AFL 2014

[mighty_tiger_79]

I think some people, myself included at times, probably don't value their $$ enough .. So punt for fun without tying up a lot of time in study etc.

The bookies would love punters like me, but I don't bet big, and I use it as a casual hobby.

I was reasonably good at maths all through school and thereafter, was good at Bookkeeping and some Accounting work, but am fundamentally lazy and couldn't be bothered putting a lot of time in.

that all adds up to a bottle of booze

[mighty_tiger_79]

Son of Gof is out for remainder of the season

[Stumps]

No expert either but even if the market was 100%, how for the avge punter does that make tipping the brownlow easier?
You lose $50 if pendelbury loses regardless of whether he is $3.50 or $7.50

[mighty_tiger_79]

its about value

[JK]

No expert either but even if the market was 100%, how for the avge punter does that make tipping the brownlow easier?
You lose $50 if pendelbury loses regardless of whether he is $3.50 or $7.50

If the market is more favourable you don't need to win as often to turn a profit, I think is the underlying logic

[bennymacca]

No expert either but even if the market was 100%, how for the avge punter does that make tipping the brownlow easier?
You lose $50 if pendelbury loses regardless of whether he is $3.50 or $7.50

Strip it back to a head to head contest, where one party is at 1.50 and the other is at $3

This means that the bookies have calculated that the team at $1.50 will win 60% of the time. So now you make a determination as to whether you think this is true. If you think it is higher you bet on them if you think it is 55% then you bet on the other team, even if it means you will lose more often, the payback when you win is enough to make it back.

[Stumps]

Couldn't care if the odds were $1.20 I am on melb< 60 pts tot score into st kilda <60 pts tot score @$3.15
Can see some low scoring games this weekend in the cold and wet

[mighty_tiger_79]

I can see some hi-low doubles

[Ron Burgundy]

I like the eagles at a -13.5 line

[mighty_tiger_79]

sanfl odds this week

south Adelaide $1.28 v Adelaide $3.60

sturt $1.08 v Glenelg $7

have sturt ever been $1.08 before????

port $1.12 v north $6

centrals $2.05 v west $1.75

eagles $1.70 v norwood $2.10

[Booney]

Tom Waterhouse offering $4 Adelaide to beat Hawthorn for the next 4 hours.

( 3pm > 7pm )

[Dutchy]

Hawks -4.5
2 Units @ $1.92

[Johno6]

tatts twist for tonight is either team under 15.5 at $4 also

[Booney]

tatts twist for tonight is either team under 15.5 at $4 also

I'm into that, thanks.

[HH3]

NM at $3.60 to win 1-39 is a pretty good bet.

If the Roos do win, can't see them kicking a big score in a blustery place like Blundstone, when the forward lines a bit iffy under a roof.

St Kilda are at $14 for 1-39....so that could be a good bet too considering Norths year to date.

[Booney]

NM at $3.60 to win 1-39 is a pretty good bet.

If the Roos do win, can't see them kicking a big score in a blustery place like Blundstone, when the forward lines a bit iffy under a roof.

St Kilda are at $14 for 1-39....so that could be a good bet too considering Norths year to date.

I can't agree. North are building and St Kilda are shit. They've got nothing to play for and will hate being down in Tassie in the cold.

North 60+.

[Johno6]

the shit north could rock up and still win by 60+.
saints are a terrible terrible side..... besides one player obviously....................................... (cam shenton)

[mighty_tiger_79]

ive got a multi with north 25+ but im not confident at all

[Booney]

tatts twist for tonight is either team under 15.5 at $4 also

I'm into that, thanks.

13 points.

[mighty_tiger_79]

You will be banned from tattsbet now like a few others