by Oaksnaf » Tue Feb 16, 2016 9:24 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:25 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:38 am
by Oaksnaf » Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:02 pm
by Oaksnaf » Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:16 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:18 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:31 pm
by Oaksnaf » Tue Feb 16, 2016 4:09 pm
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:quick glance through Horsham
race 3 - 2 I can see this running into a place at juicy odds, will begin moderately and should be able to utilise the long straights here to pick up ground. Cant win.
by mighty_tiger_79 » Tue Feb 16, 2016 4:30 pm
by mal » Tue Feb 16, 2016 5:19 pm
by Oaksnaf » Tue Feb 16, 2016 6:29 pm
by mal » Tue Feb 16, 2016 6:58 pm
mal wrote:An example of why the win market should not relate to a place market
Horsham Race 7-5 Eumerilla Donny
Oaksy has this dog at $17-30 , and the 7th rated dog in a win 0nly assessment
Dog has not the speed to win this and would need interference to the others to win, but the dog is as strong as an ox, given some luck can run a place
It simply cant be the 7th rated place chance , but could be close to the top pick for a place
by mal » Tue Feb 16, 2016 7:27 pm
Oaksnaf wrote:I've never pursued the place market and I don't keep results of tab place payouts for my win markets. I just keep track of the S/R.
In a win market, if my 1st selection has a 30% S/R of winning and if my 2nd selection finishes 2nd 30% of the time and my 3rd selection finishes 3rd 30% of the time what benefit would I get from doing a place market.
Also if you were exotic punting, would you incorporate both your WIN market and PLACE market? Or would your 1st selection only involve the WIN market and your 2nd and 3rd only involve the PLACE market?
I get confused.
by Oaksnaf » Tue Feb 16, 2016 9:54 pm
by Oaksnaf » Tue Feb 16, 2016 10:34 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Feb 17, 2016 9:40 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Feb 17, 2016 9:55 am
by Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 17, 2016 10:51 am
by mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Feb 17, 2016 11:05 am
by Oaksnaf » Wed Feb 17, 2016 12:44 pm
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