Dutchy'$ Footy 2010

[Dutchy]

Correct Willy, wasnt going to have a bet in the game as I thought the bookies had it right, but to see Glenelg +13.5 it was massive value and had to take it. If Sportsbet didnt make the mistake it would have been a +$350 day

[Dutchy]

Geelong -18.5 PYOL
$50 @ $2.63

[overloaded]

Geelong -18.5 PYOL
$50 @ $2.63

good luck dutchy

[Dutchy]

Saints/Collingwood Under 179.5
$111 @ $1.90

Brisbane Win
$200 @ $2.02

Nth Melbourne Win
$175 @ $1.86

Carlton/Essendon Over 194.5
$111 @ $1.90

Glenelg +13.5
$330 @ $1.90

WWT Eagles Win / North Adelaide Win
$150 @ $2.00

Geelong -18.5 PYOL
$50 @ $2.63 LOSS

Week 3

SANFL -$180.00
AFL +$293.40
TOTAL +$113.40

Dutchy'$ Footy 2010
NAB Cup +$140.16
SANFL +$266.40
AFL -$47.75
TOTAL +$358.81

Tale of the weekend - Sportsbets mistake in the SANFL hurt, I had the match down as a NO BET game when Glenelg came up -13.5 favourites at other bookies, when they put up +13.5 I had to have a go. They then put in their worst minor round effort since Anzac Day last year. Very happy with the Roos and Brisbane bets, spent a lot of time on those games and both came out the way I expected.

Lesson Learnt - Dont go as hard on mistakes, or LAY off to lock in a profit.

[Dutchy]

Like the Bombers tonight, just worried about their fade outs and the B2B 6 day breaks, but reckon they will serve it up to WCE tonight so taking them with the points in at Half Time. Also reckon this game will be a bit of a shoot out, WCE playing much more positive footy and Essendon will enjoy this.


Essendon +5.5 Half Time
$110 @ $1.91

Essendon/WCE over 180.5
$110 @ $1.90

Glenelg Win
$200 @ $2.00

[Spearhead]

Essendon/WCE over 180.5
$110 @ $1.90

Bookies got this line right!!

[Dutchy]

Collingwood play a injury/suspension hit Hawks off back to back 6 day breaks, Roos/Syndey game Im expecting a tough defensive battle. I expect Adelaide to break thru today and could do it quite easily.

Nth Melb +39.5 into Collingwood Win
$150 @ $1.95

Adelaide -6.5
$108 @ $1.92

Nth Melbourne / Sydney Under 185.5 points
$111 @ $1.90

[Dutchy]

Bullies +24.5 into Collingwood Win
$150 @ $2.15

Bullies/Brisbane Under 190.5 pts
$111 @ $1.90

[Dutchy]

Cats/Power game total is too high, cant see it getting above the AFL average. Also like the Cats and Saints to have solid wins today, using PYOL.

Geelong/Port Under 190.5
$111 @ $1.90

ST KILDA -12.5 into GEELONG -15.5
$150 @ $1.98

[Dutchy]

Essendon +5.5 Half Time
$110 @ $1.91

Essendon/WCE over 180.5
$110 @ $1.90

Glenelg Win
$200 @ $2.00

Nth Melb +39.5 into Collingwood Win
$150 @ $1.95

Adelaide -6.5
$108 @ $1.92

Nth Melbourne / Sydney Under 185.5 points
$111 @ $1.90

Bullies +24.5 into Collingwood Win
$150 @ $2.15 WIN

Bullies/Brisbane Under 190.5 pts
$111 @ $1.90 WIN

Geelong/Port Under 190.5
$111 @ $1.90 LOSS

ST KILDA -12.5 into GEELONG -15.5
$150 @ $1.98 WIN


Week 4

SANFL -$200.00
AFL -$69.70
TOTAL -$269.70

Dutchy'$ Footy 2010
NAB Cup +$140.16
SANFL +$66.40
AFL -$117.45
TOTAL +$89.11

Tale of the weekend - A 0.5 and 1.5 loss hurt. Also underestimating Centrals.

Lesson Learnt - Overestimating Essendon and Adelaide. Put more study in.

[Dutchy]

Adelaide get the Bullies on B2B 6 day break plus travel and a taxing game last week. Bullies also conceeding the 2nd most Inside 50's in the comp only behind Richmond. Adelaide should get enough opportunities to score and keep this game competitive for most of the night. WCE impressed me last week and get a good 8 day break into this game at the SCG where the Swans havent had many big wins of late. WCE again should get enough opportunities to score and Sydney coming off the ES.

ADELAIDE +60.5 into WEST COAST +50.5
$200 @ $1.82

[G]

Dutchy you sure you're not a politician ?????

You give us 4 lines of spin-doctoring on the reasons why Western Bullies and Sydney are suspect, then you back it up by picking lines of +60 and +50

[Dutchy]

Dutchy you sure you're not a politician ?????

You give us 4 lines of spin-doctoring on the reasons why Western Bullies and Sydney are suspect, then you back it up by picking lines of +60 and +50

Who got it right in the Adelaide game G?

Saints -23.5
$100 @ $2.06

[Dutchy]

Port/Saints Under 175.5
$165 @ $1.91

[overloaded]

I doubt you will get both of those bets up.

[Dutchy]

Centrals/Collingwood Win
$210 @ $1.95

Collingwood/Essendon Under 184.5 Points
$110 @ $1.91

Port Magpies +12.5
$220 @ $1.90

[Dutchy]

Carlton/Geelong Over 191.5
$111 @ $1.90

South Adelaide +27.5
$111 @ $1.90

[Dutchy]

ADELAIDE +60.5 into WEST COAST +50.5
$200 @ $1.82

Saints -23.5
$100 @ $2.06

Centrals/Collingwood Win
$210 @ $1.95

Collingwood/Essendon Under 184.5 Points
$110 @ $1.91

Port Magpies +12.5
$220 @ $1.90

Carlton/Geelong Over 191.5
$111 @ $1.90

South Adelaide +27.5
$111 @ $1.90 WIN



Week 5

SANFL -$330.10
AFL -$310.90
TOTAL -$641.00

Dutchy'$ Footy 2010
NAB Cup +$140.16
SANFL -$263.70
AFL -$428.35
TOTAL -$551.89

Tale of the weekend - Another couple of close losses, probably only poor bet was the Saints. My poor early season form continues.

Lesson Learnt - Thnk very carefully about backing road favs with big starts.

[Dutchy]

Bullies/Sturt Win
$150 @ $2.25

[Dutchy]

Adelaide +11.5
$110 @ $1.92