Clubs in strife

Adelaide Footy League Talk

Re: Clubs in strife

Postby morell » Mon Mar 31, 2014 4:48 pm

Also of note: there is a moderate but distinct correlation (~ -0.3) between the numbers of players with a 5km radius of a club and their division.

Meaning, loosely, the more players you have within a 5km radius of your club, the higher the likelihood your division will be higher.

Correlation <> Causation
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Q. » Mon Mar 31, 2014 4:56 pm

morell wrote:and Houghton.

The only explanation I have for how they can continue to survive is Q's infinite charisma.

They must have a pretty strong tight knit community/club out there to continually put up two competitive sides without the budget or profile of other clubs.


A lot of spillover from the clubs west of Perseverance Rd/Haines Rd.
Only a small number actually come from Houghton or that side of the hills.

Heck, there are blokes who play for Modbury but live in Houghton (and vice versa).
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Mr Beefy » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:01 pm

Is north haven missing from the maps?
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby X Runna » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:06 pm

Footy Chick wrote:You'll note that your Torrensvilles and Thebby for at least the last 60-70 years has had a vast greek population, which traditionally played soccer - also this area was taken up with not one, but 2 SANFL teams. (Westies and West Torrens, now SAAFL HQ)

The South Road strip has always been a bit bare for clubs, with Kenilworth being close at the South End, WOS at Glandore and maybe Fitzroy being closest to South Rd at the north end. Even back in the day, Kenilworth was located on Greenhill Road (?) Glandore has been used for a couple of clubs and not sure where St Doms or Renown Park were based (Cue @FOURTH ESTATE, he'll know)

But good work Morrell, no matter what anyone else says 8) Nothing like being blinded with facts :lol:


St Dominics played at the ground Blackfriars now call home & Renown Park were at Fitzroy's current ground.
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby morell » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:10 pm

Mr Beefy wrote:Is north haven missing from the maps?
I have them at -34.8314959, 138.48841. They're the second most western yellow dot at the top. Is that not where they're located?
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Mr Beefy » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:13 pm

There are 2 clubs on the peninsula districts and havens but only one dot
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby morell » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:15 pm

morell wrote:Also of note: there is a moderate but distinct correlation (~ -0.3) between the numbers of players with a 5km radius of a club and their division.

Meaning, loosely, the more players you have within a 5km radius of your club, the higher the likelihood your division will be higher.

Correlation <> Causation

Data:

Image
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby The Dark Knight » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:16 pm

As Beef as pointed out you've definitely missed us. Brilliant analyzing though mate.
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby morell » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:18 pm

Mr Beefy wrote:There are 2 clubs on the peninsula districts and havens but only one dot
Hmmm. I think they've been combined. Do they ever share a ground? Juniors, ressies?
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Mr Beefy » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:18 pm

I think it must districts missing only 9 data points for div 1 on the latest chart but then again uni is excluded
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Footy Chick » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:29 pm

morell wrote:
Mr Beefy wrote:There are 2 clubs on the peninsula districts and havens but only one dot
Hmmm. I think they've been combined. Do they ever share a ground? Juniors, ressies?


they are awfully close...maybe it's just one big dot
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Mr Beefy » Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:32 pm

Maybe he has factored in the impending merger
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Yank Man » Mon Mar 31, 2014 6:09 pm

carey wrote:I wish this thread got closed.



Me too. :D :D
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby FOURTH ESTATE » Mon Mar 31, 2014 8:39 pm

Renown Park F.C. 1983 - 86 (The amalgamation of Albert Sports & Brompton)
1983 - Renown Park
1984 - Challa Gardens Primary
1985 - 86 Sam Johnson Sports Ground.

St Dominics F.C. 1954 - 86 (1954 - 61 Northern Y.C.W. 1962 - 1986 St Dominics)

1954 - 62 Ground Unknown Member of the N.A.D.F.A.
1963 - 66 Black Friars College
1963 - 86 Fitzroy Terrace. (Where Black Friars O.S. currently play)

St Domincs, Renown Park & St Peters Y.CW. merged at the end of 1986 to form Fitzroy.
Playing at thier current location.
2017, 2019 & 2020 PREMIERS
RICHMOND, RICHMOND, RICHMOND.


Let that be a lesson to you Sturt. You don't beat Glenelg 3 times in a row in Grand Finals and get away with it.
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Pag » Mon Mar 31, 2014 8:47 pm

Awesome work morell, think you missed Salisbury West and North Pines too mate but a top effort. Definitely an interesting look.
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Boosh » Mon Mar 31, 2014 9:15 pm

Mr Beefy wrote:Maybe he has factored in the impending merger


Nah if he was factoring in future mergers im sure the Grand Junction RoyalDogHawks would have got a guernsey, but maybe he wasn't sure if the home ground would be on Eastern Parade or Newcastle St
I have a problem. It's to do with the little man, the squashed-in French man, the naked little squashed up hairy boy! You know! With the hand feet
*I apologise to Hope Valley people in advance, no offence intended
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Boosh » Mon Mar 31, 2014 9:18 pm

FOURTH ESTATE wrote:Renown Park F.C. 1983 - 86 (The amalgamation of Albert Sports & Brompton)
1983 - Renown Park
1984 - Challa Gardens Primary
1985 - 86 Sam Johnson Sports Ground.

St Dominics F.C. 1954 - 86 (1954 - 61 Northern Y.C.W. 1962 - 1986 St Dominics)

1954 - 62 Ground Unknown Member of the N.A.D.F.A.
1963 - 66 Black Friars College
1963 - 86 Fitzroy Terrace. (Where Black Friars O.S. currently play)

St Domincs, Renown Park & St Peters Y.CW. merged at the end of 1986 to form Fitzroy.
Playing at thier current location.


That is quite a mouthful, bit like Saint Michaels Old Scholars Hindmarsh West Lakes (Formerly Semaphore Park)
I have a problem. It's to do with the little man, the squashed-in French man, the naked little squashed up hairy boy! You know! With the hand feet
*I apologise to Hope Valley people in advance, no offence intended
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Mr Beefy » Mon Mar 31, 2014 9:30 pm

Boosh wrote:
Mr Beefy wrote:Maybe he has factored in the impending merger


Nah if he was factoring in future mergers im sure the Grand Junction RoyalDogHawks would have got a guernsey, but maybe he wasn't sure if the home ground would be on Eastern Parade or Newcastle St
not sure if red white blue brown yellow black combo would work
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby Jetters » Mon Mar 31, 2014 10:31 pm

morell wrote:Also of note: there is a moderate but distinct correlation (~ -0.3) between the numbers of players with a 5km radius of a club and their division.

Meaning, loosely, the more players you have within a 5km radius of your club, the higher the likelihood your division will be higher.

Correlation <> Causation


Looking at the data div 7 as a group appears to be an outlier, is there any correlation if you removed it?
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Re: Clubs in strife

Postby jo172 » Tue Apr 01, 2014 8:14 am

Jetters wrote:
morell wrote:Also of note: there is a moderate but distinct correlation (~ -0.3) between the numbers of players with a 5km radius of a club and their division.

Meaning, loosely, the more players you have within a 5km radius of your club, the higher the likelihood your division will be higher.

Correlation <> Causation


Looking at the data div 7 as a group appears to be an outlier, is there any correlation if you removed it?


It would also be interesting to see it without the Old Colls sides as in some cases their Oval is no where near their school (Old Iggies). Also, the "catchment" for elite colleges such as PAC and SPOC is more a matter of family blood allegiance rather than geographical catchment.
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