AFL RD 6 + sanfl markets discussion

[mighty_tiger_79]

tabsportsbet afl prices

1004 Collingwood $1.45
1005 Essendon $2.55

1007 Geelong $1.20
1006 Fremantle $4.00

1001 Adelaide $1.65
1003 Carlton $2.10

1016 Wst Bulldogs $1.25
1015 West Coast $3.60

1011 Port Adelaide $1.62
1013 St Kilda $2.15

1002 Brisbane $1.10
1010 Melbourne $5.85

1014 Sydney $1.72
1009 Kangaroos $2.00

1008 Hawthorn $1.20
1012 Richmond $4.00


SANFL FLAG MARKET - sportsbet

Sturt 2.40
Central District 3.50
Glenelg 7.00
North Adelaide 7.00
Eagles 11.00
Port Adelaide Magpies 13.00
South Adelaide 21.00
Norwood 26.00
West Adelaide 101.00
Payout on winner

[mighty_tiger_79]

St Kilda at $2.15 looks inviting, few extra days rest on the power.

both teams start well but dont run out a full 4 quarters so whoever leads at half time may well be the winner!

Geelong $1.20 GIFT
BRISBANE $1.10 GIFT
hawks $1.20 gift

carlton are value along with the roos

[Wedgie]

Nothing really appeals to me there, swore a long time ago I'd try not to back the Saints ever again and Sydney at home are a different kettle of fish even if I did win money on them on the weekend.

[another grub]

I have a theory that i am going to stick to.....North Adelaide are $4 out to $7 since the start of the season..... I am going to back them for the flag after the Centrals game which has been my plan all along..... $7 is inviting now but I will stick to my plan...might get $8+ if they go down.....
Need Gill up forward and I notice they copped a few injuries on Sat....

[overloaded]

AG North are pretenders and always will be

[Mickyj]

Geez WWT were $15 last week beat an awful Norwood and are now $11

[bayman]

Geez WWT were $15 last week beat an awful Norwood and are now $11

you & mighty eagles must have had a couple of big bets

[Wedgie]

I thought a bit more about this week, the Collingwood v Essendond game is usually close, Im only going off memory but I reckon if you'd backed the outsider for every one of these matches you'd probably have a profit.

[Mickyj]

Geez WWT were $15 last week beat an awful Norwood and are now $11

you & mighty eagles must have had a couple of big bets

Bayman I normally put the kiss of death on any footy team if i put money on them .
1979 Grandfinal springs to mind as the first time this happened
My 19 yo wont even let me talk to players game day cause when I do

[Punk Rooster]

Adelaide, St Kilda look worthy of a crack, Ess look value, Bulldogs a gift (AFL & SANFL)

[Dutchy]

Bullies and Saints are DOOMed....

[Zelezny Chucks]

Bullies and Saints are DOOMed....

Saints yes Bullies no. I like the system but I honestly don't think West Coast will be able to go with all the Bullies runners.

[Dutchy]

AFL thoughts for the weekend -

Adelaide/Carlton - No Bet - tough one, lean to Adelaide due to Carltons 6 day break, Carlton's defence is finally working conceeding under 100 points 2 weeks in a row, after 24 straight games of over 100, looking at teh stats I believe this is to do with their midfield as last year they conceded on average 57 Inside 50's, this year they are averaging 51 conceeded. We know their defence is poor but if you restrict how many times it goes in there thats going to be a bonus....If I can get a good line/price on a low scoring game Ill have a small nibble...

Brisbane/Melbourne - Lines just win, will use them in multis

Collingwood/Essendon - Collingwood is the bet fading Essendon due to the TD system, Collingwood wenrt that bad last week, took the ball Inside 50 63 times....will be looking for a good win here

Freo/Geelong - Freo 6 day break, Geelong just win, will use them in multis

Hawks/Rich - Hawks 6-2 in their last 8 at the MCG with an average winning margin of 51 pts, beat Richmond by 53 here last year, Hawks have ahad some tough assignments in the past month and should be able to break away from the Tigers in this one...

Roos/Swans - Swans have lost their last 3 at the TD and aint travelling that well, 3rd interstate trip in 4 weeks, favour the Roos here as a PK

Port/Saints - Port at the line, fade the Saints TD system bet

WCE/Bullies - WCE take the points, fade the Bullies TD System bet

[mal]

My 1st best bet of the year
CO $1-53 V ES

Other bets
CD $1-42 looks a safe bet v NA

[Punk Rooster]

Sturt are in to $1.45 from $1.50, -18.5 tightened to -20.5....

[bayman]

Sturt are in to $1.45 from $1.50, -18.5 tightened to -20.5....

the -22 & -20 for cd & sturt could be painfull more so sturt as the weather forecast to start with (if happens) would make it difficult for a big margin, on paper central should win comfortably, with sturt glenelg i realise the midfield will decide the match but i'd expect this to go down to the wire

[Frosty]

Looking at the expected wet weather in Melbourne on Saturday I'd say the Crows with bigger stronger bodies in those conditions would be a good bet at the MCG. Reasonable value too IMO.

[LuvsFooty]

Last week the telstra dome was at its hardest in history (according to the penotrometer readings) would have taken a lot out of Essendon's legs. Collingwood look the goods. With Anzac Day clashes having a history of being close I'll be on Collingwood 1-39 points @ $2.20.

[mal]

My 1st best bet of the year
CO $1-53 V ES

Other bets
CD $1-42 looks a safe bet v NA

CA CHINGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG
TOOT TOOT
YOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOU
BEAUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUTY

Whats that now
about 30 tips on SAFOOTY for about 26 winners on the specials columns 2006/2007/2008

NA faced the near impossible task coming of a 5 day break v CD having a 13 day break
ES faced the near impossible task coming of 2 games in a row at the DOOM



Regards
FIGMAL the punters pal

[Dutchy]

the $$$$ continue to flow, follow the gurus on here and you cant lose

Bombers, Bullies and Saints are DOOMed.....one down 2 to go