HOW TO WIN GAMBLING

[mal]

General rule is the more starts in a Maiden before the promotion to C1 the greater
incidence of being unplaced at the CI debut

I RUN very low risk
2 RUNS low risk
5 RUNS risk
8+RUNS very big risk
15 runs enourmous risk
25 runs

If a horse wins a Maiden within 1-3 runs its prob a good horse and can be placed in CI debut
When horses are stuck in Maidens for a while they are below par horses

[Dutchy]

nice I like it, would be a great Betfair system

My horse won its Maiden in its 3rd start, but then took 2 more starts to get placed in higher company

[mal]

Todays qualifiers [watch them all run a place ]

MR5-3...51.....[ $4-00 ][but has only had 2 starts so is not a big risk]
QR6-4...9401S [$6-00]
QR 6-5..50571 [$7-00 ]

So you would risk the 4 & 5 in QR R6 to not run places? MR R5 you wouldnt risk?

2 unplaced the other 3rd PAID $2-90 a place
If you backed all 3 for the PLACE you would have lost 10 cents !
If you backed them EW or WIN ONLY you would have lost

[Dutchy]

we are ready for Day 2 of this lesson Mal...

[mal]

No picks today
Only bush track is Murray Bridge
There are no last start winners in the Race 10 CI event

But just for interest there were 3 horses who won thier MDN and missed a place in the C1

R10-3...4S317
R10-8...310S6
R10-11..169S3

All three ran poorly first start in a C1

[3] was $4-80 on debut in the C1
[8] was $5-50 on debut in the CI

When I was a place only punter years ago at set bookies odds, I made
considerable profits just betting on CI races throughout Australia
I had a 20 point plan to evaluate a place system that was very profitable
The system works between NOV /MAR in the summer months

The one thing I learnt was NEVER back a MDN to CI horse on debut

DUTCHY find me a bookie that bets set odds for a place and I will give you a hug!
If the bookie bets us 1/4 of the win odds for the place we can smoke cigars + eat caviar

[Dutchy]

http://www.centrebet.com.au bet fixed odds for the place as do BF...will watch R10 with interest

[mal]

I have viewed Centrebets Place betting on the races that would meet my criteria
After viewing thier place odds I can-not do any business with them

The TAB is a waste of time as well for Place betting

I will continue to search for a outlet that will bet 1/4 of the odds in ALL races

[Dutchy]

Looks like a few tomorrow -

BR R5 No. 4
NR R5 No. 4
NR R8 No. 6
MR R8 No's 1,2,4,8