Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

[Corona Man]

Nice work LPH - thanks for taking the time to write a preview. I enjoy reading them

A few to follow tomorrow. I am being a little wary though on these heavy tracks!

[JK]

Had a crack at Clemenacy this morning, owes me nothing, good luck lads!!

[Stumps]

17/09/2016
Better Day last week – couple of nice PLACE Bets came in. Unfortunately, I forgot to ‘Trixie’ & ‘Yankee’ them up, so could’ve been better. Tomorrow’s races are a lottery IMHO. The Caulfield meeting is VERY tricky. The winner of the ‘Mannerism’ gets an automatic entry into the Caulfield Cup. Once again, both Sydney & Melbourne fields are effected by the weather – more Heavy tracks again this week, sadly. Will Waller scratch Winx again, as a result? Wouldn’t surprise.

Caulfield Race 8 – The Mannerism

As I’ve already backed Set Square for the Caulfield Cup, so I’m hopeful she’ll win this race & qualify for the Cup. The trainer was on TV Sunday suggesting that Set Square & Jameka are probably going on ‘separate paths’ to the Caulfield Cup after this race. He was pretty keen to win the Mannerism, though. Berisha has already qualified for the Cup, by virtue of winning the Mornington Cup earlier in the year – so this race is just a warm up for it & it won’t be featuring in the finish IMHO. I am a fan of Tom Melbourne, I think he can be a stayer of some quality & this Spring might be the making of him – reckon he might win a race like the Mooney Valley Cup or the Lexus on Derby Day & then run well in the Melbourne Cup with 50kgs – he’s currently 119th on the Order of entry, so will need to win a big race like one of those just to get in the ‘Big One’ ($51 at present). Sorry, bit of a tangent there. This race I’ll be backing 2 of them: Excess Knowledge – good gate & will be getting a ‘gun run’ 3rd or 4th on the fence the entire trip. The other is Set Square (naturally). Double figure odds the 2 of them – I’m backing both Eachway.

Box Trifecta: 2, 3, 6, 8, 12, 13

Caulfield Race 4 – BM 90, 1400m Race

Like a fresh horse here @ the Eachway Price, No. 5 Clemency. Great record fresh & the wet conditions shouldn’t worry her. She ‘maps’ OK – I reckon Dunn will have her 3 or 4 back in (to use a Trotting term) the ‘running line’. Expect him to bring her down the middle of the straight from the 300m & if she can finish off, she can win IMHO. I’ve backed her already @ $11, so the shortening $8.50 quote is good news, - 1 x 3 Units.

Box Trifecta: 1, 2, 4, 5, 9

These wet tracks in Sydney are beginning to annoy me. Not only does it make doing the form difficult, but the fields continually get ‘hammered’ with scratchings & that destroys the prices of those horses already backed!

Randwick Race 6 – The George Main (or if you prefer, "The Toothpaste Stakes")

8 runners – Winx is scaring away any competition! Will she win again? My gut feeling is Waller will scratch her again. I thought I heard somewhaere that the Top Weight will be scratched – anyone else hear that?

Le Romain was unlucky last start not to get us the money. At $15 I reckon he’s worth a small punt. Maybe an Exacta & Quinella too? Maybe bet like this: 3 Units the Win on Le Romain, 2 Units Exacta Winx/Le Romain, 5 Units Quinella Winx/Le Romain?

Randwick Race 8 – The Bill Richie

Interestingly, there are 2 x Godolphin Runners in the race & McDonald isn’t riding either of them.
He’s on one of the 4 Waller runners; Sadler’s Lake. Why is this? Is it because of the Inghams?
This horse has a reasonable wet record but will likely go back from the start, so that’s always a risk on a wet track. If he’s to figure in the finish, he’ll want them to be setting a good tempo up front. I reckon Lady Le Fay will probably do that. So at the price, I’m willing to gamble on Sadler’s Lake. If I can get $3.60 the PLACE, I’m very happy. Can I get $13 or $14 the win? We shall see. Big watch on No. 7 Tsarista – Berry has a very good strike rate when on Waller horses.

Box Trifecta: 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Eagle Farm Race 7 - BM 75 1600m

I’m taking a punt on the weather & the track being wet. If it is (I’ve checked the forecast for Brisbane Airport which is near Eagle Farm Racecourse), then No. 4 Fusina is way over the odds @ $17. I’ve already taken it on UBET & the more rain the better for it.
I always look at Rob Heathcote runners 1st in Brisbane & I must admit I am a Jim Byrne fan too, so this 5 yr old will do me. I’m doing a ‘rain dance’ as we speak

Starting get closer to October Lads & that’s when the form begins to stack up.
Enjoy another day on the punt but tread carefully, particularly in Melbourne tomorrow.

appreciate this LPH but don't reckon Caulfield will be worse than a soft6- regardless winx has to run if its going to keep to its planned program.
le romain ran at Newcastle today (2nd)., will be scratched. Love the guts of betting against a fave but glad you have got your money back here on le romain. if it cant win at Newcastle its not getting within 10L of winx.

Randwick improving by the minute and will prob be good 4 by the sounds.

[mighty_tiger_79]

The Japanese horse was scratched against winx tomorrow
Winx will run and will win

[JK]

English probably shouldn't lose tomorrow, but I had to back Ball Of Muscle in the Shorts, another thats done plenty right by me and owes nothing.

[helicopterking]

I'm cautious today. Won't be going very hard.
Jameka will be my most likely today. Liked her run last start. Small multi's going into her most likely.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Just following the money in Sydney at moment. Haven't had a chance to study
R3 #2 1 w unit x 4 pl units

[mighty_tiger_79]

No joy there

Just going through the predictor on punters.com.au for caulfield

I note Alaskan rose in in race 3.
Won't be suited by caulfield as it normally settles worse than midfield.
First up today it may be a little more forward, I'll be keen to see how she runs.

The pick here is Miss Gunpowder

[mighty_tiger_79]

Top 4 via my predictor

R4
2-5-3-9

[mighty_tiger_79]

Caulfield
R5
9-1-13-4

R6
2-9-6-10

R7
1-4-6-9
Keen on hucklebuck here, was pushed out in a recent trial. A horse behind it went well at Gawler, clearly a class difference but think it's a great ew bet

R8
Tough tough
8-4 then there is in no particular order but close together in ratings 6-13-1-16-7

Jameka, keen to see how she goes today

R9
2 by a street from 13-1-7-9-4-14 in no order

R10
16-4-5-9-6

[LPH]

MR 4 Box Trifecta pays $365

[mighty_tiger_79]

Alaskan Rose, what a nice type. And no I didn't put a ******* ¢ on

[mighty_tiger_79]

MR 4 Box Trifecta pays $365

Nice hit

[mighty_tiger_79]

and of course the silly site didn't take out the scratchings.......ffs

[Computer Crashed]

I'm about to be found out as a mug punter or astute.
Has everyone over looked Real Love Mr8.
I'm on.
Bloody Hartnell has come back an impressive beast.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Took a Melbourne quaddie

Thought well sprung got up on the post.

Boxed up my 4 in the exotics plus the ew on hucklebuck who runs 4th after every possible

[helicopterking]

Don't want to be anywhere less then 8 off the fence at Caulfield and Eagle Farm.

[mighty_tiger_79]

I'm about to be found out as a mug punter or astute.
Has everyone over looked Real Love Mr8.
I'm on.
Bloody Hartnell has come back an impressive beast.

Real Love came out as my 2nd pick on the predictor.
But I love Jameka.

[helicopterking]

Go Jameka

[mighty_tiger_79]

Don't want to be anywhere less then 8 off the fence at Caulfield and Eagle Farm.

And at Caulfield, you can sit off the pace and just go whooshka down the outside