by Punk Rooster » Fri Jul 07, 2006 9:18 am
AFL
Freo v Ess: Effendon have a good record at Subiaco (3/6) & have an overall record of 13/4 v the Shockers. The Bummers have won teir last 4 clashes by an average of 44 points, & the Shockers have lost 3 games on the trot (Bummers 12). As we can't back a nil all draw, I'll take the Bummers at the line
Effendon $2 (+31.5) 100%
Carl v Geel: The Wogs have never beaten the Pussies at Telstra Doom. Ever. The Wogs have lost their last 6 on the trott, yet the Pussies rolled over to the Cows last weekend, being tickled to the tune of 92 points. Pussies have an verage winning margin of 43 pts at the 4 games played between these sides (at the Doom).
Pussies $2.45 (40+) 50%
save $2 (-29.5) 50%
Haw v WCE: Whorethorn just don't stack up against the Wiggles (1/last 5, 3/10 overall). At all. A 10/20 record dating back to 1987 (considering they dominated footy during that period), their last victory against the Wiggle was at the G in 2000 (by 70 pts). Judd is back & firing, the Wiggles in a canter.
Wiggles $2.70 (40+) 50%
save $2 (-25.5) 50%
Mel v Bris (Gabba): The The Blue-bloods, have sold home games to spite themselves. The Gorillas have made a meal of this, the last 5 mathges at the Gabba see them winning 4 of them by 74,40,60 & 49 pts. Now this quite possibly isn't the same side, but they do have a strong home ground advantage.. If Yappermanis can remove his foot from his mouth & kick some goals, they may continue with this dominance.
Gorillas $11 (40+) 20%
Gorillas $3 (win) 30%
save $2 (= 15.5) 50%
PAP v Ric: Now, the PAP Smears have the Tiggers as their bitches. A 9/3 record since 1997, & have won all 8 games at Girlee Stadium. The Smears lost to the Blue-bloods last wekend, while the Tiggers demolished the Pies. I am going to against form here, as I believe the Tiggers are great value. However, take caution- you can't back the Tiggers, or back against them.
Tiggers $3.30 (1-39) 30% nb that should've read "to win" as that's the price they were to win
Tiggers (40+) 20%
save $2 (+12.5) 50%
SS v Ade: The Cows have won 7/10, & a 3/4 record at the SCG. Travelling is not a problem, & the SCG holds no fear for them, & are in outstanding form/fitness.
Cows $1.60 (win) 100%
StK v Col: The Aints share the honours at the Doom, but the Pies generally respond to a defeat. The Aints have won the last 3, but Collingwood the previous 6. Probably a genuine 50/50 game, but I'll use ladder positions to decide this one.
Collingwood $5.80 (40+) 20%
Collingwood $1.85 (win) 40%
Collingwood $2 (-4.5) 40%
WB v Kan: The Puppies have beaten th Boners 4/5, by an average of 23 pts. Howvere, they return from Subiaco (teams have struggled to win their next game returning from the West) & have an incredible injury list. To the Boners discredit though, they've hardly been convincing, beating only Effendon & the Wogs in their last 2. In a sorry betting affair, I'll go for some value.
Boners $4.00 (1-39) 25%
Puppies $2.30( 1-39) 25%
Boners $2 (+ 19/5) 50%
Last edited by
Punk Rooster on Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:16 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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