Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby gadj1976 » Sun Mar 21, 2021 6:26 pm

My multi

Port at the line (tick)
St Kilda H2H (tick)
WCE at the line (27.5pts)

Nervous...
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby gadj1976 » Sun Mar 21, 2021 8:31 pm

gadj1976 wrote:My multi

Port at the line (tick)
St Kilda H2H (tick)
WCE at the line (27.5pts)

Nervous...

well that sums up my punting. Looks like I'm not going to get close to the margin all game. then two late goals makes it 24 points. I still think I'm done with 19 seconds (and a rebounce at the centre) but WCE go forward and Cripps marks on the sirent then hits the post to make it 25 points.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Lightning McQueen » Mon Mar 22, 2021 7:54 am

gadj1976 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:My multi

Port at the line (tick)
St Kilda H2H (tick)
WCE at the line (27.5pts)

Nervous...

well that sums up my punting. Looks like I'm not going to get close to the margin all game. then two late goals makes it 24 points. I still think I'm done with 19 seconds (and a rebounce at the centre) but WCE go forward and Cripps marks on the sirent then hits the post to make it 25 points.

I pschye myself out of the line bets, I generally go the BW/LW or the 24.5 point increments for some reason, it seems easier that way.

If a team I fancy to win is the roughie though I might go them over 15 points though, it seems to give the odds a bit more juice and most games are decided by more than two goals.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby JK » Mon Mar 22, 2021 12:54 pm

Lightning McQueen wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:
gadj1976 wrote:My multi

Port at the line (tick)
St Kilda H2H (tick)
WCE at the line (27.5pts)

Nervous...

well that sums up my punting. Looks like I'm not going to get close to the margin all game. then two late goals makes it 24 points. I still think I'm done with 19 seconds (and a rebounce at the centre) but WCE go forward and Cripps marks on the sirent then hits the post to make it 25 points.

I pschye myself out of the line bets, I generally go the BW/LW or the 24.5 point increments for some reason, it seems easier that way.

If a team I fancy to win is the roughie though I might go them over 15 points though, it seems to give the odds a bit more juice and most games are decided by more than two goals.


I get sucked into line bets way more often than I should, basically using an outdated thought process. In modern footy once a team gets a clear hold of a game, they usually take the foot off the pedal and try to manage the players condition to get them through for the following week, so the minus lines can be fraught with danger.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Dutchy » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:16 pm

daysofourlives wrote:
Armchair expert wrote:
Armchair expert wrote:B Smith to kick a goal $2.10 at bet365

dogs mids will spend time forward hopefully


**** YEAH!!!!!!!!!


Save the **** yeah's for when you back something with a bit of value mate


Nothing wrong with an even money winner, if you can do that 55% of them you will never have to work another day in your life.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Armchair expert » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:20 pm

Dutchy wrote:
daysofourlives wrote:
Armchair expert wrote:
Armchair expert wrote:B Smith to kick a goal $2.10 at bet365

dogs mids will spend time forward hopefully


**** YEAH!!!!!!!!!


Save the **** yeah's for when you back something with a bit of value mate


Nothing wrong with an even money winner, if you can do that 55% of them you will never have to work another day in your life.


Last time I checked you don’t go broke backing winners

#multisareformorons
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Dutchy » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:21 pm

There is a reason why the bookies promote them so hard
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby whufc » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:48 pm

Dutchy wrote:
daysofourlives wrote:
Armchair expert wrote:
Armchair expert wrote:B Smith to kick a goal $2.10 at bet365

dogs mids will spend time forward hopefully


**** YEAH!!!!!!!!!


Save the **** yeah's for when you back something with a bit of value mate


Nothing wrong with an even money winner, if you can do that 55% of them you will never have to work another day in your life.


Very true, I guess it depends on why you are punting. For me I spend $20 over the weekend on the footy, im looking for value and trying to hit the big win. If your a regulary punter spending big bucks I guess you are looking for profit.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Booney » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:51 pm

Armchair expert wrote:Last time I checked you don’t go broke backing winners
#multisareformorons


I don't reckon any of the multi backers in here would put more than $5 on one and putting $5 on a favourite is boring as shit.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Lightning McQueen » Mon Mar 22, 2021 2:36 pm

Armchair expert wrote:
Last time I checked you don’t go broke backing winners

#multisareformorons


Gee you can certainly outdo yourself at times.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Bum Crack » Mon Mar 22, 2021 2:44 pm

Yeah I love a $5.00 multi. Gives me an interest for 3 hours and often makes a shit game of footy a lot more interesting.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Lightning McQueen » Mon Mar 22, 2021 2:52 pm

Bum Crack wrote:Yeah I love a $5.00 multi. Gives me an interest for 3 hours and often makes a shit game of footy a lot more interesting.

My sentiments precisely, outlaying $10 for a chance to win $20 doesn't interest me and I wouldn't waste any more than that on something I can't control or give a toss about.

For less than a pint I can amuse myself for 3 hours and possibly collect $50.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby whufc » Mon Mar 22, 2021 3:37 pm

Bum Crack wrote:Yeah I love a $5.00 multi. Gives me an interest for 3 hours and often makes a shit game of footy a lot more interesting.


Yep my sole purpose of betting on any sport. I always back against Centrals when they make a GF as well. If they win I don't care I lost $100, if they lose the $200 back somewhat takes away the pain :)

Same reason I really enjoy fantasy football as well. Definitely could see how fantasy football is less attractive to those who have an extremely vested interest in a team though. Would hate nothing more to see my fantasy player give a handball over the top for a goal and the shine of my team scoring is somewhat tarred lol.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby JK » Mon Mar 22, 2021 4:05 pm

whufc wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:Yeah I love a $5.00 multi. Gives me an interest for 3 hours and often makes a shit game of footy a lot more interesting.


Yep my sole purpose of betting on any sport. I always back against Centrals when they make a GF as well. If they win I don't care I lost $100, if they lose the $200 back somewhat takes away the pain :)

Same reason I really enjoy fantasy football as well. Definitely could see how fantasy football is less attractive to those who have an extremely vested interest in a team though. Would hate nothing more to see my fantasy player give a handball over the top for a goal and the shine of my team scoring is somewhat tarred lol.


Haha I do the same if Norwood make a GF .. Made good coin in 2010 and 2018 (particularly), and 12-14 I could t have cared less about the lost investment $$.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby whufc » Mon Mar 22, 2021 4:15 pm

JK wrote:
whufc wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:Yeah I love a $5.00 multi. Gives me an interest for 3 hours and often makes a shit game of footy a lot more interesting.


Yep my sole purpose of betting on any sport. I always back against Centrals when they make a GF as well. If they win I don't care I lost $100, if they lose the $200 back somewhat takes away the pain :)

Same reason I really enjoy fantasy football as well. Definitely could see how fantasy football is less attractive to those who have an extremely vested interest in a team though. Would hate nothing more to see my fantasy player give a handball over the top for a goal and the shine of my team scoring is somewhat tarred lol.


Haha I do the same if Norwood make a GF .. Made good coin in 2010 and 2018 (particularly), and 12-14 I could t have cared less about the lost investment $$.


Same for both 2002 and 2016, reckon I may have even got close to $3 for Sturt.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Spargo » Mon Mar 22, 2021 6:57 pm

JK wrote:
whufc wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:Yeah I love a $5.00 multi. Gives me an interest for 3 hours and often makes a shit game of footy a lot more interesting.


Yep my sole purpose of betting on any sport. I always back against Centrals when they make a GF as well. If they win I don't care I lost $100, if they lose the $200 back somewhat takes away the pain :)

Same reason I really enjoy fantasy football as well. Definitely could see how fantasy football is less attractive to those who have an extremely vested interest in a team though. Would hate nothing more to see my fantasy player give a handball over the top for a goal and the shine of my team scoring is somewhat tarred lol.


Haha I do the same if Norwood make a GF .. Made good coin in 2010 and 2018 (particularly), and 12-14 I could t have cared less about the lost investment $$.


I simply can’t come at this train of thought. I have never bet against my team, ever.
I’ll back them if I think they’ll win, if not I stay out.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby JK » Tue Mar 23, 2021 12:39 am

Spargo wrote:
JK wrote:
whufc wrote:
Bum Crack wrote:Yeah I love a $5.00 multi. Gives me an interest for 3 hours and often makes a shit game of footy a lot more interesting.


Yep my sole purpose of betting on any sport. I always back against Centrals when they make a GF as well. If they win I don't care I lost $100, if they lose the $200 back somewhat takes away the pain :)

Same reason I really enjoy fantasy football as well. Definitely could see how fantasy football is less attractive to those who have an extremely vested interest in a team though. Would hate nothing more to see my fantasy player give a handball over the top for a goal and the shine of my team scoring is somewhat tarred lol.


Haha I do the same if Norwood make a GF .. Made good coin in 2010 and 2018 (particularly), and 12-14 I could t have cared less about the lost investment $$.


I simply can’t come at this train of thought. I have never bet against my team, ever.
I’ll back them if I think they’ll win, if not I stay out.


I was pessimistic from a young age. Not so much these days but this habit of tipping/betting against my side kinda stuck. Do it with Liverpool too, this season not so bad $ wise but the previous two were starting to add up lol
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby JK » Thu Mar 25, 2021 2:41 pm

Cant find much by way of SGM tonight I reckon goes close - Anyone got any they wanna share? Or everyone just throw up an SGM leg and I'll create the SAFooty ultimate SGM ;)

EDIT:

Leg 1 - Carlton WIN (MT)
Leg 2 - Marc Murphy AGS (Booney)
Leg 3 - Harry McKay 2+ goals (Booney)
Leg 4 - Will Hoskin-Elliot AGS (JK)

$5 @ $11.37
Last edited by JK on Thu Mar 25, 2021 6:51 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Mar 25, 2021 2:49 pm

Won't be a SGM, but I think Carlton win

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Re: Graham Campbell's 2021 Punting Forum

Postby Booney » Thu Mar 25, 2021 3:01 pm

JK wrote:Cant find much by way of SGM tonight I reckon goes close - Anyone got any they wanna share? Or everyone just throw up an SGM leg and I'll create the SAFooty ultimate SGM ;)

EDIT:

Leg 1 - Carlton WIN (MT)


Anytime goal scorer - Marc Murphy $1.57
To score 2 goals or more - Harry McKay $1.40
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