AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

[mighty_tiger_79]

they have been betting on that for a while tabsportsbet, while centrebet do a similar thing but the race to 25 points in the first 1/4 only, so neither team getting there is also an option.

good for people who dont want to wait 2 hours to collect!!!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

South are a GIFT this weekend

they beat Port down there 4 weeks ago when the market was about $1.85 both teams, Port have improved while South have had some huge losses, but they were ok last week South.

It all depends on whether the boys want to win for the coach..........

[mal]

Carlton won 8 first 1/4's this season, Collingwood 7...an advantage?

Carlton average 28 points in 1st 1/4's, Collingwood 21...an advantage?

am I right Mally?

Those stats influenced my decision
Good work Professor the stats equate to about $1-85 your pick
BUT
The $3-80 COULD be the best price EVER on footpunt or about the right odds

Someone with a very astute sporting knowledge out ther will Post the reason

CLUE : Not played at the DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

[bayman]

well it is probably about a 2/1 chance so he (mal) has got overs but what if weatherman mal gets a 5 or 6 goal breeze to start with ? remember its not an inside game, then its probably a 4/7 chance

[Dutchy]

another interesting stat is Collingwood average 25 Points Against in first 1/4's this year, Carlton 30...

Hmmmm....Mally might have found his first black figures CHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARGE

[mighty_tiger_79]

what are the teams stats at the G????

[Dutchy]

what are the teams stats at the G????

stats since 2000 between these teams at the G at 1/4 time

2000 3 Carlton 4.5 (29) vs Collingwood 7.3 (45) MCG Lost -16
2001 6 Carlton 4.1 (25) vs Collingwood 4.7 (31) MCG Lost -6
2001 21 Carlton 4.3 (27) vs Collingwood 2.2 (14) MCG WON 13
2002 3 Carlton 4.3 (27) vs Collingwood 1.2 (8) MCG WON 19
2002 18 Carlton 1.2 (8) vs Collingwood 5.5 (35) MCG Lost -27
2003 2 Carlton 4.1 (25) vs Collingwood 5.4 (34) MCG Lost -9
2003 17 Carlton 1.3 (9) vs Collingwood 7.4 (46) MCG Lost -37
2004 7 Carlton 1.5 (11) vs Collingwood 3.3 (21) MCG Lost -10
2004 22 Carlton 3.2 (20) vs Collingwood 5.3 (33) MCG Lost -13
2005 3 Carlton 3.4 (22) vs Collingwood 3.1 (19) MCG WON 3
2005 20 Carlton 7.2 (44) vs Collingwood 3.4 (22) MCG WON 22
2006 6 Carlton 1.4 (10) vs Collingwood 2.5 (17) MCG Lost -7
2006 21 Carlton 7.1 (43) vs Collingwood 4.5 (29) MCG WON 14
2007 7 Carlton 5.2 (32) vs Collingwood 1.6 (12) MCG WON 20

Carlton have won 4 of the last 5 1st 1/4's between these teams....Hows that Mally???

[mighty_tiger_79]

great work Professor DUTCHY

im CHARGING!!!!!!!!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

ive jumped on CARLTON to first to 25 pts at $3.80

taken Carlton first to 25pts with Port win =$5.70

carlton first to 25pts with West coast win =$4.86

plus the treble which is $7.29

[mal]

well it is probably about a 2/1 chance so he (mal) has got overs but what if weatherman mal gets a 5 or 6 goal breeze to start with ? remember its not an inside game, then its probably a 4/7 chance

Well done BAYMAN

Yes the $3-80 bet is sensational if CA win the toss and kick with the breeze
The $3-80 as BAYMAN said is $1-60 if they have the breeze
If CO win the toss then the $3-80 is still a chance
Imagine taking $1-20 CO and CA kick with a breeze......
LETS FACE FACTS THE SIDE THAT WINS A TOSS WITH A 5 GOAL BREEZE
SHOULD NEARLY ALWAYS BE LONG ODDS ON TO GET 25 FIRST.

Other good teams at the 25 are
KA get there first
SS get there second[But ML are slow out as well in this weeks game]

[Dutchy]

Not much wind getting in there Mal!!!!...I thought my stats showed a better case for the bet?

[bayman]

south are 3.75 with johnny, i'm amazed at the price difference, i'm not saying south a morals but i'd rather back south at those odds than port at 1.20 & as someone said earlier south did have a crack last week & they look quicker than port

[Dutchy]

so what price will CS open up South?...anyone help here?

[mighty_tiger_79]

so what price will CS open up South?...anyone help here?

well lets see how do we work it out.............

maybe $1.15 Port.........

or $3.05 South

or perhaps BOTH

[mighty_tiger_79]

dutchy

i just noted your stats on the carlton collingwood 1/4 time results

I noticed a couple of times both teams got there by the end of the 1/4, but who got there first!!!!!!!

Im still happy to be on even if collingwood get to kick with a gale behind them!!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

the 3 teams i had to LAW last week came in, a pity about Collingwood not doing the right thing by the 1/2 time - full time double

Geelong $1.14 to LAW -

Brisbane $2.10 h.t/f.t

Port $1.85 h.t/f.t

Sydney LAW $1.22

WEST COAST law $2

[mal]

so what price will CS open up South?...anyone help here?

well lets see how do we work it out.............

maybe $1.15 Port.........

or $3.05 South

or perhaps BOTH

I can work out something for you MT
CproffessorS will have the a majority of the winners below the other bookies
As they have done most of the year most of the games

[G]

Do COMPLETE actually bet before the 1st bounce ?

[Punk Rooster]

Do COMPLETE actually bet before the 1st bounce ?

yes, 15 sec's before... but they are PROFESSORS afterall!

[Punk Rooster]

South Adelaide are $2 (+20.5 pts) & $4 (1-39), both these represent value, imo.
Also, West Adelaide @ $2 (+28.pts) @ home would be some value.