Jimmy_041 wrote:If Verity did a preference deal with Labor, one of them would probably get in
ALP, and in particular independent voters, largely ignore preference recommendations (i.e. unless they were planning to vote according to the recommendation anyway) so I doubt any 'deal' they may come to would have any impact.
I don't think Labor would be best pleased with an independent running in Sturt, given how close Labor got there last time. It would be one of Labor's biggest pick-up opportunities anywhere in the country. Having said that, a prominent independent campaign in Boothby didn't hurt Labor in 2022.
There was a general hatred of Morrison etc last election which wont be the case this time
Stevens had a 7.43% swing against him last election but it went mainly to independants - Labor only got 0.8% The Greens got 16.39% last time with a 5.21% increase - that's what nearly got Labor over the line I'm betting on them only getting around 10% - they have gone even more feral
I'm betting an independent gets in if Stevens loses (Lo, and behold, I just got my weekly e-mail from him)
Verity is an interesting one The Coopers are very local and big donors to the Liberal Party Verity has always been a bit alternative She will either nail it or the blue rinse will set upon her
The national Teal vote is an unknown quantity. Im reading a lot that some of them could lose their seat.
Jimmy_041 wrote:There was a general hatred of Morrison etc last election which wont be the case this time
Stevens had a 7.43% swing against him last election but it went mainly to independants - Labor only got 0.8% The Greens got 16.39% last time with a 5.21% increase - that's what nearly got Labor over the line I'm betting on them only getting around 10% - they have gone even more feral
I'm betting an independent gets in if Stevens loses (Lo, and behold, I just got my weekly e-mail from him)
Verity is an interesting one The Coopers are very local and big donors to the Liberal Party Verity has always been a bit alternative She will either nail it or the blue rinse will set upon her
The national Teal vote is an unknown quantity. Im reading a lot that some of them could lose their seat.
This election is going to be as gripping as 2019
Antony Green is already on edge of his seat
Matty Wade is a star and deserves more respect from the forum family!
I used to get spam emails from Christopher Pyne, so after telling his office at least half a million times that I’m not interested, I started calling him Poodle in my replies. The emails soon stopped.
Brodlach wrote: Chalmers probably have done a decent job to get over this and keep people employed
The wife works in the job sector and regardless of the government that is in power the unemployment rates are the biggest crock of crap figures there is. The people in her industry are the unbelievable at how good they are cooking the books
Angus Taylor would be great fun at parties. Say something positive you pompous prat. Lord help us if this bloke gets the treasurer's seat in parliament.
The government has done a pretty good job in getting the economy sorted during their term.
If they're going to lose the election I don't think it will be economy management that brings it down.
Immigration and border protection is the one that could bring them down.
tigerpie wrote:Angus Taylor would be great fun at parties. Say something positive you pompous prat. Lord help us if this bloke gets the treasurer's seat in parliament.
The government has done a pretty good job in getting the economy sorted during their term.
If they're going to lose the election I don't think it will be economy management that brings it down.
Immigration and border protection is the one that could bring them down.
tigerpie wrote:Angus Taylor would be great fun at parties. Say something positive you pompous prat. Lord help us if this bloke gets the treasurer's seat in parliament.
The government has done a pretty good job in getting the economy sorted during their term.
If they're going to lose the election I don't think it will be economy management that brings it down.
Immigration and border protection is the one that could bring them down.
you're kidding arent you?
Well unless the RBA are bullshitting on inflation, employment, wages growth etc. Inflation was 6. Something when labour came into govt. And during the covid drama in terms of supply. Two surpluses, when the opposition couldnt forecast one under their own economic management for years. Now I'm no economist but I'm not sure what more labour could do.