.

WARRAGUL R12

6 DUKE OF BURNLEY $3.4
7 QUILLAN BALE $6.3
5 ZIPPING BENNY $7.0
1 REAP THE REWARDS $8.7
3 SUPERIOR PRIMO $9.6
8 TOBY TIME $11.9
10 BREAK THE PLATE $14.7
4 PAT MALONE $34.1


Comments on runners.

#1 - In a purple patch of form. Drawn well to get clear run as can ping, but will struggle to run time against these.
#10 - Out of luck and not beginning as well as previously, and will struggle to run these down.
#3 hit/miss runner, can muster up a treat mid race, but will need plenty of luck this time rails draw does help outside 1,10.
#4 slow and stays slow.
#5 begins well but wants to go wide early, shows great muster mid race and can run time here.
#6 can explode out of the boxes but goes wide hard and then wants to cut down on the bend and get the rails. Has pace.
#7 Pinger who wants the rails, needs to be untouched, cannot win when not on the lure, but has great mid race pace, will peak distance.
#8 Dream run LS with plenty of luck, hard to see crossing against these runners here, will struggle to get clear run.

Key to the race is box rise with 6 holding the 7 out, if 7 gets across then so can 8. And it changes the race. #6 will be very strong cutting across and shows strength. #5 will enjoy the space at box rise with 3,4 slow and 6 wanting wide. Gets dream cover. #7 is talented. #1 is in purple patch and will want to be on the lure, not sure if can stay there. #3 if pings gets best chance with good slot on rails behind 1.

WAGERING:

WIN #6 @ $6.50
WIN #5 @ $17

EXACTA COMBOS

6 7
6 5
7 6
5 6
6 1
6 3
1 6
6 8
3 6
6 10
8 6
7 5

Since TOP RATING is value - I will bet Trifecta combo as follows:

6 7 5
6 5 7
6 7 1
6 1 7
6 7 3
6 5 1
6 1 5
6 3 7
6 5 3
6 3 5
6 7 8
6 8 7
6 5 8
6 1 3
6 3 1
6 7 10
6 8 5
6 5 10
6 10 7
6 1 8
6 8 1
6 10 5
6 3 8
6 8 3
6 1 10
6 10 1
6 3 10
6 10 3
6 8 10
6 10 8


And all of that could be for nothing. Which is sometimes normal. haha.

Happy Punting.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby moeee » Tue Nov 12, 2019 9:13 pm

7 QUILLAN BALE $3.7
6 DUKE OF BURNLEY $3.9
1 REAP THE REWARDS $8.7
8 TOBY TIME $12
4 PAT MALONE $13.2
10 BREAK THE PLATE $14
5 ZIPPING BENNY $14.7
3 SUPERIOR PRIMO $15.5

I went #6 DUKE OF BURNLEY 3 by 7.50 @ $7 and $2
Exacta 7-6 for 100% returns $10
Exacta 1-6 for 50% returns $13
moeee
Rookie
 
Posts: 138
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 4:05 pm
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 10 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Nov 12, 2019 9:22 pm

A number of runners are rated the exact same chance to win.

You like 4,7 more than me.
And I like 3,5 more than you.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby moeee » Tue Nov 12, 2019 9:31 pm

#3 is a Healesville dog and will run last here - and Zipping Benny has a PB of 22,83 which will not be good enough to place here
moeee
Rookie
 
Posts: 138
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 4:05 pm
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 10 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby moeee » Tue Nov 12, 2019 9:51 pm

Dammit - went berserk and put a bundle for the place on DUKE OF BURNLEY - Began poorly and that was that - nite all
moeee
Rookie
 
Posts: 138
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 4:05 pm
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 10 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Nov 12, 2019 9:55 pm

And just like we said, all that for nothing.
How many more chances will fav punters give Quillan Bale??
Maybe draws rails next time and blows out to $5 and wins.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Tue Nov 12, 2019 10:02 pm

I've got a race for you moeee.

Wed

Bendigo R3

1 CULLQUIN BRONN $3.4
4 MEPUNGA HOLLY $3.8
6 QUATTRO MISS $6.4
7 BANJOYS GHOST $9.7
2 OFFALY BLONDE $12.0
8 QUID PRO QUO $16.5
5 IMAN BALE $38.2
3 SKY SHOW $109.6

How short will punters have the 4? But how many times does it find the lead dog and play?
Box 1 will suit the red for sure and if can hold out 6 early, may get a chance to fight off the 4 if plays again.
If the 3 wins this race. I give up.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby moeee » Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:51 am

Oaksnaf wrote:I've got a race for you moeee.

Wed
Bendigo R3

1 CULLQUIN BRONN $3.4

yet to win after 38 attempts ?
I wouldn't tip that to my worst enemy

Just about to start studying some Meadows
moeee
Rookie
 
Posts: 138
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 4:05 pm
Has liked: 1 time
Been liked: 10 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:12 am

Hahaha, knew you would like that one.

MT you still doing your normal Adelaide Wednesday mid day meetings?
You'd normally go alright from memory.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Nov 13, 2019 1:03 pm

Oaksnaf wrote:Hahaha, knew you would like that one.

MT you still doing your normal Adelaide Wednesday mid day meetings?
You'd normally go alright from memory.


I do, but the 388m dont suit my style.
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56642
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11805 times
Been liked: 3582 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Groover » Wed Nov 13, 2019 4:04 pm

Groover wrote:Got 5 in tomorrow
Angle park
Heats of the Brian Johnstone
Race 4 box 5 Miss Bellawood
Should go well here, only needs average luck to be winning.
Race 7 box 7 Miss Breakout
Returns from a lay-off with injury, comes in very fresh, should qualify for next round of finals, look for her to improve on anything she does here.
Race 8 box 8 Mister Kingswood
Not going well enough, do not bet.
Race 11 box 3 Miss Takiri
Forgive her last run, she is a nice type and should be running well here.

Sandown
Race 8 box 4 Mister Harlewood
I can’t back him with any confidence at sandown and he runs into some smart ones here, should be ok odds though, place best with small wager.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Miss Bellawood and Miss Takiri led the way winning today, Miss Breakout 3rd first run back for 10 weeks, Mister Kingswood last which was to be expected.
Overall very good day and we have 3 into the semi finals next Thursday.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Hogg Shield Premier League Winner 2012
User avatar
Groover
League - Top 5
 
Posts: 2813
Joined: Wed May 28, 2008 10:50 pm
Has liked: 222 times
Been liked: 385 times
Grassroots Team: Brahma Lodge

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby Oaksnaf » Wed Nov 13, 2019 4:51 pm

Nice work Groover.
Oaksnaf
Veteran
 
Posts: 3889
Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2009 3:51 pm
Has liked: 130 times
Been liked: 291 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Nov 13, 2019 4:56 pm

You playing anything tonight Oaksy?
Might have a look at same races.

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56642
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11805 times
Been liked: 3582 times

Re: OAKSY Doggies Tips

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Nov 13, 2019 5:10 pm

Got Lektra flirt in the next at bendigo.
Will need to lead i think to win here.
Think the 1 tends to go wide so we need to miss it.

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56642
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11805 times
Been liked: 3582 times

PreviousNext

Board index   General Talk  The Gambling Room

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests

Around the place

Competitions   SANFL Official Site | Country Footy SA | Southern Football League | VFL Footy
Club Forums   Snouts Louts | The Roost | Redlegs Forum |