Magarey Medal Odds 12/7/06

[Punk Rooster]

Code: Select all

Jeremy    Clayton     Port Adelaide      $3
Justin    Cicolella   WWT                $4
Matthew   Slade       Central District   $6
Ben       Haynes      West Adelaide      $6
Scott     Borlace     Norwood            $7
Nick      Gill        North Adelaide    $10
Stephen   Kenna       South Adelaide    $11
Jade      Sheedy      Sturt             $13
Adam      Fisher      Glenelg           $13
Craig     Parry       South Adelaide    $13
Damien    Cupido      South Adelaide    $15
Chris     Gowan       Central District  $21
James     Gowan       Central District  $21
Luke      Jarrad      WWT               $21
Chris     Ladhams     North Adelaide    $21
Tim       Inkster     WWT               $21
Paul      Lindsay     WWT               $21
Richard   Douglas     Glenelg           $21
Bernie    Vince       WWT               $21
Gerrard   Bennett     South Adelaide    $21
Scott     Bamford     North Adelaide    $21
Paul      Thomas      Central District  $21
Jacob     Surjan      Port Adelaide     $26
Luke      Ivens       North Adelaide    $26
Chad      O'Sullivan  Central District  $26
Luke      Jericho     West Adelaide     $26
James     Gallagher   Norwood           $26
Heath     Culpitt     Norwood           $26
Daniel    Schell      Central District  $26
Mark      McKenzie    WWT               $26
Leigh     Ryswyk      North Adelaide    $26
Dean      Howard      North Adelaide    $31
Josh      Sampson     South Adelaide    $31
Luke      Cowan       Central District  $31
Marc      Bullen      Port Adelaide     $31
Kris      Massie      Norwood           $31
Daniel    Motlop      North Adelaide    $31
Luke      Powell      WWT               $34
Brett     James       Norwood           $41
John      Baird       Port Adelaide     $41
Brett     Backwell    Glenelg           $41
Gavin     Colville    WWT               $41
Ben       Eckerman    Sturt             $41
Bryce     Campbell    Norwood           $41
Nathan    Lonie       North Adelaide    $41
Damien    Squire      Sturt             $51
Darryl    Wintle      North Adelaide    $51
Scott     McGlone     South Adelaide    $51
Hayden    Skipworth   WWT               $51
Tim       Weatherald  Sturt             $51
Brad      Symes       Central District $101
         


[Punk Rooster]

Code: Select all

Nick      Gill        North Adelaide    $10
Chris     Ladhams     North Adelaide    $21
Scott     Bamford     North Adelaide    $21
Luke      Ivens       North Adelaide    $26
Leigh     Ryswyk      North Adelaide    $26
Dean      Howard      North Adelaide    $31
Daniel    Motlop      North Adelaide    $31
Nathan    Lonie       North Adelaide    $41
Darryl    Wintle      North Adelaide    $51    


Ok, I'll start with the Roosters (as I know them)
Too Short
Nick Gill- missed games through injury
Chris Ladhams- only polled 1 or 2 votes in the Roost Player of the Year

Can't Win
Daniel Motlop- hasn't played enough games
Nathan Lonie- played 1 game for the year for North!

Chances
Dean Howard- sensational pick up, leading the Budget Player of the Year (i think, I haven't bought one in a while, he'd be up there though), State Player, on-baller, has been in North's best just about every week- I got on at $50
Scott Bamford- picks up plenty of the footy & his form is getting better with age
Leigh Ryswyk- very good form until an off field incident affected him, is geting back to his best
Luke Ivens- Hit some very good for there for a while, & is leading the Roost Player of the Year
Darryl Wintle- A solid contribitor, outstanding skipper, I don't think a real chance of winning though

Chances Not Listed
Heath Younie- a very professional footballer, all quality, his 38 touches + 4 goals surely would have got him BOG last week,
worth chasing up a price for him

The Roost! Player of the Year
22 - Luke Ivens
21 - Dean Howard
19 - Leigh Ryswyk
17 - Heath Younie
15 - Nick Gill, Scott Bamford
11 - Darryl Wintle
10 - Matt Campbell

[Punk Rooster]

Code: Select all

Jeremy    Clayton     Port Adelaide      $3
Jacob     Surjan      Port Adelaide     $26
Marc      Bullen      Port Adelaide     $31


Only 3 Port Magpies in the market.

Too Short
Jeremy Clayton- a class act, should trouble the leaderboard for a bit, but has missed a few games with injury. Still have to respect, but the $3 on offer is way too short

Can't Win
Marc Bullen- gone back to Victoria
Jacob Surjan- He's been with the Power for too many games, iirc

Chances Not Listed
To be quite honest, I wouldn't know.
Can't access their forum to assess whether they run a player of the year competition.
Booney, can you help?

[Punk Rooster]

Code: Select all

Ben       Haynes      West Adelaide      $6
Luke      Jericho     West Adelaide     $26


West have been a rabble this year. They do however have 1 shining light.

Chances
Ben Haynes- Been a revelation at Richmond this year, was even tipped for the Magarey before the season started!
A class act, & shouldn't have to worry about team-mates stealing votes. The opposition just might though...

Chances Not Listed
James Ezard- would be the main threat to Haynes, but even as the 2nd best performed player at West, there's still daylight between the 2. He's a good kid on the up

Can't Win
Luke Jericho- probably spent too much time with the Crows- voting in their forum PotY reflects this

Westies Forum Player of the Year
36 Haynes
24 Ezard
15 Dragicevic
14 Porplyzia
9 Jericho, Piasente

[Punk Rooster]

Bayman, Dutchy, Ecky or MT79, can you do one for the Bays?
Mal, Squawk or any Norwood supporter, same for Norwood?

I will tidy up the posts if required (to keep similar formatting)

[Squawk]

On the NFC Forum we have Bryce Campbell in the lead for best player (albeit with a dubious voting system) but he has been good all this year. Other good players have been Gavin Hughes (who withdrew late from the state game), Brett Zorzi (unlucky not to be picked in the State game) and Nick Jackman.

Firstly, the NFC Forum Player of the Year is strangely operated on a cumulative votes basis, not an averaged votes basis. Ie if 10 supporters vote one week and 35 the next, and a player has a blinder when 35 people vote, they do better on the leaderboard. The best indication our leadboard offers then is simply, who is catching the eyes of the supporters.

I will try and balance this with my own observations:

Code: Select all

[u]Joketon's Norwood Field[/u]

Scott     Borlace     Norwood            $7  (NFC Forum - 32 votes from 7 games)
James     Gallagher   Norwood           $26  (NFC Forum - 59 votes from 7 games)
Heath     Culpitt     Norwood           $26  (NFC Forum - 65 votes from 6 games)
Kris      Massie      Norwood           $31  (NFC forum - 30 votes, all from Round 1)
Brett     James       Norwood           $41  (NFC Forum - 25 votes, votes received in 4 games)
Bryce     Campbell    Norwood           $41  (NFC Forum - 130 votes from 7 games)

         


Too Short
Scott Borlace- Has played a few good games but not enough to warrant a price that short.

Cant Win
Kris Massie- has only played one or two games for NFC this year.

Chances
Bryce Campbell - been very consistent. Gets plenty of possessions each game including hard ball gets. Best chance at NFC IMHO and therefore very good value IMHO at $41.

Chances not listed
Gavin Hughes - has played well this year and was unlucky to have to withdraw from the state team on the morning of the game. Has 43 votes on the NFC Forum from 6 games.
Brett Zorzi- consistent performer in the back lines where the ball has spent a fair bit of time this year. Has 86 votes on the NFC forum from 9 games.

Miscellaneous
Nick Jackman- has played well this year. He is certainly not in Magarey form - has just been solid in the back lines. Currently has 30 votes on the NFC forum from 5 games.

Redleg Talk Forum Player of the Year

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Bryce Campbell  130 votes
Brett Zorzi      86 votes
Heath Culpitt    65 votes
James Gallagher  59 votes
Gavin Hughes     43 votes

[mal]

VALUE BETS with JOKETON SPORTS
-----------------------------------------

FISHER[GL]................$13 broken ankle out until finals!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BULLEN[PA]................$31 back in victoria !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
ECKERMANN[ST].........$31 big name player playing b grade for the last few weeks.
LONIE[NA].................$41 played 1 game!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
MASSIE[NW]...............$31played about 2 1or 2 games.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Joketon is a fair dinkum embarrasment for putting up these players at those odds.

NORWOODS CHANCES
----------------------------

borlace/gallagher quinella

MY TIP
-----------

Jeremy Clayton easy....Ben Haynes best player in comp in worst team....roughie Kenna[sa]

[Punk Rooster]

What a shock... I give an assessment of the Magarey chances, all of a sudden, Daniel Motlop & Adam Fisher (thanks Mal) are out to $201! Our plan worked, let's go back these two off the map....

[Dutchy]

Why didnt you say J Clayton has only played one game???...he might have fallen for it and theres our sting!!!!

[Squawk]

What a shock... I give an assessment of the Magarey chances, all of a sudden, Daniel Motlop & Adam Fisher (thanks Mal) are out to $201! Our plan worked, let's go back these two off the map....

Joketon is still scared of Massie though - kept him at $31!
K Cornes is listed twice in the field at $101 both times. Does that mean you can get a daily double at $202? Still think K Cornes is good value at $101 in any event.

[mal]

BULLEN $31 in victoria
LONIE...$41 played 1 game
MASSIE $31 played 1game

Yeah he changed FISHER + MOTLOP but he still has
disgraced himself with the other 3.

Did WATERHOUSE get suspened lads, I was gunna ask
JOKETON but would be an obvious waste of time !

[mal]

Anything is worth a try.
Ask this to the JOKETON clowns:

" Can I have $1 on CLAYTON from Port Adelaide please
to win the Mag/medal."

You might get the odds about MARK CLAYTON for JEREMY CLAYTON


BEFORE ALL OF YOU THINK IM BEING A F...WIT.....it might just happen
with this mob of illerate mumbo jumbos!~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Dutchy]

Anything is worth a try.
Ask this to the JOKETON clowns:

" Can I have $1 on CLAYTON from Port Adelaide please
to win the Mag/medal."

You might get the odds about MARK CLAYTON for JEREMY CLAYTON


BEFORE ALL OF YOU THINK IM BEING A F...WIT.....it might just happen
with this mob of illerate mumbo jumbos!~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That is seriously not a bad idea Mal...if he just puts "Clayton" on the ticket you are laughing!

[stampy]

where do get set at $41 on the mouse from glenelg?
i want to get on now!!

[Wedgie]

I see the South Player Archard isn't listed.
He's currently coming 4th in the possessions ladder averaging 28.4 touches a game.
I don't think he'll win but not a bad smoky if you can get 50/1 as he's improving every game too.

[spell_check]

Out of the Advertiser Player of the Year awards, West Adelaide have only scored 15 votes so far for the year.

Haynes has 12 of them.

[Wedgie]

Out of the Advertiser Player of the Year awards, West Adelaide have only scored 15 votes so far for the year.

Haynes has 12 of them.

Haynes > the rest of West Adelaide

[mal]

I see the South Player Archard isn't listed.
He's currently coming 4th in the possessions ladder averaging 28.4 touches a game.
I don't think he'll win but not a bad smoky if you can get 50/1 as he's improving every game too.

#############################################################

Is about $12 with Complete sportsbetting

[Dutchy]

Mal - your on the brink of your 1000th post, make sure its in the Gambling Forum, you deserve to do it where you are loved!

Dont forget to raise your bat after you hit "Submit"

cheers, solid effort that...

[Punk Rooster]

Mal - your on the brink of your 1000th post, make sure its in the Gambling Forum, you deserve to do it where you are loved!

Dont forget to raise your bat after you hit "Submit"

cheers, solid effort that...

Only 2 of those posts are not about-
Gambling
St Kilda
Telstra Dome