The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Multi's

Talk on the national game

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Bum Crack » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:04 pm

I'm doing it wrong then. 3 leg multi it is for me tonight.

Cats by 80+
Hawkins for 6 or more
Dangerfield 40+

13/1
So you've seen everything have you?
Yep
Have you ever seen a man eat his own head?
No
Well you haven't seen everything then have you.
Bum Crack
Coach
 
Posts: 7870
Joined: Tue Sep 23, 2008 5:20 pm
Location: Here
Has liked: 320 times
Been liked: 884 times
Grassroots Team: Berri

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:05 pm

Booney wrote:Hey, he landed it then brilliant for him.


Yeah, I'm sure employment productivity has been at an all time high over the past half an hour :lol: :lol:
HOGG SHIELD DIVISION V WINNER 2018.
User avatar
Lightning McQueen
Coach
 
Posts: 51284
Joined: Mon Mar 03, 2008 9:43 am
Location: Radiator Springs
Has liked: 4339 times
Been liked: 7902 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:08 pm

Bum Crack wrote:I'm doing it wrong then. 3 leg multi it is for me tonight.

Cats by 80+
Hawkins for 6 or more
Dangerfield 40+

13/1

Ha, I done the first two and it was at 226's, it wouldn't let me put Danger in.
HOGG SHIELD DIVISION V WINNER 2018.
User avatar
Lightning McQueen
Coach
 
Posts: 51284
Joined: Mon Mar 03, 2008 9:43 am
Location: Radiator Springs
Has liked: 4339 times
Been liked: 7902 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Jim05 » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:09 pm

Bum Crack wrote:I'm doing it wrong then. 3 leg multi it is for me tonight.

Cats by 80+
Hawkins for 6 or more
Dangerfield 40+

13/1
If you just did
Cats win
Danger most possessions GR1
Hawkins most goals GR1
$45
Swap Hawkins for Dixon (both same price) it is $131
Jim05
Coach
 
 
Posts: 47104
Joined: Wed Sep 22, 2010 9:03 pm
Has liked: 1125 times
Been liked: 3534 times
Grassroots Team: South Gawler

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:15 pm

Notice how Trader and Dutchy havent posted.... i reckon they are conceding defeat that there is nothing wrong with SGM[emoji3][emoji3][emoji3]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56642
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11805 times
Been liked: 3582 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Bum Crack » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:20 pm

Lightning McQueen wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:I'm doing it wrong then. 3 leg multi it is for me tonight.

Cats by 80+
Hawkins for 6 or more
Dangerfield 40+

13/1

Ha, I done the first two and it was at 226's, it wouldn't let me put Danger in.

LOL
So you've seen everything have you?
Yep
Have you ever seen a man eat his own head?
No
Well you haven't seen everything then have you.
Bum Crack
Coach
 
Posts: 7870
Joined: Tue Sep 23, 2008 5:20 pm
Location: Here
Has liked: 320 times
Been liked: 884 times
Grassroots Team: Berri

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Trader » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:27 pm

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Notice how Trader and Dutchy havent posted.... i reckon they are conceding defeat that there is nothing wrong with SGM[emoji3][emoji3][emoji3]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk


Just catching up now.

And by the way, you'll notice he only did 3 legs, not 10. ;)
Danny Southern telling Plugga he's fat, I'd like to see that!
User avatar
Trader
Assistant Coach
 
Posts: 4202
Joined: Mon May 24, 2010 1:19 pm
Has liked: 60 times
Been liked: 794 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Bum Crack » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:29 pm

3 leg multi

Danger most goals group 1
Danger most possessions group 1
Cats by 25+

357/1
So you've seen everything have you?
Yep
Have you ever seen a man eat his own head?
No
Well you haven't seen everything then have you.
Bum Crack
Coach
 
Posts: 7870
Joined: Tue Sep 23, 2008 5:20 pm
Location: Here
Has liked: 320 times
Been liked: 884 times
Grassroots Team: Berri

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Booney » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:31 pm

Trader wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Notice how Trader and Dutchy havent posted.... i reckon they are conceding defeat that there is nothing wrong with SGM[emoji3][emoji3][emoji3]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk


Just catching up now.

And by the way, you'll notice he only did 3 legs, not 10. ;)


Well he's an idiot because the more you bet the more you win. Everyone knows that.

PS - I used my $20 bonus bet on GWS to win last night so your system is shit too. :lol:
PAFC. Forever.

LOOK OUT, WE'RE COMING!
User avatar
Booney
Coach
 
 
Posts: 58211
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 1:47 pm
Location: Alberton proud
Has liked: 7467 times
Been liked: 10755 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:31 pm

Trader wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Notice how Trader and Dutchy havent posted.... i reckon they are conceding defeat that there is nothing wrong with SGM[emoji3][emoji3][emoji3]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk


Just catching up now.

And by the way, you'll notice he only did 3 legs, not 10. ;)
Yep, i dont believe 10 legs either.

So the new rule is make sure there are options from both teams[emoji16][emoji16]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56642
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11805 times
Been liked: 3582 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Trader » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:36 pm

Jim05 wrote:I don’t know how it works with Sportsbet but apparently in a SGM if you include 1 leg that is from a different team you get extra. For example I’ve just done a dummy

Port win $1.74
Rockcliff leading possessions GR1 $6
Georgiades leading goals GR1 $12
Payout $101

However change Georgiades to Myers from Geelong who is also $12 and it turns into $226


Correct, it's what is referred to in the industry as an 'accumulator dependency'.

The bookies got wrecked several years ago when some mathematicians teamed up with some political polling groups and worked out fairly quickly that there were a few key seats that would swing the entire election. Eden Monaro for example always fell to the party that happened to win the entire election.

The bookies also knew this, and as such, they had overall markets of roughly $1.90 libs, $1.90 labor, and similarly $1.90 a piece in the Eden Monaro seat, seems fair...... until you multi them up.

Take the libs to win both and you get $3.61, take labor to win both, also at $3.61, sit back and wait for your bet to cash in. (Effectively you've taken $1.805 for the seat to fall to the party that wins overall).

Now repeat that for a number of other key seats and before you know it, even if there is the odd seat that breaks the rules, you make bulk cash.

After that bookies just blocked anything that could be linked for a number of years.

More recently they've sharpened up the algorithm that spits out prices in the same game multi and that gives them protection.
EG: If you pick Hawkins for first goal scorer, then also add in Hawkins anytime goal scorer, the second leg won't increase your price, as it's already happened for the first leg to get up.
Danny Southern telling Plugga he's fat, I'd like to see that!
User avatar
Trader
Assistant Coach
 
Posts: 4202
Joined: Mon May 24, 2010 1:19 pm
Has liked: 60 times
Been liked: 794 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Trader » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:38 pm

Booney wrote:
Trader wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Notice how Trader and Dutchy havent posted.... i reckon they are conceding defeat that there is nothing wrong with SGM[emoji3][emoji3][emoji3]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk


Just catching up now.

And by the way, you'll notice he only did 3 legs, not 10. ;)


Well he's an idiot because the more you bet the more you win. Everyone knows that.

PS - I used my $20 bonus bet on GWS to win last night so your system is shit too. :lol:


Your fault, I told you to back a long priced option, Sydney at $4.75 is clearly greater than GWS's $1.20 lol
Danny Southern telling Plugga he's fat, I'd like to see that!
User avatar
Trader
Assistant Coach
 
Posts: 4202
Joined: Mon May 24, 2010 1:19 pm
Has liked: 60 times
Been liked: 794 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Lightning McQueen » Fri Aug 14, 2020 12:46 pm

Trader wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Notice how Trader and Dutchy havent posted.... i reckon they are conceding defeat that there is nothing wrong with SGM[emoji3][emoji3][emoji3]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk


Just catching up now.

And by the way, you'll notice he only did 3 legs, not 10. ;)

I do minimum of 4 to get my money back if one fails.
HOGG SHIELD DIVISION V WINNER 2018.
User avatar
Lightning McQueen
Coach
 
Posts: 51284
Joined: Mon Mar 03, 2008 9:43 am
Location: Radiator Springs
Has liked: 4339 times
Been liked: 7902 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby daysofourlives » Fri Aug 14, 2020 5:06 pm

Lightning McQueen wrote:
Jim05 wrote:I don’t know how it works with Sportsbet but apparently in a SGM if you include 1 leg that is from a different team you get extra. For example I’ve just done a dummy

Port win $1.74
Rockcliff leading possessions GR1 $6
Georgiades leading goals GR1 $12
Payout $101

However change Georgiades to Myers from Geelong who is also $12 and it turns into $226

That makes a bit more sense now as you're sort of betting against yourself.


Yep gives me trhe shits. Quite often ill have about 4 goalkickers in my multi, i like to get up to about 100/1.
If you go total points under with say 4 goalkickers the odds might be 100/1 if you go points over with the same goal kickers it comes down to about 30/1 if your lucky.
Supercoach Spring Racing Champion 2019
Spargo's Good Friday Cup Champion 2020
daysofourlives
Coach
 
 
Posts: 11500
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 2:35 pm
Has liked: 2415 times
Been liked: 1657 times
Grassroots Team: Angaston

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby daysofourlives » Fri Aug 14, 2020 5:11 pm

Trader wrote:
Booney wrote:
Trader wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Notice how Trader and Dutchy havent posted.... i reckon they are conceding defeat that there is nothing wrong with SGM[emoji3][emoji3][emoji3]

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk


Just catching up now.

And by the way, you'll notice he only did 3 legs, not 10. ;)


Well he's an idiot because the more you bet the more you win. Everyone knows that.

PS - I used my $20 bonus bet on GWS to win last night so your system is shit too. :lol:


Your fault, I told you to back a long priced option, Sydney at $4.75 is clearly greater than GWS's $1.20 lol


Why would anyone use a bonus bet on a $1.20 or even $2 bet?
You'd have to be stupid.....oh hang on never mind carry on :D
Supercoach Spring Racing Champion 2019
Spargo's Good Friday Cup Champion 2020
daysofourlives
Coach
 
 
Posts: 11500
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 2:35 pm
Has liked: 2415 times
Been liked: 1657 times
Grassroots Team: Angaston

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Eagles2014 » Sat Aug 15, 2020 12:08 am

Bum Crack wrote:
Lightning McQueen wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:I'm doing it wrong then. 3 leg multi it is for me tonight.

Cats by 80+
Hawkins for 6 or more
Dangerfield 40+

13/1

Ha, I done the first two and it was at 226's, it wouldn't let me put Danger in.

LOL


As much as this was taking the pi55, was actually one of the closest SGM in this thread :D
Eagles2014
Veteran
 
Posts: 3555
Joined: Fri Aug 15, 2014 1:56 pm
Has liked: 124 times
Been liked: 524 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Lightning McQueen » Mon Aug 17, 2020 12:45 pm

Tonight's $3 bet:

Over 129.5
Richmond 25+
Martin most goals G1
Greenwood most disposals G1

$525 return.
HOGG SHIELD DIVISION V WINNER 2018.
User avatar
Lightning McQueen
Coach
 
Posts: 51284
Joined: Mon Mar 03, 2008 9:43 am
Location: Radiator Springs
Has liked: 4339 times
Been liked: 7902 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Mon Aug 17, 2020 9:34 pm

Cmon Dusty atleast kick a goal

Sent from my SM-A520F using Tapatalk
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
User avatar
mighty_tiger_79
Coach
 
Posts: 56642
Joined: Tue Jan 03, 2006 7:29 pm
Location: at the TAB
Has liked: 11805 times
Been liked: 3582 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Dutchy » Mon Aug 17, 2020 10:34 pm

Jim05 wrote:One of the blokes called in “sick” today but sent a few of us this

Image


Where is the winning ticket? This just shows a pending one.
User avatar
Dutchy
Site Admin
 
 
Posts: 44455
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 8:24 am
Location: Location, Location
Has liked: 2311 times
Been liked: 3482 times

Re: The Graham Campbell Forum - AFL Punting / Same Game Mult

Postby Jim05 » Mon Aug 17, 2020 11:08 pm

Dutchy wrote:
Jim05 wrote:One of the blokes called in “sick” today but sent a few of us this

Image


Where is the winning ticket? This just shows a pending one.
I didn’t bother asking to see it as Kelly had the most touches for the night so it was a given that the leg got up
Jim05
Coach
 
 
Posts: 47104
Joined: Wed Sep 22, 2010 9:03 pm
Has liked: 1125 times
Been liked: 3534 times
Grassroots Team: South Gawler

PreviousNext

Board index   Football  AFL

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 17 guests

Around the place

Competitions   SANFL Official Site | Country Footy SA | Southern Football League | VFL Footy
Club Forums   Snouts Louts | The Roost | Redlegs Forum |