SAAFL division 6 2014

Adelaide Footy League Talk

Who will win the division 6 grand final?

Angle Vale
3
3%
Blackfriars OS
7
7%
Central United
2
2%
Fitzroy
13
13%
Ingle Farm
10
10%
Lockleys
4
4%
Mawson Lakes
13
13%
Mitchell Park
6
6%
Rosewater
32
33%
West Croydon
8
8%
 
Total votes : 98

Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby morell » Fri May 30, 2014 12:29 pm

Just have to wait and see.

Not much gets past you Mr Beefy!
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Snags » Fri May 30, 2014 1:21 pm

Rumour has it young Dylan wise to mawson lakes? From two wells and has played sanfl already and only just 19 big pick up if true...
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby beeroclock » Fri May 30, 2014 1:44 pm

Robb_Stark wrote:fitzory will have to much fire power up forward rosewater will struggle to stop them

and ingle farm have more quality top end and will account for BOS by 45 points plus

Dreaming Stark.
Wet conditions.
Farms are good but the weather will play a big part.
8 goal is very far stretched.
Different breed you umps.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Robb_Stark » Fri May 30, 2014 2:22 pm

beeroclock wrote:
Robb_Stark wrote:fitzory will have to much fire power up forward rosewater will struggle to stop them

and ingle farm have more quality top end and will account for BOS by 45 points plus

Dreaming Stark.
Wet conditions.
Farms are good but the weather will play a big part.
8 goal is very far stretched.
Different breed you umps.



when rosewater played ingle farm i picked ingle farm by about 49 points they won that by 42 points people said i dreaming that day also
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Phantom Gossiper » Fri May 30, 2014 2:31 pm

Robb_Stark wrote:when rosewater played ingle farm i picked ingle farm by about 49 points they won that by 42 points people said i dreaming that day also

You got lucky, being a smart arse and Ingle Farm were fortunate to run into an under strength Rosewater who were missing the best part of a dozen blokes over A/B grade.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby human_torpedo » Fri May 30, 2014 3:10 pm

PG playing with the straightest of bats here, Rahul Dravid like defence in use!
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby morell » Fri May 30, 2014 3:52 pm

You know what is interesting? There is a definite medium level correlation when looking at the ladder position vs players available in a 5km catchment after cannibalism.

In other words, after every club has taken its fair share of local players, the amount available to each club has an statistical impact on their ladder position.

Angle Vale, is dead last, with only 97.87 players available within 5km after all the neighbouring clubs have taken theirs
Last edited by morell on Fri May 30, 2014 3:56 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Mr Beefy » Fri May 30, 2014 3:53 pm

Prove it
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby morell » Fri May 30, 2014 3:54 pm

But then everyone teases me and calls me a propellor head :(
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Arch44 » Fri May 30, 2014 3:55 pm

morell wrote:But then everyone teases me and calls me a propellor head :(

:lol:
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Phantom Gossiper » Fri May 30, 2014 3:57 pm

I can see how more areas with a more dense catchment areas would have greater numbers and therefore opportunities, but don't think it's directly affecting ladder position or results.

Take Ingle Farm as a prime example - with the exception of the last 18 months, the club has struggled to be competitive for the best part of 7 or so years.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Yank Man » Fri May 30, 2014 4:01 pm

Phantom Gossiper wrote:I can see how more areas with a more dense catchment areas would have greater numbers and therefore opportunities, but don't think it's directly affecting ladder position or results.

Take Ingle Farm as a prime example - with the exception of the last 18 months, the club has struggled to be competitive for the best part of 7 or so years.


Don't wind him up PG, he will work on it for hours. :D
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby morell » Fri May 30, 2014 4:02 pm

I dont know if its just a coincidence with D6 right now. Or if its a pattern across all divisions. And I couldn't be bothered typing all the ladder positions into a spreadsheet to benchmark.

Of course correlation doesn't equal causation, but it is interesting and does make some semblance of sense, especially when you also consider there is also a correlation between what division you're in and how many players are local.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby morell » Fri May 30, 2014 4:04 pm

Yank Man wrote:
Phantom Gossiper wrote:I can see how more areas with a more dense catchment areas would have greater numbers and therefore opportunities, but don't think it's directly affecting ladder position or results.

Take Ingle Farm as a prime example - with the exception of the last 18 months, the club has struggled to be competitive for the best part of 7 or so years.


Don't wind him up PG, he will work on it for hours. :D
hahah, if anyone questions me on it I probably will. And I have to play tomorrow so need to rest.

So no one question me, just trust the data and then everyone will be happy.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Phantom Gossiper » Fri May 30, 2014 4:05 pm

I think there would be a greater correlation between those clubs with good junior programs - particularly higher grade team eg 14's-18's - than those without in terms of ladder position

Once again using Ingle Farm as an example, we have something like 9 current u/18's players in the A/B grade, and several players who have come through the junior system in recent seasons.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Phantom Gossiper » Fri May 30, 2014 4:07 pm

Yank Man wrote:Don't wind him up PG, he will work on it for hours. :D

:lol: Probably just dump the data into one of the analytical programs and let it do the work lol..

Come on Morell, i reckon you could have it done by COB ;) :D
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby morell » Fri May 30, 2014 4:08 pm

Give me a list of all the clubs with how many juniors they have and I'll do it.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby morell » Fri May 30, 2014 4:09 pm

Phantom Gossiper wrote:
Yank Man wrote:Don't wind him up PG, he will work on it for hours. :D

:lol: Probably just dump the data into one of the analytical programs and let it do the work lol..

Come on Morell, i reckon you could have it done by COB ;) :D
The calc takes 5 minutes

Getting the data takes hours.
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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby Footy Chick » Fri May 30, 2014 4:11 pm

We love Morell ;)

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Re: SAAFL division 6 2014

Postby morell » Fri May 30, 2014 4:13 pm

Football is a game played by the dextrous, but only understood by the pointdexterous.
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