by MW » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:06 am
by dedja » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:19 am
MW wrote:The finals win/loss record argument always amuses me.
If you make finals, at best you are likely to be 1-1, or 0-1, or 2-1 if you are lucky. Only winning the flag can you be 3-0 or 3-1 in finals.
So odds are most coaches would either have break even or losing finals records even though their regular season win/loss % would be well above 50%
by Lightning McQueen » Thu Aug 21, 2025 8:28 am
dedja wrote:MW wrote:The finals win/loss record argument always amuses me.
If you make finals, at best you are likely to be 1-1, or 0-1, or 2-1 if you are lucky. Only winning the flag can you be 3-0 or 3-1 in finals.
So odds are most coaches would either have break even or losing finals records even though their regular season win/loss % would be well above 50%
On its own with no context … 100% agree.
Preliminary Finals: 0-4, so nearly half of all finals loses.
Grand Finals: 0
Premierships: 0
This is from a club who announced that they would win 3 flags in 5 years, granted that the blame for that ridiculous boast shouldn’t be pinned on the coach.
It’s also not his fault that the club kept reappointing him … who in their right mind would quit a job that they love and are handsomely remunerated.
by mighty_tiger_79 » Thu Aug 21, 2025 8:47 am
Lightning McQueen wrote:dedja wrote:MW wrote:The finals win/loss record argument always amuses me.
If you make finals, at best you are likely to be 1-1, or 0-1, or 2-1 if you are lucky. Only winning the flag can you be 3-0 or 3-1 in finals.
So odds are most coaches would either have break even or losing finals records even though their regular season win/loss % would be well above 50%
On its own with no context … 100% agree.
Preliminary Finals: 0-4, so nearly half of all finals loses.
Grand Finals: 0
Premierships: 0
This is from a club who announced that they would win 3 flags in 5 years, granted that the blame for that ridiculous boast shouldn’t be pinned on the coach.
It’s also not his fault that the club kept reappointing him … who in their right mind would quit a job that they love and are handsomely remunerated.
The "club" didn't announce it, the CEO stated it was a goal. Yes, it was a ridiculous statement but was also twisted to make sound worse, just another list of things Port supprters have to take on the chin as it is forever mentioned.
Your 2nd sentence hits the nail on the head, Kenny loves working, he loves his playing group. Although I'm glad he's finishing up and I'm bitter about a couple of premierships that we should've owned, I can't see things getting any better any time soon, for someone who grew up not barracking for Port they are a hard club to keep supporting.
by Trader » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:15 pm
dedja wrote:Are Port in a much better place than when he arrived … on field?
Year before he started - 2012: 14th 5-16-1 78.9%
Last Year as coach* - 2025: 13th 8-14-0 79.0%
* one match remaining
Coach: 2013-2025, 13 years
Finals: W6 L9
Grand Finals: 0
Premierships: 0
by wenchbarwer » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:23 pm
Trader wrote:dedja wrote:Are Port in a much better place than when he arrived … on field?
Year before he started - 2012: 14th 5-16-1 78.9%
Last Year as coach* - 2025: 13th 8-14-0 79.0%
* one match remaining
Coach: 2013-2025, 13 years
Finals: W6 L9
Grand Finals: 0
Premierships: 0
Don't forget he's also left us with the great position of not having a first-round draft pick, and a reduced soft cap.
by Booney » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:30 pm
by Brodlach » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:32 pm
Booney wrote:Soft cap goes up $750k next year, that's why it was deferred until now.
Brodlach wrote:Rory Laird might end up the best IMO, he is an absolute jet. He has been in great form at the Bloods
by another grub » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:35 pm
by Booney » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:41 pm
Brodlach wrote:Booney wrote:Soft cap goes up $750k next year, that's why it was deferred until now.
They wouldn’t have known that back in 2021
by Booney » Thu Aug 21, 2025 1:53 pm
by another grub » Thu Aug 21, 2025 2:03 pm
by Booney » Thu Aug 21, 2025 2:26 pm
another grub wrote:How did Muntbury go last nite?
by wenchbarwer » Thu Aug 21, 2025 2:31 pm
by RB » Thu Aug 21, 2025 3:09 pm
MW wrote:The finals win/loss record argument always amuses me.
If you make finals, at best you are likely to be 1-1, or 0-1, or 2-1 if you are lucky. Only winning the flag can you be 3-0 or 3-1 in finals.
So odds are most coaches would either have break even or losing finals records even though their regular season win/loss % would be well above 50%
by Booney » Thu Aug 21, 2025 3:13 pm
by Mr Beefy » Thu Aug 21, 2025 4:14 pm
RB wrote:MW wrote:The finals win/loss record argument always amuses me.
If you make finals, at best you are likely to be 1-1, or 0-1, or 2-1 if you are lucky. Only winning the flag can you be 3-0 or 3-1 in finals.
So odds are most coaches would either have break even or losing finals records even though their regular season win/loss % would be well above 50%
I tested your theory on folks who've coached between 250 and 350 AFL/VFL games (to compare Ken with his peers).
Finals win percentage:
21 - Bob Rose
40 - Ken Hinkley
43 - Robert Walls
45 - Phonse Kyne
47 - Mark Williams
50 - Bill Stephen
50 - Brad Scott
50 - Reg Hickey
50 - John Longmire
54 - Luke Beveridge
55 - John Northey
56 - Paul Roos
58 - Mark Thompson
64 - Denis Pagan
65 - Malcolm Blight
81 - John Worrall
Alternatively, we can do overall win percentage less finals win percentage:
37 - Bob Rose
18 - Ken Hinkley
15 - Phonse Kyne
13 - John Longmire
11 - Reg Hickey
8 - Mark Williams
4 - Robert Walls
4 - Mark Thompson
3 - Luke Beveridge
2 - Brad Scott
(5) - John Northey
(5) - Paul Roos
(10) - Malcolm Blight
(12) - Denis Pagan
(17) - Bill Stephen
(21) - John Worrall
So after Bob Rose who had a truly minging finals record, Kenny is right near the bottom. I suspect it would be worse if you discount non-knockout matches.
I think when you factor in Kenny's record in important minor round games, and games on the home stretch when finals are looming, the pattern is pretty clear.
Having said that, a much bigger indictment on Ken is not so much his finals W-L record, though bad, but the way his team have absolutely shat the bed in finals, particularly after those first couple of years, often against objectively weaker teams, and at home.
That is, the level of performance his team have repeatedly served up in September has further contributed to (accurate in my view) perceptions of his ability to coach a team to win when it counts.
by RB » Thu Aug 21, 2025 4:40 pm
by am Bays » Thu Aug 21, 2025 5:28 pm
by Armchair expert » Thu Aug 21, 2025 5:54 pm
Lightning McQueen wrote:You're a legend
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