Horse Racing Tips & Discussion

[JK]

I didn't see any races yesterday, but you don't want to give the punters one reason to complain let alone 3

I can understand their anger, Palentino was a multi killer for a lot of people. I actually backed Terravista, but mastered Chautaqua in the Tri so still worked out alright for me. Only saw the conclusion of the race from a distance, and whilst Chautaqua is clearly the superior horse, Terravista should have won. Olly mishandling the whip would have cost it more than the 3 inches it lost by.

Don't think there would be any jockey with a better record than Craig Williams at pleading their case to stewards.

[helicopterking]

How the race got taken off Palentino amazes me. Got past, came back and beat it.

[gadj1976]

How the race got taken off Palentino amazes me. Got past, came back and beat it.

Obviously I'm biased because I had Palentino but I said exactly the same thing. It was done and dusted at the 150 yet came back and won. Tivaci had every chance to win and didn't.

[LPH]

Doesn't Sportsbet pay 1st past the post anyway, regardless of the Protest?
Apart from the Top Tote Dividends & also the Cash Out option, this reason alone should stop punters from betting with the TAB???
I know Ladbrokes don't pay 'Protest Payout' but Sportsbet still do, don't they?
FWIW, I struggle to see how alleged interference @ the 900m mark had a marked impact on the result of the race.
As for Oliver's error, don't think he'll get another ride for Joe Pride in a hurry, if Joe's Tweets are anything to go by!

[JK]

Yeah they do LPH, but not when its a leg of a multi .. There were some fair casualties on the weekend when Palentino didn't salute. That's punting though, probably worked for some that had Tivaci in multiples so swings and roundabouts I guess.

[Booney]

Phil Stokes kicked by one of his horses at Gawler trials this morning.

In hospital with broken ribs and concussion.

[mighty_tiger_79]

LAUNCESTON CUP

eventually weight does stop a train, and it may be that today it stops the toppy....

like the 6 and also the 3 as a roughy at 100/1 who should get a soft run throughout here

[mighty_tiger_79]

Sky channel are a ******* disgrace

Warrnambool r3 clashed with hawkesbury who were running late.

We get a split screen.

Why not put it on sky2...and get the full screen??

[Booney]

U Bet offering money back on :

- All MR races tomorrow
- Fixed price up to $50
- If your runner comes second or third

[stampy]

great ride zac spain!

[LPH]

Hey Lads, Autumn Carnival heats up tomorrow - 3 x G1's in Melbourne, & the Chipping Norton in Sydney
Winx just wins the C.N. Stakes doesn't she?

Reckon JK won't be surprised when I say I'm backing Stratum Star in the Futurity.
22 starts for 15 Placings; 6 of those @ the distance, 5 @ the Track including 3 wins, 75% Placing 2nd Up, 2 wins & a 3rd from 4 starts Track/Distance.
Has a better Gate than the other Weir runner but I think the better Jockey is on the other one - that said, Zahra is no 'mug'.
Happy to take the $15 & $4.20 on offer - think he'll run Top 5 for sure.
Danger? Last year's winner could well do it again, Suavito - great 1st Up & its record is better than Stratum Star.

Blue Diamond? We haven't had a 'roughy' win the Diamond for a few years, I think - can't recall since Hayes' runner a few years back, Reaan (wasn't it about 15/1?) Might be time for an upset, perhaps? Heard Hayes talking about his Filly 'Zimzam', he reckoned it was his best chance & to disregard the previous run. At the price, I'll take her the PLACE I think. BTW, it appears there's been Money for the Hawkes runner 'Star Turn' - might be worth an E/Way Ticket too.

The Oakleigh Plate often throws up a good priced winner. I backed Shamal Wind last year & also Miss Onasis (@ $26) 3 yrs ago, so I love this race
Atmospherical ran 3rd in this race last year, she's some hope from the Gate. I think 'Fast n Rocking' is an under rated Horse, wouldn't surprise to see him win. The Top Weight will be in it for a long way, too. That said, I reckon they'll be 'flying' up front in this race, so its likely (like last year) that the winner will be finishing over the top of them - 'The Quarterback' could be the one. Gunna back BOTH No 1 & No. 11 E/Way, plus a Box Trifecta: 1, 3, 8, 10,11, 12.

Happy Punting Boys

[stampy]

i backed gleaming waters one year which won at 66/1, 1981 it was when i was a whipper snapper

[stampy]

i backed gleaming waters one year which won at 66/1, 1981 it was when i was a whipper snapper

in the oakleigh plate

[LPH]

THAT, my friends, was a GOOD Day on the punt!
Hope you managed to back any (or all) of those 3!!!
$4.20 PLACE Stratum Star.
$6.50 PLACE ZimZam.
$31.50 (Best TOTE) & $7 Flamburge.
Winx was the worst price, $1.40 - but didn't she win well?

[stampy]

THAT, my friends, was a GOOD Day on the punt!
Hope you managed to back any (or all) of those 3!!!
$4.20 PLACE Stratum Star.
$6.50 PLACE ZimZam.
$31.50 (Best TOTE) & $7 Flamburge.
Winx was the worst price, $1.40 - but didn't she win well?

i was on fell swoop in flamberges race, just saw the replay, i missed out by a bees knee

[LPH]

I would've taken 2nd or 3rd ... but 1st was sooooooooo much better

[mighty_tiger_79]

Does anyone watch Get On on 78?

[gadj1976]

Does anyone watch Get On on 78?

Yep and generally back against them.

[LPH]

Yep... Gator is OK but if you want to follow his tips, Get a 'Best Bets'

[LPH]

Last week was good but I hate Post Mortems, particularly "On the Punt"!
So we go back to 'Headquarters' in Melbourne for the next couple of weeks & the Sydney Carnival begins in earnest, this week.
Before I talk about tomorrow, I LOVED the run of Our Ivanhoe last week - had no luck whatsoever in the final furlong.
I took the $13 on offer last Sunday for the Australian Cup - now into $9 on Sportsbet. You'll get better tomorrow night, I reckon.
Top 5 Runner in Aussie Cup - for sure.

So to tomorrow:

Australian Guineas - Like The Derby winner Tarzino, price has come in since last night's $8.50 & & 2.80, but his last run was full of merit & happy to bet against the fav. Mahuta is a very interesting runner & to get $9 & $3 for a horse that has won its last 6 starts is very tempting.
The Oaks winner, Jameka, is silly odds IMHO & 2 other roughies worth thought are 7 & 16.
Happy to back The Derby winner to beat the Oaks winner. Reckon the Trifecta will pay well, too. Box Trifecta: 1, 2, 5, 7, 9, 16

Like one in Race 3 - Top Weight; Afleet Esprit - Hasn't Hayes come good in the last 12 - 18 months? He's well & truely on his way back to the summit of Victorian Racing & although Weir is still No. 1, I think Hayes will have more Group Winners by the end of the season, considering he has runners in Sydney as well... The Horse has a good record down the straight @ Flemington & at the price of $9, I'm happy to take on the fav. The $2.50 on offer for the PLACE is 'sweet' considering the fav is Odds On.

Randwick Guineas - every pundit suggests this is a certain winner, Press Statement. Is it the right price? Not for me. 9/4 On is too short IMHO. If it were $1.80, I'd consider backing it but $1.40 was what Winx paid last week & Press Statement is no Winx! Happy to watch the race & hope my 'Star Stable' runner, Stay with Me, runs well

I think Calliope can win the Reisling, its better than its last run & 2/1 isn't a bad price, although $3.30 would be better.
In Race 3 I am backing Loophole. Tommy Berry has an amazing record when he rides a Waller Horse. From memory its about a 30+ % WIN rate. This is the only ride he has for Waller tomorrow. Loophole is $11 & $3.10 with Ladbrokes @ the Moment ($11 & $2.80 on Sportsbet, $11 & $2.95 with UBET), I'll take him 1 unit by 3 units.

Enjoy the Day in front of the TV, Lads