Jimmy_041 wrote:RB wrote:Brodlach wrote:Priest now in front by 34
There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.
Preference flows
Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%
Postal votes are breaking 53%-47% in Patterson's favour so far (512 v 454). Generally the Liberals' advantage is a tad lower in late postals compared to early postals.
Patterson also has a narrow primary vote lead, so if all preferences break 50-50 he wins.
There may be some more absent votes or other exotic vote types that help Priest.