by The Bedge » Tue Jul 26, 2022 10:43 am
Ladder after Round 15
26 - Trinity OS
22 - West Croydon
18 - Marion
15 - Central United
12 - Brahma Lodge
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11 - Rosewater
08 - Fitzroy
06 - Ingle Farm
02 - Para Hills
The run home:
Trinity OS: Brahma Lodge (H), Central United (A), West Croydon (H)
West Croydon: Fitzroy (A), BYE, Trinity OS (A)
Marion: Ingle Farm (H), Rosewater (A), Para Hills (H)
Central United: BYE, Trinity OS (H), Brahma Lodge (H)
Brahma Lodge: Trinity OS (A), Para Hills (H), Central United (A)
Rosewater: Para Hills (A), Marion (H), Fitzroy (A)
Fitzroy: West Croydon (H), Ingle Farm (A), Rosewater (H)
Ingle Farm: Marion (A), Fitzroy (H), BYE
Para Hills: Rosewater (H), Brahma Lodge (A), Marion (A)
Trinity cant lose top spot, even if they lose all three games, West Croydon with the bye in Rd 17 means they only have 4 points on offer to collect.
Hawks need to pick up one more win to lock away second spot though, Marion have a favorable draw the back 3 and will start heavy favorites in each to win comfortably.
Units 3pts back in 4th wont catch Marion, but will likely battle local rival Brahma Lodge in the last round to decide who hosts the home final week 1.
If Brahma win 1 of their last 3, they'll hold the door ajar for Rosewater to potentially sneak into the 5. Given the Bulldogs finish with two sides in the bottom half, it's not out the realms of possibility.
Fitzroy can still make a crack at the 5, but need to win all three and win them well.. on the flip side, lose all three and perhaps the Farmers have a sniff of staving off relegation.
To do so, the Farmers would need to knock off Marion on their deck this week, then get Fitzroy at home in their final match. Dropping to Marion will make it extremely hard - almost impossible to close the percentage gap on 'Roys.
Predicted Final Ladder:
Trinity OS
West Croydon
Marion
Central United
Brahma Lodge
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Fitzroy
Rosewater
Ingle Farm
Para Hills
D6R
Trinity OS
Marion
Central United
Rosewater
Brahma Lodge
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West Croydon
Fitzroy
Ingle Farm
Para Hills
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