AFL+SANFL RD 18 DISCUSSION

[Dutchy]

Also, West Adelaide @ $2 (+28.pts) @ home would be some value.

PM me Punk, Ill give you +30.5 for Westies @ $2.00...or anyone else!

[mighty_tiger_79]

carlton first to 25pts is into $3.50.........and shortening...........

[mighty_tiger_79]

taken

geelong LAW
Bris - 1/2-full time double
Port 1/2 - full double
Sydney LAW
West Coast - Law =$9.83

all the above at the 1/2 - full time doubles =$6.87

geelong LAW
Port 1/2-full time double
Sydney LAW
West Coast LAW = $4.68

then i took those all at the 1/2 - full time double with carlton first to 25pts at $11.46

more multis to add

Glenelg pts -36.5/Sth Adel win =$7.75

glenelg pts/Sth adel pts =$4

port power win/ west coast win/glenelg pts/ sth adel win =$11.80

port power win/ glenelg pts/ sth adel pts =$6.5

port power win/ west coast win/ glenelg pts/sth adel win = $15.5

port power pts/ west coast pts/ glenelg pts/ sth adel pts =$16

port power pts/ west coast pts/ glenelg pts/ sth adel win =$30

port power win/ west coast win/ glenelg pts/ sth adel pts =$ 8.33

[Dutchy]

Saints - In the battle of the weary legs with Bullies playing last 4 on the DOOM and Saints 4 of the last 5, expect a tired error riddled game tonight with Saints to come out on top but with no confidence...this could be a draw! NO BET

Collingwood - Will come out fighting after last week and beat Carlton but not by a huge margin, they havent won by over 33 points all season. Carlton took advantage of the DOOM theory to reduce the Margin agains tthe Saints but were still ordinary NO BET

Geelong - Yep NO BET

Brisbane - On fire at the moment but is there is one team that will take advantage of teams getting ahead f themselves its the Roos, tough game to tip with Roos at full strength (minus Thomo), could go either way but going to tip the Lions given the Roos have been Melb>Perth>Melb>Tassie>Melb>Brisbane in the last 20 days. Brisbane will want revenge after being embarresed on the Goldy earlier in the year...hope Im wrong here though NO BET

Adelaide - Heres my upset, Port are getting ahead of themselves big time, they have played 1 team in the top 7 in their last 7 games and had easy kills of late...very similar to when they fell apart to Sydney earlier in the year coincidently coming off big wins over Melbourne and Richmond, looking at that maybe their position in the 8 is higher than it should be considering they have had the luxury of playing Melbourne and Richmond twice this season already. They havent had a hard tough game for a while and I think the Crows will guarantee that tomorrow night in front of their home crowd with their season on the line, Adelaide do worry me a bit with the 6 day backup coming off the DOOM however Im pleased they arent playing injured players like they have...Crows to suprise Crows +11.5

Sydney - They have found some firepower of late and added some big scoring to their play which gives them a different dimension, they play well in Canberra and expect them to belt the Demons Sydney 40+

Hawks - Got some key players back and will have the motivation here to fight back on the G where they are 4-2 this season against Essendons 1-4 at the G. Essendon will be flat after last week and while they have won 5 of the last 9 all those wins have been under 2 goals. 4 of their last 5 games ahve been on the DOOM also...Expect the Hawks to find their form here Hawks win and 40+

West Coast - Travelling beautifully and come off a 9 day break coming into this game, Freo are a mess and cant beat interstate teams at home this season, WCE easily WCE -21.5

[Punk Rooster]

Dutchy,
Don't WCE have the DOOM factor to consider- Dockers @ the line?
Also, Geelong travelled to Perth last week, traditionally, sides coming back form Perth struggle the following week. Throw in complacency, & Richmond @ the line looks to be the bet for that game, if you had to bet on it....

[mighty_tiger_79]

plus ADELAIDE played at the DOOM last week.

i cant take geelong at -50.5 because of the travel factor and also richmond did beat geelong at kardinia Park last year.

[Dutchy]

Dutchy,
Don't WCE have the DOOM factor to consider- Dockers @ the line?
Also, Geelong travelled to Perth last week, traditionally, sides coming back form Perth struggle the following week. Throw in complacency, & Richmond @ the line looks to be the bet for that game, if you had to bet on it....

WCE did play at the DOOM but have a 9 day break coming into this game which mitigates it, plus the fact Freo are shit!

Not touching Geelong at SS, they through up some mystery results at SS, if at the Dome I would be on them, plus weather maybe dodgey

My big bet on AFL this week will be Hawks with medium wagers on Adelaide, Sydney and WCE at lines

[Punk Rooster]

i cant take geelong at -50.5 because of the travel factor and also richmond did beat geelong at kardinia Park last year.

well BIRD BRAIN, you take Richmond at the line then!!!!!!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

i cant take geelong at -50.5 because of the travel factor and also richmond did beat geelong at kardinia Park last year.

well BIRD BRAIN, you take Richmond at the line then!!!!!!!

well BALD BRAIN i cant take RICHMOND at the line either, because no-one knows just what they will dish up!!!!!!!!!!

[mal]

Saints - In the battle of the weary legs with Bullies playing last 4 on the DOOM and Saints 4 of the last 5, expect a tired error riddled game tonight with Saints to come out on top but with no confidence...this could be a draw! NO BET

Collingwood - Will come out fighting after last week and beat Carlton but not by a huge margin, they havent won by over 33 points all season. Carlton took advantage of the DOOM theory to reduce the Margin agains tthe Saints but were still ordinary NO BET

Geelong - Yep NO BET

Brisbane - On fire at the moment but is there is one team that will take advantage of teams getting ahead f themselves its the Roos, tough game to tip with Roos at full strength (minus Thomo), could go either way but going to tip the Lions given the Roos have been Melb>Perth>Melb>Tassie>Melb>Brisbane in the last 20 days. Brisbane will want revenge after being embarresed on the Goldy earlier in the year...hope Im wrong here though NO BET

Adelaide - Heres my upset, Port are getting ahead of themselves big time, they have played 1 team in the top 7 in their last 7 games and had easy kills of late...very similar to when they fell apart to Sydney earlier in the year coincidently coming off big wins over Melbourne and Richmond, looking at that maybe their position in the 8 is higher than it should be considering they have had the luxury of playing Melbourne and Richmond twice this season already. They havent had a hard tough game for a while and I think the Crows will guarantee that tomorrow night in front of their home crowd with their season on the line, Adelaide do worry me a bit with the 6 day backup coming off the DOOM however Im pleased they arent playing injured players like they have...Crows to suprise Crows +11.5

Sydney - They have found some firepower of late and added some big scoring to their play which gives them a different dimension, they play well in Canberra and expect them to belt the Demons Sydney 40+

Hawks - Got some key players back and will have the motivation here to fight back on the G where they are 4-2 this season against Essendons 1-4 at the G. Essendon will be flat after last week and while they have won 5 of the last 9 all those wins have been under 2 goals. 4 of their last 5 games ahve been on the DOOM also...Expect the Hawks to find their form here Hawks win and 40+

West Coast - Travelling beautifully and come off a 9 day break coming into this game, Freo are a mess and cant beat interstate teams at home this season, WCE easily WCE -21.5

PROFESSOR DUTCHY = GENUIS
Look at his comments and match prediction for the WB V SK game

" expect a tired error riddled game"

"....this could be a draw

Surely you backed the WB at those odds DUTCHY ?

[Dutchy]

I tipped it on the 17th March 2007, check out the first post on this thread and the 6th paragraph!

http://www.safooty.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=6742&start=0

[mal]

Welcolme to the great prediction club Dutchy
Good to have some company.

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Really should listen to the minister of war, she asked me about The Doggies chances last night & said that they had a few good ins, I told her that Punk & me were discussing the same thing & then she asked what price was the draw. Told her $60 & she gave a little hmmm & reckoned it was worth a fiver but never followed it up.
Had a little on Carlton & The Dees today at big odds, best West Coast line.

[Dutchy]

CHARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGE

TAB is betting first team to 25 points
I have a superdooper over which I have backed
CA at $3-80 to get to 25 points first is the best bet
They have been having good first quarters most games of late

There is also another MASSIVE reason to back them NOW at the $3-80
The sports genuises will work out why the $3-80 is a CRAZY price

Who has the MALtheorem worked out .

great work Mal, bit nervous when Collingwood got to 24 points!!!....came into $2.90 before the bounce on TAB but got $4-00 on Centrebet

[LT Smash]

Great tip Mal!!!

Kicking myself I only layed a lazy $5 down on it but just can't seem to find a reason to trust the Blues...

Oh well, $19 will buy me a few pints at AAMI tonite...

[Punk Rooster]

Also, West Adelaide @ $2 (+28.pts) @ home would be some value.

PM me Punk, Ill give you +30.5 for Westies @ $2.00...or anyone else!

*Punk kicks himself*

[Dutchy]

Also, West Adelaide @ $2 (+28.pts) @ home would be some value.

PM me Punk, Ill give you +30.5 for Westies @ $2.00...or anyone else!

*Punk kicks himself*

Dutchy laughs...

[mal]

If its wet windy and wild AC have a chance
If its dry PP will be shorter

[mal]

Port at a $1.40 is good value......

agreed...

[mal]

CHARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGE

TAB is betting first team to 25 points
I have a superdooper over which I have backed
CA at $3-80 to get to 25 points first is the best bet
They have been having good first quarters most games of late

There is also another MASSIVE reason to back them NOW at the $3-80
The sports genuises will work out why the $3-80 is a CRAZY price

Who has the MALtheorem worked out .

And another FOOTYMAL salutes

PS did anyone ELSE latch on to the $1-53 gift from GIFTBET CD to beat EG ?
I know CENTREMAN had a massive collect on the doggys

MT79 I cant private message you, tell the lads an extra $114 in the kitty for the yellows