Realistically think 6 spots are done and there is a group of 5 fighting for 7th and 8th. Not a good year to finish 7th or 8th as the way it will end up it will probably mean a visit to Geelong, Collingwood or Hawthorn.
North and Adelaide favourites for those two spots IMO unless the Suns can pinch a couple of their next few
yeah this isnt too far from the mark.
port, hawthorn, sydney, collingwood and geelong seem to be the teams fighting it out for top 4. possibly freo too given they have a good percentage and are only 1 game back.
that leaves 7th and 8th to fight for, with gold coast, north melbourne, crows and essendon to fight for that spot.
crows currently have 5 wins, and play
Freo A - L
North H - 50/50
Ess A - 50/50
Port H - L
GWS A - W
Haw H - L
Coll A - L
WC H - W
Bris A - W
Rich H - W
North A - 50/50
Stk H - W
so given you need 13 to win, i think we need to win all of the games i have listed 50/50. Probably means games like Freo next week, or Collingwood loom as big games, because if we win one of those it could set our season up. Conversely drop one of the games to essendon or north melbourne in the next 3 weeks and it is going to be extremely hard.
Freo will finish top 4. Excellent draw for rest of season. My top 4 Port, Hawks, Sydney, Freo then Cats, Pies with NM, Crows, GC and Bombers fighting for 7th &8th