Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

[Mythical Creature]

Sitting at home watching the geeling races and it looks like all the winners are coming from the front
Based on sportsbet speed map and watxhing the first 6 races i am tipping number 5 grey lion in the cup.
Please bear in mind i am the definition of mug punter so follow me with the expectation to lose. :

[JK]

Geelong Cup day lads, watch those back markers for some Cup value...

I’ve backed Vengeur Masque @ 30/1 today hoping it wins & gets in to the Melbourne Cup where I’ve got it going @ 750/1...

Toot toot!! Nice darts bud

[Spargo]

Geelong Cup day lads, watch those back markers for some Cup value...

I’ve backed Vengeur Masque @ 30/1 today hoping it wins & gets in to the Melbourne Cup where I’ve got it going @ 750/1...

[Booney]

Geelong Cup day lads, watch those back markers for some Cup value...

I’ve backed Vengeur Masque @ 30/1 today hoping it wins & gets in to the Melbourne Cup where I’ve got it going @ 750/1...

Boom!

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Turf or synthetic today?

Turf, soft rating.

Cheers mate.

Narrowed it down to:

Shorter priced runners = 3, 4, 11

Value runners = 1,2,6,12

Might just work some exotics around those numbers. Took a box 6 Tri in the Cup on Saturday and didn't have a runner in the first 3, so that should frank my (lack of) form

You should have got some tips from Facebook, one in 3 backed the winner & one in 10 the trifecta, pity it was the day after the race & none of them were able to screen-print their ticket.

[Brodlach]

Nice get Spargo

[mighty_tiger_79]

Geelong Cup day lads, watch those back markers for some Cup value...

I’ve backed Vengeur Masque @ 30/1 today hoping it wins & gets in to the Melbourne Cup where I’ve got it going @ 750/1...

Into $61 on ubet

[OnSong]

Geelong Cup day lads, watch those back markers for some Cup value...

I’ve backed Vengeur Masque @ 30/1 today hoping it wins & gets in to the Melbourne Cup where I’ve got it going @ 750/1...

Into $61 on ubet

Cash out!

[OnSong]

Geelong Cup day lads, watch those back markers for some Cup value...

I’ve backed Vengeur Masque @ 30/1 today hoping it wins & gets in to the Melbourne Cup where I’ve got it going @ 750/1...

I glossed over this. Not sure why. Definitely read it but didn't even think when I rushed off to the pub to back some squib of a thing.

Nice get! Geez it was a good run. Can't say it did it with ease but it was a tough win.

[Spargo]

Geelong Cup day lads, watch those back markers for some Cup value...

I’ve backed Vengeur Masque @ 30/1 today hoping it wins & gets in to the Melbourne Cup where I’ve got it going @ 750/1...

I glossed over this. Not sure why. Definitely read it but didn't even think when I rushed off to the pub to back some squib of a thing.

Nice get! Geez it was a good run. Can't say it did it with ease but it was a tough win.

It may have to go to the Lexus to get a run in The Cup.

[Brodlach]

Geelong Cup winners are exempt from the ballot

[Spargo]

Geelong Cup winners are exempt from the ballot

Trainer Mike Moroney said he wouldn’t hesitate starting him in the Lexus if he was still a long way down the order of entry for the Melbourne Cup.
Before yesterday’s Geelong Cup he was 45th in the order with several horses above him unlikely. Moroney is hoping for a penalty & more drop outs.
“Just hope for a little bit more weight and attrition as well,” he said.

[Booney]

While yesterday's run was good for $pargo I can't see any of that field bothering the likes of Almandin in the dry or Jon Snow if it's terribly wet.

[JK]

Turf or synthetic today?

Turf, soft rating.

Cheers mate.

Narrowed it down to:

Shorter priced runners = 3, 4, 11

Value runners = 1,2,6,12

Might just work some exotics around those numbers. Took a box 6 Tri in the Cup on Saturday and didn't have a runner in the first 3, so that should frank my (lack of) form

You should have got some tips from Facebook, one in 3 backed the winner & one in 10 the trifecta, pity it was the day after the race & none of them were able to screen-print their ticket.

Haha great strikerate those FB punters have .... After the race

[Spargo]

Geelong Cup winners are exempt from the ballot

Trainer Mike Moroney said he wouldn’t hesitate starting him in the Lexus if he was still a long way down the order of entry for the Melbourne Cup.
Before yesterday’s Geelong Cup he was 45th in the order with several horses above him unlikely. Moroney is hoping for a penalty & more drop outs.
“Just hope for a little bit more weight and attrition as well,” he said.

Has been given half a kilo penalty, now carries 50.5kg and has moved up to equal 36th in the order of entry with 6 above him already out, essentially making him now 30th.

[Mr Beefy]

Just a general comment on the FTA coverage of the major meets on Seven. I honestly find Bruce McAvaney much more bearable, pleasant even, hosting the races than commentating the footy. Weird. Seems to be much more relaxed at the gallops.

Well he doesnt say stupid things like "Oooh, Winx delicious"

Sent from my SM-G920I using Tapatalk

[LPH]

Great get Spargo!!! Love well priced winners
I am a McAvaney Fan, personally. Sure @ times he goes over the top a bit but apart from Cometti, who doesn't/didn't?
BT drives me crazy, as did Rex Hunt.

Bruce knows his Racing & is a very good caller of Athletics, he just has a few annoying habits at times.

[LPH]

Posted 8:40pm Thursday 26/10/2017
And we are back for Cox Plate & Manikato weekend.

Sorry about last week but I have been really busy @ work & at home – building the Boy an outdoor room.
Not much to say this week, only focussing on The Valley.
Before I get into the Preview, how much ‘flack’ is Craig Williams copping recently for his rides? Seems that he has ignored instructions on a few occasions recently, so one might expect that he will be out to win a few races over the next couple of weeks. We shall see.

Mooney Valley (Friday) – The Manikato Stakes

So, there are 2 Form Races to look at: The Everest & The Moir – but there are some distinct differences in the ‘Class’ of the Fields IMHO. That said, on the punt, do we look away from The Everest for a ‘value runner’? Vega Magic (ironically ridden by Williams) looks the winner but I can’t have him at the price. The ‘forgotten runner’ in the race is Spieth. He was well in the market last start & ‘flopped’ down the straight @ Headquarters. His pattern of racing does put him at a disadvantage but don’t be surprised if he is in the finish here.

I backed English in The Everest & was disappointed with how far back she got – she did finish off the race well. Mark Zahra is riding in career best form & I am happy to stick with her here. I’m hoping she gets to use the camber & flies home to nail the favourite. Concede a rough chance to Voodoo Lad as he has a great record here & Gate 1, & Chautauqua is always a chance in a race like this.
Sticking with English 2 x 5 Units & 3 Units Place on Voodoo Lad.

Trifecta: 1,2/ 1,2/ Field; 1,8/ 1,8/ Field; 2,8/ 2,8/ Field

Mooney Valley (Saturday) – The Cox Plate

This is my favourite race each year – IMHO, the BEST in the country. That said, I wish it were at Flemington so it were completely fair for all runners, like the ‘old’ Mckinnon Stakes when it was held on Derby Day. Can any of them beat the Mare? Probably not.

Interestingly, I heard on Radio this morning Max Presnell’s ‘Dream Plate’ Field – no Field’s of Omagh in the field surprised me (seeing she won 2 & was 3rd & 4th in another 2).

Suggest we all just sit back & enjoy the race … that said, I am a Punter so I am prepared to have a Punt, just because I can & must.

I have backed the Godolphin runner Folkswood to win, simply because the $29 Powered is worth a small wager. Leo Schlink said during the week “… he’s a very good horse”. I always look seriously @ the 3 year old’s in the race simply due to the huge weight advantage they have, therefore Royal Symphony has to be considered. I think she’ll win & probably comfortably, but I’m willing to punt.

Trifecta: Box 3, 5, 8, 9

Mooney Valley (Saturday) – The Vase

This is an interesting race. Cliff’s Edge was dominant on-pace last weekend but the track @ Caulfield was heavily biased in favour of front runners – so the short price here might be a bit misleading. The 1000 Guineas winner is very short too, but steps up another 2 furlongs for this race, so again at the short quote is a risk IMHO.

I do like Salsamor as a filly – surprisingly she’s not nominated for the Oaks. That suggests that this race could well be her GF. At the enhanced $14 with Ladbrokes is good value for mine. The $2.60 Place bet is a bit ‘skinny’ but might be a bit of insurance. Happy to take her 3 x 7 Units.

Trifecta: 2,3/ 2,3/ Field; 2,9/ 2,9/ Field; 3,9/ 3,9/ Field

Enjoy the Day Lads – expect a ‘bumper’ preview next week for my favourite Race day of the Year, Derby Day

[mighty_tiger_79]

I had the same thought regarding Craig Williams.

I found 2 for the weekend at Valley thus far

Tomorrow night r8 -2 bassett

Saturday

R3-6 eclair (thingymajig) the Stokes trained horse

[OnSong]

I had the same thought regarding Craig Williams.

I found 2 for the weekend at Valley thus far

Tomorrow night r8 -2 bassett

Saturday

R3-6 eclair (thingymajig) the Stokes trained horse

Is that the grey?