The South Australian Political Landscape

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Re: The South Australian Political Landscape

Postby Jimmy_041 » Thu Mar 26, 2026 10:38 am

RB wrote:
Brodlach wrote:Priest now in front by 34


There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.


Preference flows

Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%
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Re: The South Australian Political Landscape

Postby dedja » Thu Mar 26, 2026 10:42 am

If Patto loses, he should go back to the Holdfast Bay council and dethrone the clown masquerading as the Mayor.
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Re: The South Australian Political Landscape

Postby RB » Thu Mar 26, 2026 10:50 am

Jimmy_041 wrote:
RB wrote:
Brodlach wrote:Priest now in front by 34


There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.


Preference flows

Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%


Postal votes are breaking 53%-47% in Patterson's favour so far (512 v 454). Generally the Liberals' advantage is a tad lower in late postals compared to early postals.

Patterson also has a narrow primary vote lead, so if all preferences break 50-50 he wins.

There may be some more absent votes or other exotic vote types that help Priest.
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Re: The South Australian Political Landscape

Postby dedja » Thu Mar 26, 2026 10:53 am

RB wrote:
Jimmy_041 wrote:
RB wrote:
Brodlach wrote:Priest now in front by 34


There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.


Preference flows

Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%


Postal votes are breaking 53%-47% in Patterson's favour so far (512 v 454). Generally the Liberals' advantage is a tad lower in late postals compared to early postals.

Patterson also has a narrow primary vote lead, so if all preferences break 50-50 he wins.

There may be some more absent votes or other exotic vote types that help Priest.


Priest will win, he has the backing of The Lord.
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Re: The South Australian Political Landscape

Postby Jimmy_041 » Thu Mar 26, 2026 10:59 am

RB wrote:
Jimmy_041 wrote:
RB wrote:
Brodlach wrote:Priest now in front by 34


There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.


Preference flows

Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%


Postal votes are breaking 53%-47% in Patterson's favour so far (512 v 454). Generally the Liberals' advantage is a tad lower in late postals compared to early postals.

Patterson also has a narrow primary vote lead, so if all preferences break 50-50 he wins.

There may be some more absent votes or other exotic vote types that help Priest.


Sorry, Pollbludger's headline is wrong
The correct number are as you said
https://pollbludger.net/sa2026/Results/ ... s=Morphett

Priest is another Annabel Digance
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Re: The South Australian Political Landscape

Postby dedja » Thu Mar 26, 2026 11:46 am

Priest ahead by 167 votes.
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