Brownlow 2009 - All chat here

[mighty_tiger_79]

To someone who has never visited Betfair (self confessed mug), those price differences are staggering!!

its time to take the step up from self confessed mug to be fantasise about being professional punter

Betfair is the best place to go for whatever you wanna bet on , races or sports absolutely magnificent, most times you will get better odds then any other bookie.

plus they have a huge range of both sports and racing to bet on which other bookies dont, especially punitab

[Squawk]

Sportsbet are offering a dead set 13/1


2009 Brownlow Winners Team
AFL - Brownlow Medal 2009 - Winners Team
Geelong 2.65
St Kilda 4.25
Collingwood 4.25
Carlton 5.50
Sydney 6.50
Brisbane 10.00
Western Bulldogs 13.00
Adelaide 23.00
Fremantle 201.00
Essendon 201.00
Kangaroos 351.00
Hawthorn 351.00
Richmond 1,001.00
Melbourne 1,001.00
West Coast 1,501.00
Port Adelaide 1,501.00

Suspended Players Ineligible. Paid on Which Team the 2008 Brownlow Medal Winner Plays For. Dead Heat Rules Apply

[hawks21]

A few value bets i like at the moment. Somthing to think about over the weekend! TABsports bet.

Saints Trifecta

HAYES-DAL SANTO-MONTAGNA $51.00
DAL SANTO-MONTAGNA-HAYES $34.00

Higgins - $6 - Group 8
Stanton - $7.50 - Group 4
Hayes - $8 - Group 3

Top 5 Finish

HAYES Lenny (STK) $6.50
MURPHY Marc (CARL) $10.00
THOMPSON Scott (ADEL) $6.50

Don't mind Goodes at $6 to win the Brownlow, always polls well
Also like Lenny Hayes, thought he has had a cracker of a year but may have to many blokes taking votes off him

Quinella's i like

L HAYES/D SWAN $130.00
G ABLETT/L HAYES $74.00
A GOODES/D SWAN $20.00
L MONTAGNA/D SWAN $41.00

Thoughts?

[Johno6]

I like Marc Murphey for the top 5 finish,
Goodes for the win.
Reiwoldt and Didak top 5 finish to

[dodgingandweaving]

Most votes (TEAM):

Value:
West Coast - LeCras $3.75
Bulldogs - Higgins $34.00
Power - Cassisi $4.00
Freo - Sandilands $1.52
Melb - A Davey $1.65
Bris - Black $1.50

Multi:
Syd - Goodes $1.06
Carl - Judd $1.12
Hawks - Mitchell $1.04
Coll - Swan $1.03
Kang - Harvey $1.25


Leader after rd11:
Ablett $1.60 (Near certainty, will put it in a multi)
Montagna $15.00 (great value)

Quinella:
Ablett/Swan $4.75
Goodes/Swan $23.00
Black/Montagna $105.00
Montagna/Murphy $495.00

Plus will multi - Ablett Brownlow w/ Geel premiership w/ Ablett norm smith.

[Dutchy]

You would have to be nuts to take Davey at $1.65

[brent-83]

McLean at $21 on Centrebet is the value for Melbourne.

There is no way a team that won 4 games should have a $1.65 favorite. 6 points will probably win at the D's.

My teams are as follows..

ADL: Thompson / Vince (close)
BRIS: Black
CAR: Judd (Murphy to be close and good value)
COL: Swan
ESS: Watson
FREO: Pavlich
GEE: Ablett (Selwood to be close)
HAW: Mitchell
MEL: McLean / Bruce
NMEL: Harvey
PORT: Pearce
RICH: Deledio
STK: Hayes (I also love Hayes to lead at the half/and to win)
SYD: Goodes
WCE: Lecras (Selwood close)
DOGS: Boyd

Best bet I have going is.. Watson/Hayes/Lecras/Deledio/Harvey/Boyd at $2501 to 1. Right now it sits at @ 150 to 1.

[dodgingandweaving]

You would have to be nuts to take Davey at $1.65

Would have to be nuts to take any Melbourne player in any sort of brownlow bet. It's pretty dubious but i think he's had quite a few games where he'll get 1 or 2 votes and that'll be enough to lead the Demons.

[Dutchy]

For a start you can get $2.00 for him elsewhere, Davey didnt play that well in their wins, 5-6 votes will win it and it could be any of 10 players

[silicone skyline]

For Melbourne, Bruce and Green always poll well in their wins, traditionally.

[Johno6]

I think David Rodan for Port most votes might not be bad.... He gets a lot of notice with his run adn boun ces and spin a roonies etc.

I like Jones for Melb also,

[Bum Crack]

For Melbourne, Bruce and Green always poll well in their wins, traditionally.

Moloney???

[brent-83]

Jones best game (in a win 28 touches) came in a game where McLean got 26 touches and 2 goals, other than that Jones better games were in drubbings. IMO McLean or Bruce are the ones that might upset Davey.

[Dutchy]

Jones best game (in a win 28 touches) came in a game where McLean got 26 touches and 2 goals, other than that Jones better games were in drubbings. IMO McLean or Bruce are the ones that might upset Davey.

Jones was best for Melbourne in 2 narrow losses to WCE and Bullies, might scrape some there

Im not saying he will win it but 100/1 for a guy that does get the ball and played 20 games is worth a small investment

[Johno6]

How is daniel rich pAying less than johnathan brown to win teh brownlow, but more to win it in the most votes for the lions?

[brent-83]

Jones best game (in a win 28 touches) came in a game where McLean got 26 touches and 2 goals, other than that Jones better games were in drubbings. IMO McLean or Bruce are the ones that might upset Davey.

Jones was best for Melbourne in 2 narrow losses to WCE and Bullies, might scrape some there

Im not saying he will win it but 100/1 for a guy that does get the ball and played 20 games is worth a small investment

Fair call. To be honest its probably because I like McLean's chances so much that I overstate him a little too much.

McLean had 36 touches 1 goal and 6 tackles in the loss to the Dogs and 29 1 goal 8 tackles in a minor loss to the Crows along with 26 touches 2 goals, 25 touches 1 goal and 28 touches in in 3 wins.

[Johno6]

its not always about stats tho... altho they do help indicate i guess.

But if someone does a few things that take the umpires notice, and like dutchy says, if they have blonde hair or tats or there is a lot of hype about them in teh mdeia they usually get closer attention.

[Brodlach]

If you think 6 votes might win at Melbourne, how about Liam Jurrah....he's a flashy player the umpires might have noticed. Close to best in at least 3 games.

[MatteeG]

If you think 6 votes might win at Melbourne, how about Liam Jurrah....he's a flashy player the umpires might have noticed. Close to best in at least 3 games.

Good call Brodlach- he and Sylvia are definitely eye catching. Sylvia played a belter against the Hawks, I reckon he may get the 3 even though they lost.

What prices are these 2 boys for most votes @ the dees?

[brent-83]

its not always about stats tho... altho they do help indicate i guess.

But if someone does a few things that take the umpires notice, and like dutchy says, if they have blonde hair or tats or there is a lot of hype about them in teh mdeia they usually get closer attention.

Yeah I know, McLean has a good history of polling votes and plays the inside game that usually gets noticed (Hayes, Judd, Ablett, Thompson, Black types). He was the equal winner of the Melbourne votes last year on 5, and has scored 9 twice which is a decent indication he can pick up votes!

Dutchy is right, Jones is good value, I am just saying I reckon McLean is the pick of the bunch from Melbourne this year.

Sylvia is around $10 I believe, don't think he will get more than 4 votes maximum, 3 should be locked in for the 37 touch 4 goal game, even if the D's lost that game.