Is this value?

[overloaded]

I need help. Can you check out these results this season in this comp and tell me if sportbet have the odds wrong? Take your time to study as I think we have a mistake according to a cousin in victoria.

Corio 2.10
Bannockburn 3.50
Thomson 4.00
East Geelong 5.50
Bell Post Hill 7.00
Inverleigh 15.00
Anakie 51.00
Belmont Lions 81.00
North Geelong 81.00
Werribee Centrals 81.00
Geelong West Sports Club 101.00

[magpie in the 80's]

here's the latest ladder overloaded


Geelong & District League - Seniors - after 12 rounds
Rank Team................................W....D......L.....Points.....%
1 Bannockburn.........................10.....0.....2......40........162.90
2 Thomson.................................9.....0.....3......36........162.72
3 Corio.......................................9.....0.....3......36........155.21
4 East Geelong..........................8......0....4......32........131.00
5 Bell Post Hill............................7......1....4......30........148.30

6 Inverleigh...............................7......0.....5......28........125.33
7 Anakie.....................................6.....0.....6......24.........97.61
8 Geelong West SC....................4.....1.....7......18.........85.87
9 North Geelong.........................4.....0.....8......16.........79.10
10 Belmont Lions Sports Club.....4.....0.....8.....16.........71.10
11 Werribee Centrals..................3.....0.....9.....12.........71.86
12 Winchelsea............................0.....0.....12......0.........27.67

[westcoastpanther]

Doesn't Snake play for East Geelong OL? I asked him who looked the goods after seeing these odds on Sportsbet and he thought they could be around the mark by seasons end!!

[overloaded]

Can anyone find out why the favourites are so short?

Who's snake? any info would be good panther.

[Ecky]

Without knowing anything about the Geelong and District League those odds look quite plausible to me given that ladder. There is a lot of percentage there but that is normal for bookmakers when they bet on a competition they don't know much about.

Where do you think the value is, Overloaded?

[overloaded]

Just wondering why Corio were so short given there ladder position. I think they have made a mistake and got the odds the wrong way round with Banockburn.

[magpie in the 80's]

the 2 losses for Banockburn have been to the 2nd side Thomson

[overloaded]

further investigation tells me the Corio lads have had a big dip at themselves when they were $5. Sportsbet are chasing their money by drifting the 2 favs out.
I am saying the 2 top sides are OVERS

[another grub]

Back the top 2 sides at $4 and $3.50 and you should get a good run for your money then OL..... good spot up mate!!!!!

Dont get caught reading to much into ladder positions tho.... as example.... Pt Lincolns second placed side would be about a $1.20 pop currently IMHO

[overloaded]

Corio are not that good. They have just backed themselves to win it!

[magpie in the 80's]

Corio 24.21 (165) def East Geelong 12.8 (80)

[overloaded]

please disregard my last post

[magpie in the 80's]

update for overloaded

Corio 14. 21 (105)
Inverleigh 13. 10 (88)

top 5

1 Bannockburn....14....12....0....2....48....165.51
2 Thomson..........14....11....0....3....44....173.87
3 Corio................14....11....0....3....44....156.02
4 East Geelong....14....9.....0....5....36.....126.29
5 Bell Post Hill......14....8.....1....5....34....149.80

[magpie in the 80's]

Qualifying final

Bannockburn 12. 12. (84)
Corio 9. 16. (70)

[magpie in the 80's]

1st semi

Corio 6.8 (44) def by Bell Post Hill 13.24 (102)

there's your value overload. 4th

[Pat Malone]

Franklin is paying $4.50 to poll the most votes for Hawthorn in the Brownlow. Surely he should poll well considering he has 5 bags of 6, 2 bags of 8 and 1 bag of 9 where you would expect he would poll some votes. Sam Mitchell is favourite at $2 but has played 1 less game and has played well in games that the Hawks have lost so may only received none or one vote for his efforts. Hodge is 2nd favourite at $3.80 but has only played 17 games and probably hasnt done enough considering his high possession games were often as loose man playing 1 kick behind play. Is the $4.50 value for Franklin?

[Pat Malone]

Franklin is paying $4.50 to poll the most votes for Hawthorn in the Brownlow. Surely he should poll well considering he has 5 bags of 6, 2 bags of 8 and 1 bag of 9 where you would expect he would poll some votes. Sam Mitchell is favourite at $2 but has played 1 less game and has played well in games that the Hawks have lost so may only receive none or one vote for his efforts. Hodge is 2nd favourite at $3.80 but has only played 17 games and probably hasnt done enough considering his high possession games were often as loose man playing 1 kick behind play. Is the $4.50 value for Franklin?

Franklin now into $2.90, Mitchell still at $2 and Hodge has drifted out to $4.50.

[Pat Malone]

Franklin is paying $4.50 to poll the most votes for Hawthorn in the Brownlow. Surely he should poll well considering he has 5 bags of 6, 2 bags of 8 and 1 bag of 9 where you would expect he would poll some votes. Sam Mitchell is favourite at $2 but has played 1 less game and has played well in games that the Hawks have lost so may only received none or one vote for his efforts. Hodge is 2nd favourite at $3.80 but has only played 17 games and probably hasnt done enough considering his high possession games were often as loose man playing 1 kick behind play. Is the $4.50 value for Franklin?

Franklin polls most votes for Hawthorn, but was backed in from $4.50 to about $2.30 at last check.