by Booney » Thu Jul 28, 2016 9:14 am
Different approach this week....4/9 last week and a busy week, well, not so much busy week but big weekend and I couldn’t be arsed Monday and Tuesday night doing anything but helping my liver recover.
Geelong v Dogs –
Catters had the big win over the Crows, Boris Enright taking ownership of the Crows forward half, the Dogs got rolled by the Saints and lost two key soldiers to long term injuries.
Top 4 shaping contest this one, I think the Cats will take the top 4 spot and make it hard for the Dogs to get back into that mix. Bartel’s 300th,Boris breaks the Cats games record.They won’t let him down this time.
Geelong by 19 points. ( Cats $1.29 Dogs $3.65 )
GWS v Richmond –
The Giants were down against Port early before they took the game on and rolled the Power, the Tigers were ordinary even by their standards against the Hawks. 70 point loss almost flattering.
Another one that will impact on the top 4, this should get the Giants set in the top 4 with an easy draw to come.
Giants easy, by 48 points. ( GWS $1.10 Richmond $7 )
Hawks v Carlton –
Mitchell’s 300th was more than enough for the Hawks to get up and about, thumping the Tigers by 70 points as the Blues battled manfully up in Sydney, went down by just one sausage roll.
Two games clear on top and it should stay that way, unless the Blues pull off one major upset. Bolton’s first assignment against his former side, he’ll know how they play....won’t matter.
Hawks by 27 points. ( Hawks $1.06 Blues $9 )
Collingwood v West Coast –
The Pies went the body last week and forgot about the ball and paid the penalty, 40 points losers. West Coast couldn’t shake off and then couldn’t put away the Demons, just the one major in it at the end.
Collingwood seduced many, me included, by their form leading into last week. The Eagles are limp away from home, so who is it?
Gut feel says the Eagles, head says the Pies will bounce back. Collingwood by 11 points. ( Pies $2.25 Eagles $1.65 )
Brisbane v Port –
Where did that come from? Big winners in Melbourne over the Bombers. Port good early, not sighted late against the Giants at home. Too much for too few to do.
The shit part about this one for Port fans, we know we’re capable of losing this one when we should win without much trouble. Nan Boon in the house for this one. At least someone will be there.
Port, please. 20 points the final margin. ( Lions $6.00 Port $1.13 )
North v St Kilda –
North finally stood up last week, the 40 point win over the Pies stopped the rot. St Kilda keep on marching in, 15 points over the Dogs in extenuating circunstances.
Big week for the Roos, all eyes on Boomer and doesn’t he love it? St Kilda the chance to keep the race for the 8 alive....
North deserve to be favourites, can they keep the eye on the prize around the Boomer record? Must win the milestone game and end the Saints run at 8th. A MUST win.North by 15.( North $1.55 St Kilda $2.45 )
Melbourne v Gold Coast –
Good effort in Perth by the Demons, a goalless last quarter the difference in a tight one, down by a goal. The Suns big men far too good for Fremantle, 4 goal winners.
The trip to Perth might zap the Melbourne legs a bit, the trip to Melbourne is never friendly for the Suns. Melbourne’s back men with the job to do, the midfielders should help them by winning it in there.
Melbourne too good in the clinches here, Suns forwards might get enough supply though. Melbourne by 13 points. ( Melbourne $1.20 Gold Coast $4.60 )
Fremantle v Sydney –
The Dockers left some big bodies home last week and under sized never looked likely, 4 goal losers as the Swans went a few more rounds than they would have liked with the Blues, one goal winners.
Pav’s 350th, the Swans without a ruckman, but it is 3rd and 16th. Will Super Pav’s big one be enough? Unlikely. The Swans mids too good here.
Sydney to feed Big Bud the Sherrin and he’ll bag out. Sydney by 28 points. ( Fremantle $4.15 Sydney $1.23 )
Adelaide v Essendon –
Unhappy hunting at the Cattery for 14 years straight, locked up at half back and went down by 5 goals. Congratulations to the spoon winners 2016, Essington.
The run came to an end and so did the run from half back, forced sideways they didn’t like it. The Bombers made some history, first spoon in 80 odd years with a stinker against the Lions. Terrible ball use.
Won’t be pretty here, Adelaide will be looking for some blood. Adelaide big. 74 points. ( Adelaide $1.01 Essendon write your own ticket. )
Punting value –
Not much in the way of “upsets” this week I don’t think, but what the f**k would I know anyway....
St Kilda could throw a spanner in Boomers works and this should be close. Either team under 15.5 points $2.75 looks tempting.
Port should account for the Lions, $2.40 for 1-39 the bet I think. Won’t be more than 40 points, depending which Lions and Port sides roll up though.
Gold Coast a sneaky chance if the mid’s can get the big men enough ball? Either team under 15.5 points $3.75.
Fremantle will play ugly, Sydney won’t be upset by that. Sydney 1-39 $1.91
Last edited by
Booney on Thu Jul 28, 2016 11:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
PAFC. Forever.
LOOK OUT, WE'RE COMING!