Jockey Challenge

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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Tue Jul 02, 2024 4:53 pm

Updated above going into the last.

Scone -
Nock can beat Lloyd but needs to win and Lloyd to miss top 3,

Bell or JVO can tie if either win and Lloyd misses top 3.

Seymour -
Mertens or Cartwright need to win to tie it up with Allen.

Townsville -
Morrison and Wiggins are level with a ride each in the last, while Layt and Jokic can also tip them out with victory etc.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Tue Jul 02, 2024 4:58 pm

Lloyd second in the last race enough for backers to get him home with comfort. Thanks for coming.

Now for Morrison...
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Tue Jul 02, 2024 5:06 pm

Allen holds on at Seymour with 6, Aitken and Mertens second on 5.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Tue Jul 02, 2024 5:16 pm

Happy with Lloyd getting up. I was watching Sky Central and Mick Wallace had #6 as a special in the 2nd last... I had 25@13 ... great day

Well and truly makes up for Nock getting rolled yesty.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Wed Jul 03, 2024 10:28 am

Morning all - Some early thoughts

Eagle Farm - Orman ($1.12) poison odds but has a loaded book today. Think Jones ($19) presents better value than Dolan ($9.25) who is second in the market so maybe that's a quinella option at this stage.

Sandown - Shinn ($1.51) has all single price runners with a big book and again, poison odds. Lane ($7.25) second fave with rides in the first four races on the card. Ethan Brown ($29) has three good rides to start the day and then a roughie. Could pick up a few as well so that's what I'll be watching

Murray Bridge - Sammy Payne is the fave at $3 and I like him in SA but today's card is wide open. Pannell ($13) only has the three rides including two faves and a roughie. I like Tala Hutchinson's ($11) finish to the card but only the three rides as well. Would be a nervous wait.

Canterbury - Only the 7 races on the card today and McEvoy ($1.66) and Clark ($2.63) seem to have the best and bulk of them. Nash Rawiller ($26) has 3 rides, all good scoring chances.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Jul 03, 2024 10:53 am

Its a watch for me from here. Looking for changes from this point
BL are $1-00-2 :shock: thats not even $1-01
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby Booney » Wed Jul 03, 2024 10:55 am

Orman > Payne > Lane > Clark multi @ $63
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Wed Jul 03, 2024 11:24 am

another grub wrote:Its a watch for me from here. Looking for changes from this point

Agreed, can't see any definitive value at the moment
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Jul 03, 2024 11:59 am

S Payne shortens to $2.47 toppsort. - $3+ availabale other places...... Riding well at the moment

Topsport 'automated' system adjusts Jock prices as each fluc happens for each individual ride. So do Neds/Lads from my observations.
Other agencies have to manually adjust (tab/ sbet ect) and when they are slow we pounce on the 'overs'
Sometimes you can beat topspsort / Neds ect if you are quick and get in before they have adjusted 'changes' in thier automated system.- I often go to get on the overs at topsport and they check the bet and often its 'DECLINED - PRICE CHANGE' due the the notes on my file no doubt saying 'CHECK EVERY BET' he picks off overs'
BL are $1-00-2 :shock: thats not even $1-01
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Wed Jul 03, 2024 12:04 pm

Maloney picks up a ride in R4 #7 Exposition. He's an $81 chance with TAB. 4 rides all single figures. Ranging $4.60 to $9.

Possibility to pick up more...small spec bet on Maloney.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Wed Jul 03, 2024 12:14 pm

another grub wrote:S Payne shortens to $2.47 toppsort. - $3+ availabale other places...... Riding well at the moment

Topsport 'automated' system adjusts Jock prices as each fluc happens for each individual ride. So do Neds/Lads from my observations.
Other agencies have to manually adjust (tab/ sbet ect) and when they are slow we pounce on the 'overs'
Sometimes you can beat topspsort / Neds ect if you are quick and get in before they have adjusted 'changes' in thier automated system.- I often go to get on the overs at topsport and they check the bet and often its 'DECLINED - PRICE CHANGE' due the the notes on my file no doubt saying 'CHECK EVERY BET' he picks off overs'

That's what we're here for.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Jul 03, 2024 12:28 pm

Another tool I use is the total winning pts market on topsport. If you look you can see if its likely to be an open low scoring day - eg 6 pts is fav at MB today. Suggests its an open day. If the fav was 9,10,11 pts (as per Canterbury) you know its likely to be tough for roughies / high scoring ?? - however fav only needs to miss on a couple of fancied rides and its open slather....
This saves doing a lot of form and just a quick reference of what is likely required to win on the day. 6 pts is nothing (2 rides & 2 wins).

Pointsbet also offer this and a few H2H markets ect....... I am not allowed a cent on and rarely check them anymore
BL are $1-00-2 :shock: thats not even $1-01
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Wed Jul 03, 2024 12:35 pm

Today's Scoreboards: (2.29pm)

Eagle Farm
Michael Rodd 5
Damien Thornton 5
Nikita Beriman 4
Robbie Dolan 4
AOJ - N Callow 3
James Orman 3
AOJ - Huxtable 3
Angela Jones 2
AOJ - Fenlon 2
Aoj - A Thompson 2
AOJ - S Collett 1
AOJ - Jamieson 1
AOJ - JGC 1
Ryan Maloney 0

Murray Bridge
AOJ - M Collett 7
Samuel Payne 6
Jason Holder 5
AOJ - Oppermann 3
Todd Pannell 2
AOJ - McCabe 2
AOJ - Doyle 2
AOJ - Livesay 1
AOJ - Atkinson 1
AOJ - Lloyd 1
Ben Price 0
Tala Hutchinson 0
Dominic Tourneur 0
Taylor Johnstone 0

Sandown
Blake Shinn 7
Luke Nolen 4
Thomas Stockdale 3
Damian Lane 3
AOJ - Prebble 3
AOJ - Stackhouse 3
AOJ - Gaudray 2
AOJ - Mott 2
Jye Mcneil 1
AOJ - Houston 1
Jaylah Kennedy 1
Ethan Brown 0

Canterbury
Kerrin Mc Evoy 6
Tim Clark 4
Jason Collett 3
Zac Lloyd 2
AOJ - Schofield 2
Nash Rawiller 2
AOJ - Schiller 2
AOJ - Louie 1
AOJ - Ford 1
AOJ - Keatings 1
Molly Bourke 0
Keagan Latham 0
Last edited by OnSong on Wed Jul 03, 2024 3:29 pm, edited 10 times in total.
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Jul 03, 2024 12:41 pm

$126 pop wins the first at MB :shock:
BL are $1-00-2 :shock: thats not even $1-01
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Wed Jul 03, 2024 12:44 pm

another grub wrote:$126 pop wins the first at MB :shock:

You on?
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Jul 03, 2024 12:46 pm

Nah, havent had a look at the meet TBH
BL are $1-00-2 :shock: thats not even $1-01
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby mighty_tiger_79 » Wed Jul 03, 2024 1:15 pm

Like a share of r2 exotics
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Jul 03, 2024 1:19 pm

EF another downgrade - Scratchings?
BL are $1-00-2 :shock: thats not even $1-01
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby OnSong » Wed Jul 03, 2024 1:25 pm

another grub wrote:EF another downgrade - Scratchings?

They've been happening throughout the early part of the day so far
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Re: Jockey Challenge

Postby another grub » Wed Jul 03, 2024 1:43 pm

Samuel Payne (1 Pts) 1.86
Any Other Individual Jockey (4 Pts) 3.40
Jason Holder (0 Pts) 5.70
Tala Hutchinson (0 Pts) 10.00
Taylor Johnstone (0 Pts) 18.00
Dom Tourneur (0 Pts) 20.00
Ben Price (0 Pts) 22.00
Todd Pannell (2 Pts) 501
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