Greyhounds This Week

[mighty_tiger_79]

Cranbourne Cup 25/1
Greyhound racing
Win Cranbourne Cup 25/1

Select the winner
No. Description Win Place
131373 ULTRA RUMBLE $3.20 $1.44 - loves it out wide but a bit of pace inside it
131369 FEDEX $3.80 $1.56 - is getting back into some good form
131372 ARVOS FLORENCE $4.50 $1.70 - went good time last week
131366 STAGGER INN $5.50 $1.90 - well drawn but i cant see this winning against some of these, place chance at best. - Betfair if anything under $10 win
131371 BLITZEM BALE $8.50 $2.50 - has been racing in consistent fashion, should be around the mark
131374 SYDNIE ALLEN (1R) $11.00 $3.00
131367 BOOK OF MUSIC $14.00 $3.60
131368 ATOMIC VOODOO $14.00 $3.60
131370 CURWEN WALKER $21.00 $5.00
131375 PRINCE FUSER (2R) $26.00 $6.00


would love to get Oaksys views to see if there is a few $$$$$$ to be made

[Oaksnaf]

Sale Race 4 ~ Early speed comes from 4,6,7 in this race. Since there is a long run to the first turn over the 440m, the box draw doesn't have THAT MUCH of a major influence in our selections.

Thus far this year 20/51 races over the 400m have been won by those LEADING at the first split. So 40% of races for 2010.

Of thos 51 races: First splits lead by:

BOX 1....4 times
BOX 2....10 times
BOX 3....8 times
BOX 4....4 times
BOX 5....8 times
BOX 6....3 times
BOX 7....10 times
BOX 8....3 times



4 WIND FIRE $2.64
5 MEMORY CHIP $4.96
7 FAST EDDIE MAC $6.81
6 DUNE FURT $10.38
3 BLACK BUST $19.53
2 MISTER AUSTIN $21.70
1 CASSIES PEDRO $24.11
8 ACE OSTI $26.78


264-EXACTA

[Johno6]

Sale Race 4 ~ Early speed comes from 4,6,7 in this race. Since there is a long run to the first turn over the 440m, the box draw doesn't have THAT MUCH of a major influence in our selections.

Thus far this year 20/51 races over the 400m have been won by those LEADING at the first split. So 40% of races for 2010.

Of thos 51 races: First splits lead by:

BOX 1....4 times
BOX 2....10 times
BOX 3....8 times
BOX 4....4 times
BOX 5....8 times
BOX 6....3 times
BOX 7....10 times
BOX 8....3 times



4 WIND FIRE $2.64 WINS AT $22!!!
5 MEMORY CHIP $4.96
7 FAST EDDIE MAC $6.81
6 DUNE FURT $10.38
3 BLACK BUST $19.53
2 MISTER AUSTIN $21.70
1 CASSIES PEDRO $24.11
8 ACE OSTI $26.78


264-EXACTA

U ARE A FRICKIN LEGEND OAKS...

i only put a buck on it but what a good call

[mighty_tiger_79]

you cant be serious

$2.64 wins $22

why was i watchin the news and gettin ready for work for???

absolute genius

sale superstar

[Oaksnaf]

Sale Race 5 ~ OPEN RACE.... First 4 jackpot.

7 XMAN $3.74
3 SPANISH JACKIE $5.13
6 WANNY HUSSLER $5.70
5 IMA NUISANCE $7.04
1 HELLO BIG BOY $9.65
8 SPOT ON ROB $14.71
2 STEALTHY SAL $34.17
4 SIR JONATHON $52.09

374-QUIN

[mighty_tiger_79]

i reckon thats now 3 winners that have been rated on top that have won at $20+ and one even got up at $30+

[Oaksnaf]

Ahh they were 2nd Raters that got up Mighty Tiger.

That is my biggest Top Rating pick winner this year. And a nice collect.

[Johno6]

what did u have on it aoksy?
i forgot bout it till last minute so only had the dollar on ya top 3 picks.

[Oaksnaf]

what did u have on it aoksy?
i forgot bout it till last minute so only had the dollar on ya top 3 picks.

If it's rated at $2.64

You go

1 / odds = 38%. Translate that to $38 and then depending on your bank size.

You can either increase that bet or decrease it, by certain incriments.

So if your bank size was $100. And your betting at 5% = $5 per race.


All you do. Is

$5 X 38% = $2 bet.

[Oaksnaf]

Sale Race 7~ Leaders race this one.

4 JALYN JONES $2.54
8 OUR TYLER ROSE $3.49
6 ARCTIC IRON $8.10
3 KAYGEE $10.00
1 BLITZING CHLOE $23.24
7 BABY MASTER $35.42
2 EN QUE ARE $39.36


254-Exacta

[mal]

you cant be serious

$2.64 wins $22

why was i watchin the news and gettin ready for work for???

absolute genius

sale superstar

I wuz doing housework and watching Watto and the boys destroying the Pakis

PS
Excuse me Shiek

[Oaksnaf]

After 24/1/10

TOP RATER

Code: Select all

Races   Winners   TOT   Placings   TOT
147   $51.00   164.7   100   148.98


2nd Rater

Code: Select all

Races   Wins   Return   Places   Return
147   27   158.6   80   145.16


3rd Rater

Code: Select all

Races   Wins   Return   Places   Return
147   16   101.5   68   120.14


4th Rater

Code: Select all

Races   Wins   Return   Places   Return
147   23   202.1   61   138.84


Quinella
79 winners
OUT $882
IN $1039.50

Exacta
79 winners
OUT $1764
IN $2412.70

Trifecta
46 winners
OUT $3528
IN $6098.90

F4
14 winners
OUT $3528
IN $3688.50

Quaddies
OUT $4096
IN $4230.40

TOTAL
OUT $13,798
IN $17,470

Code: Select all

WIN TOT   P/TOT   Selections   Wins   Places
626.9   553.12   588   117   309


Which is good.

588 selections
117 winners
$626.90 = 6.6% POT






Now betting to the market is returning $98 per race from $100 investment. Which is great!!
It doesn't sound good, but this means we are betting on every single selection. So to only lose $2 per race, when betting on every single selection means the market is quite accurate.

Only a small sample still so can't write about it too much. But it's a good start.

[Mr_Willy]

You are a freak Oaksy!!

[mighty_tiger_79]

ive just edited my shepparton post and included markets

[Oaksnaf]

Shep Race 1 ~ Pace from the inside boxes. Outwide are hit and miss. Samba Express can spoil these with clean run, but unlikylt to get it. #9 Croad likes to get off the track at the bend and doesn't race well crowded. But should get nice sit early with room to move.

2 EDDIE CAN DANCE $3.32
1 BLACK MONOPOLY $4.10
6 SAMBA EXPRESS $7.71
9 CROAD $11.75
7 SLOON $13.05
5 TWILIGHT SARAH $16.12
4 BIG CAPPA COOL $17.91
8 OPEN UP $22.11


332-QUIN

[Oaksnaf]

Shep Race 3 ~ Only three can win this, as the others won't chase from behind. Cool Wabbit/Hot Sensation to be Under $3.50 on tote. Exotics will be value if one of them misses out on 2nd.

7 HOT SENSATION $2.73
2 BONRAIN $5.14
4 COOL WABBIT $5.71
6 BARELEN CURVES $13.27
8 VINNYS BOY $18.20
3 OUTLOOK $20.22
1 SANCTIFIED $22.47
5 BLACK RIVER $24.97

273-Exacta

[mighty_tiger_79]

didnt like race 2 oaksy??

[Oaksnaf]

didnt like race 2 oaksy??

I scrapped up a market but don't know much about these.

6 CHIEF ADVISER $1.81
8 BAM SIYAN $6.42
2 SMOKIN SLAYER $12.09
3 STYLISH HERO $18.42
7 GUNBAR CREEK $20.47
4 RUSTY TIN CAN $25.27
1 PATRIOTIC CHORE $28.08
5 SIENNA MARY $31.20


181-TRI

[mighty_tiger_79]

came up with the same top pick at least

[Oaksnaf]

Shep Race 4~ Cool Times should lead this field from #3 early in the race. Whistling Drive does get the dream run of the race, but is slow to begin. Rails will suit, but needs to lead and won't here. Well I hope!!

8 COOL TIMES $2.68
2 KNIGHT RAIDER $4.08
3 ZANIS ROCKET $9.47
1 WHISTLING DRIVE $10.53
6 LORD KOBYBOYN $17.83
4 REDEYE ROCKET $19.81
5 BOND VOYAGE $24.46
7 TUSCANY PRINCESS $30.19

268-Exacta