globe derby monday 22/4/07

[bayman]

gdp monday,

r1 8 on top & should win from 4,5,6,10 with a ? on 7 as is first up or 13 months so watch market, the 4 is the main danger while 1 could sneak 3rd at odds
r2 chances in an open race 1,4,5,6,10,11 the 1 trialled ok against the pacers
r3 well the racebook says for 'ro only non winners' between all of them there is 124 starts for 15 placings a placing every 8.2666 starts), chances appear 1,3,4,9,10 with a ? on 8 (from mt.gambier)
r4 very hard race chances 1,2,3,5,7,10
r5 another even race chances 2,3,5 going better,7,9,10
r6 i have 6,9 on top from 3?,4,5,7 (& mal will be happy no 1 is first up for 26 months it is a 25/1 chance no hope)
r7 1 to lead & win main dangers 2,5 while 6,7,9,10 can run into the multis
r8 chances 1,4,7,8,9 to be honest i do not know the 1's standstart form maybe scd can help there but if steps it is a definate chance
r9 chances 2,3,7,8,9,10 with 8 rated on top at 6/4

suggested bet(s)
r1 no 8 win
r7 no 1 win

betfair lay
r4 no 6 went terrible at the starth meeting worth laying in this from this draw

good luck on the punt & i'm sure scd & jj will be happy sherwood ralph is 'in its class' it still has no hope though

[mal]

no late mal

[SCD]

R1 -8 a moral from 1,3,5,7,10
R2 - 3,4,6,10,11 the hopes in an open race
R3 - 1,7,8,9 the hopes here.. YES Bayman i've actually put Sherwood Ralph in as a hope from this barrier in this race, with the thinking that 1 can lead but HOW SAD!!!
R4 - 7 e/w special from 1,2,3,5,8,9
R5 - 1,2,9,10 the only winning hopes for me.. like the 9 e/w
R6 - 9 should bounce back and win... from 4 and 6 and place hopes to 2,3,8,10
R7 - 1,2,5 on top (be careful.. think the 1 can get crossed here Bayman) from 3,6,7,10
R8 - Bayman.. 1 has had 1 stand start in Melb from barrier 1 (slow out) - but we start different here and would expect it to step.. so 1,4,7,8,9 the main ones in a tough race (i expect 4 to lead)
R9 - 8 a moral (certainty beat last week - when pushed wide and wider by the winner.. who is a nice horse) from 1,2,3,5,7,9,10

Suggested Bets
R1 - 8 w
R4 - 7 e/w
R6 - 9 w
R9 - 8 w

Betfair Specials
R4 - 2 thought lucky to win with fence runs last start
R6 - 1 25/1.. offer that about it finishing in the home straight when the others are finishing the race...
R8 - 7 if under $4 lay it.. better horse in front and 20m over 2230m.. makes it tough
R9 - 2 and 3 can't beat the 8 and might be $4 or $5 and at a price to lay off against them...

ALL I CAN SAY IS GO SHERWOOD RALPH!!

[another grub]

well done to scoob on plunging born a corka late.... saw black figures and plunged it into $1.70..... thanks for killing our price scoob..... should have seen the look on his face when it was stopping in the last 50m..... Id hate to be mrs scoob cleaning those jocks.....

[bayman]

i had a slight loss after a good win on saturday but i'm not happy i was in the shop when the first was run as i would've backed the winner at that price i had it 5/2 2nd fav & it pays $14.70 (i had the fav 1/2) but 14/1 the main danger is worth backing e/w, shattering start to the day