US

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Re: US

Postby Q. » Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:10 am

Trader wrote:
woodublieve12 wrote:i own stocks and we are f**** if trump stays in...


I think the share market will react better to a trump win than Biden.


There was an article in the AFR yesterday that suggested a Democrat clean sweep would be better - IIRC it mainly hinged on the fact that Biden's stimulus package for business dwarfs Trump's.

Nevertheless, I doubt a Trump victory would dent the market anyway.
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Re: US

Postby RB » Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:39 am

Apachebulldog wrote:Data Analysis shows that Trump could win between 270 to 280 seats.

So who do we believe the polls on a Biden victory.

or the data analysis for a Trump victory.

Very interesting

https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_6203730374001
Considering you need a minimum of 270 votes to win, data showing that Trump 'could win 270 to 280' doesn't really say much.

If it said he WILL win 270, then that would be significant.

With Wisconsin and Michigan looking firmly in the Biden camp, Trump has a very narrow path to victory and would have to win basically all the remaining competitive states.

Biden would need to win the popular vote by about 3-4% to win the electoral college (he's currently on track to win it by far more than that, thus he is the favourite).

FWIW I reckon Biden will win the popular vote by 5 million, and eek out a narrow EC victory, with the two states above plus either Pennsylvania or Arizona very narrowly, and probably Maine and Nebraska's 2nd congressional districts (those states split their EC votes).
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Re: US

Postby Apachebulldog » Tue Nov 03, 2020 12:39 pm

RB wrote:
Apachebulldog wrote:Data Analysis shows that Trump could win between 270 to 280 seats.

So who do we believe the polls on a Biden victory.

or the data analysis for a Trump victory.

Very interesting

https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_6203730374001
Considering you need a minimum of 270 votes to win, data showing that Trump 'could win 270 to 280' doesn't really say much.

If it said he WILL win 270, then that would be significant.

With Wisconsin and Michigan looking firmly in the Biden camp, Trump has a very narrow path to victory and would have to win basically all the remaining competitive states.

Biden would need to win the popular vote by about 3-4% to win the electoral college (he's currently on track to win it by far more than that, thus he is the favourite).

FWIW I reckon Biden will win the popular vote by 5 million, and eek out a narrow EC victory, with the two states above plus either Pennsylvania or Arizona very narrowly, and probably Maine and Nebraska's 2nd congressional districts (those states split their EC votes).



Yep lot of factors in play a lot of crucial states that could flip.

One political analyist has stated that the voter turn out for this election is going to exceed the 1908 figures.

So the question is all these xtra voters are they pro Trump/ anti Trump or Pro Biden/anti Biden

Gonna be very interesting watching this tomorrow pm/night.
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Re: US

Postby Apachebulldog » Tue Nov 03, 2020 12:40 pm

woodublieve12 wrote:
Apachebulldog wrote:Data Analysis shows that Trump could win between 270 to 280 seats.

So who do we believe the polls on a Biden victory.

or the data analysis for a Trump victory.

Very interesting

https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_6203730374001


fake polls



fake data analysis.
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Re: US

Postby Trader » Tue Nov 03, 2020 1:50 pm

Apachebulldog wrote:One political analyist has stated that the voter turn out for this election is going to exceed the 1908 figures.

So the question is all these xtra voters are they pro Trump/ anti Trump or Pro Biden/anti Biden


Hatred drives the world these days.
Look at all the cancel-culture stuff going on.

People are far more likely to be motivated to vote someone out than vote someone in, IMO of course.
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Re: US

Postby daysofourlives » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:51 pm

If there is no cheating Trump will win in a landslide.
The crowds at the Trump rallies dont lie.
Had the economy humming before Bidens CCP overlords introduced Covid.
Only president to not go to war for a very long time, been nominated 3 times for Nobel Peace prize.
Has bought many middle eastern contries together to sign peace deals.
Is cracking down on pedos and child trafficking.
Bought manufacturing back to the US.
If you believe the media these are all bad things, umm how?
Whats not to like, he will go down as the greatest President ever.
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Re: US

Postby Q. » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:56 pm

daysofourlives wrote:If there is no cheating Trump will win in a landslide.
The crowds at the Trump rallies dont lie.
Had the economy humming before Bidens CCP overlords introduced Covid.
Only president to not go to war for a very long time, been nominated 3 times for Nobel Peace prize.
Has bought many middle eastern contries together to sign peace deals.
Is cracking down on pedos and child trafficking.
Bought manufacturing back to the US.
If you believe the media these are all bad things, umm how?
Whats not to like, he will go down as the greatest President ever.


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Re: US

Postby Armchair expert » Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:08 pm

daysofourlives wrote:If there is no cheating Trump will win in a landslide.
The crowds at the Trump rallies dont lie.
Had the economy humming before Bidens CCP overlords introduced Covid.
Only president to not go to war for a very long time, been nominated 3 times for Nobel Peace prize.
Has bought many middle eastern contries together to sign peace deals.
Is cracking down on pedos and child trafficking.
Bought manufacturing back to the US.
If you believe the media these are all bad things, umm how?
Whats not to like, he will go down as the greatest President ever.


Can't argue with the facts

edit.

is daysofourlives apachebulldog?
Dave Warner will be missed!
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Re: US

Postby RB » Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:18 pm

daysofourlives wrote:If there is no cheating Trump will win in a landslide.


Well it certainly can't be said you're not confident.

The irony is that everything coming from the Trump camp recently suggests they don't think he can win - hence the attempt at delegitimizing the election.

Which is really bizarre, given that he actually CAN win.
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Re: US

Postby stan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:40 pm

Armchair expert wrote:
daysofourlives wrote:If there is no cheating Trump will win in a landslide.
The crowds at the Trump rallies dont lie.
Had the economy humming before Bidens CCP overlords introduced Covid.
Only president to not go to war for a very long time, been nominated 3 times for Nobel Peace prize.
Has bought many middle eastern contries together to sign peace deals.
Is cracking down on pedos and child trafficking.
Bought manufacturing back to the US.
If you believe the media these are all bad things, umm how?
Whats not to like, he will go down as the greatest President ever.


Can't argue with the facts

edit.

is daysofourlives apachebulldog?
No, days is more of a fan of the UK rather than Bulldogs.
Read my reply. It is directed at you because you have double standards
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Re: US

Postby stan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:41 pm

RB wrote:
daysofourlives wrote:If there is no cheating Trump will win in a landslide.


Well it certainly can't be said you're not confident.

The irony is that everything coming from the Trump camp recently suggests they don't think he can win - hence the attempt at delegitimizing the election.

Which is really bizarre, given that he actually CAN win.
I reckon he'll get up. Pennsylvania is the key.
Read my reply. It is directed at you because you have double standards
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Re: US

Postby Jimmy_041 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:07 am

daysofourlives wrote:If there is no cheating Trump will win in a landslide.
The crowds at the Trump rallies dont lie.
Had the economy humming before Bidens CCP overlords introduced Covid.
Only president to not go to war for a very long time, been nominated 3 times for Nobel Peace prize.
Has bought many middle eastern contries together to sign peace deals.
Is cracking down on pedos and child trafficking.
Bought manufacturing back to the US.
If you believe the media these are all bad things, umm how?
Whats not to like, he will go down as the greatest President ever.


If not for Covid, he would have romped it in by plenty
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Re: US

Postby woodublieve12 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:38 am

daysofourlives wrote:If there is no cheating Trump will win in a landslide.
The crowds at the Trump rallies dont lie.
Had the economy humming before Bidens CCP overlords introduced Covid.
Only president to not go to war for a very long time, been nominated 3 times for Nobel Peace prize.
Has bought many middle eastern contries together to sign peace deals.
Is cracking down on pedos and child trafficking.
Bought manufacturing back to the US.
If you believe the media these are all bad things, umm how?
Whats not to like, he will go down as the greatest President ever.



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Re: US

Postby Q. » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:26 am

Given Georgia will take days to count, keep an eye on Florida result around midday. If Biden wins Florida, it's game over.
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Re: US

Postby Apachebulldog » Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:03 am

Q. wrote:Given Georgia will take days to count, keep an eye on Florida result around midday. If Biden wins Florida, it's game over.



You Sir are correct all the vision of pro Trump crowds out in the street that I have seen over the last few months indicate Trump will win Florida.
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Re: US

Postby Jim05 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:12 am

Q. wrote:Given Georgia will take days to count, keep an eye on Florida result around midday. If Biden wins Florida, it's game over.
Trump looks like he will win Florida.
This might be a tight affair
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Re: US

Postby DOC » Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:28 am

Controlling the Senate in the US is pivotal to being able to govern effectively.

The Senate leader Mitch McConnell is up for election and is the key senator that the Democrats have targetted in order to win the senate. Even if Biden were to win, unless they also control the senate he will be a lame (and probably asleep) duck.
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Re: US

Postby Jim05 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:33 am

Kentucky and Indiana the first two states called and both to Trump which is no surprise
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Re: US

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:34 am

Biden $1.48 on betfair....looks like he will win it

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Re: US

Postby Jim05 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:36 am

mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Biden $1.48 on betfair....looks like he will win it

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