The South Australian Political Landscape

[Pseudo]

Amazing the amount of people who were seduced* by Pauline.

*

I don’t think they were seduced by her as such, sure she has a small weird cult following but feel like the bulk are disenfranchised Liberal voters who feel they have no one else to vote for.
I was once a rusted on Libs voter but haven’t done for some time and as someone who will never ever vote Labor I just find it easier to scrawl a cock and two balls rather than vote ON or others though

I thought about casting a formal vote for Pauline's candidate for shits and giggles, in the knowledge that the Labor candidate was a monty to win. However standing in the booth with the pencil in my hand it was just easier to scrawl the cock and balls.

And yes, 20% of the first preferences going to ON is amazing.

[morell]

Far out the self aggrandising Orange shit is really getting to be too much. Maybe a seat or two in the assembly and a couple of unrepresentative swill on the Council because that's literally what's it designed and setup to do does not equal some kind of massive change in the policts of the state.

It is as it always has been since 1900. Two parties in SA, Labor and not-Labor. And when it's down to two, there are way way way more Labor than not-Labor.

The One Nation vote was simply disillusioned old white dudes that are stroppy they're not getting their way and had nowhere else to vote because they knew the Libs were stuffed. A split of the conservative vote doesn't mean there are more conservatives.

One Nation have no state policy. They're a protest moment in time. They will disappear again once (if?) the Libs sort their shit out. Which if they stick with Hurn, who is seemingly pretty astute and not a criminal or drug addict, they might be half a chance

[Brodlach]

I don’t think they have started counting pre poll votes, I would think ALP will be favored by them

95% of polling booths and 62.7% of early voting centres (pre-polls) have been counted (these are percentages of the total booths, not percentage of votes)

I was looking at the ABC coverage, they seem to be way behind although it say it’s updated regularly

[RB]

Amazing the amount of people who were seduced* by Pauline.

*

I don’t think they were seduced by her as such, sure she has a small weird cult following but feel like the bulk are disenfranchised Liberal voters who feel they have no one else to vote for.
I was once a rusted on Libs voter but haven’t done for some time and as someone who will never ever vote Labor I just find it easier to scrawl a cock and two balls rather than vote ON or others though

Not sure about that - Primary votes (51.9% counted)

0.9% overall swing away from ALP

But look at these electorates:
Elizabeth - 14.7% swing away from ALP
Giles - 14.5% swing away from ALP
Kauna - 7% swing away from ALP
Light - 18.1% swing away from ALP
Mawson - 5.6% swing away from ALP
Pt Adelaide - 7.1% swing away from ALP
Taylor - 10.5% swing away from ALP

There may be some local reasons which I dont know (or care) about but for such a landslide, Labor would be very worried they got less Primary vote and those electorates had massive contrary swings

I take a bit of a different view.

Given the large increase in the overall number of candidates, I don't think the ALP would be especially worried about a 0.9% swing away (which equals the swing to the Greens coincidentally). In fact given the various factors they'd have to be happy with that I think.

Additionally, you could list a heap of seats with primary vote swings towards Labor, e.g. Waite swung over 25% to Labor. See also Newland, Davenport, Kavel, and some other generally leafy seats.

The seats you listed above are, I guess, the sort of Labor-held seats which could eventually go the way of ON if similar swings occur again next time around. So I suppose that highlights potential future battlegrounds. While there was a 2PP ALP-Liberal swing in Labor's favour, it's sort of irrelevant when the Liberals are doing so poorly and if ON don't flame out, maybe they could pinch a couple of these seats off Labor next time.

But I'd be highly surprised if even the most pessimistic in the Labor camp were 'very worried' based on the above.

[dedja]

I’m in the State seat Morialta (formerly Coles), and Federal seat of Sturt.

In the 35 years I’ve lived here, Labor has only held Morialta/Coles for one term until this State election, and never in Sturt until last year’s Federal election. It’s now a Labor in both.

[Booney]

Amazing the amount of people who were seduced* by Pauline.

*

I don’t think they were seduced by her as such, sure she has a small weird cult following but feel like the bulk are disenfranchised Liberal voters who feel they have no one else to vote for.
I was once a rusted on Libs voter but haven’t done for some time and as someone who will never ever vote Labor I just find it easier to scrawl a cock and two balls rather than vote ON or others though

Rich old white Australians decided if they were just that or racist too.


That's all that happened.

[dedja]

There’s a lot of people worried about cost of living, including energy costs, housing and immigration, amongst other things, and rightly or wrongly, feel that the major political parties have let them down.

People may laugh at the seriousness of One Nation and their lack of genuine policies, but if people feel that the majors don’t have the answers, then why not go to the dark side is probably what they’re thinking.

Doesn’t necessarily make them racists.

Labor, Libs and the Nats need to take notice of what’s happening.

[Jimmy_041]

There’s a lot of people worried about cost of living, including energy costs, housing and immigration, amongst other things, and rightly or wrongly, feel that the major political parties have let them down.

People may laugh at the seriousness of One Nation and their lack of genuine policies, but if people feel that the majors don’t have the answers, then why not go to the dark side is probably what they’re thinking.

Doesn’t necessarily make them racists.

Labor, Libs and the Nats need to take notice of what’s happening.

But it’s such a great thing to fall back on

[dedja]

There’s a lot of people worried about cost of living, including energy costs, housing and immigration, amongst other things, and rightly or wrongly, feel that the major political parties have let them down.

People may laugh at the seriousness of One Nation and their lack of genuine policies, but if people feel that the majors don’t have the answers, then why not go to the dark side is probably what they’re thinking.

Doesn’t necessarily make them racists.

Labor, Libs and the Nats need to take notice of what’s happening.

But it’s such a great thing to fall back on

For some

[dedja]

So I guess another Cory poster goes up in the bedroom, one for each of his parties.

[am Bays]

I’m giving him one year before he jumps ship to form his own party

Same with the one in the lower house when Mali comes offering him a ministry….

Stop the cluster **** of infighting that has seen four leaders in four years as that is the reason why every 2nd person who voted liberal last time decided to vote ON as based on the last four years why would you?

Dedja nailed it people 1/5 people voted ON because they are pissed off by the status quo, cost of living and housing. They basically feel disenfranchised.

[dedja]

He joined ON 6 weeks ago, but gets 8 years in the Legislative Council for doing SFA.

I doubt he’ll last a year in her colours, why would he, he’s got those 8 years to fatten up his bank and super accounts with no accountability required in return.

In other news, Patto now 8 votes ahead in Morphett on 2CP.

[Dutchy]

Turned up to vote yesterday, took the Labor how to vote card and then the Libs volunteer tried to hand me hers and said "How to vote Labo....sorry Liberals"....everyone around us heard it, felt terrible for her.

[Jimmy_041]

Turned up to vote yesterday, took the Labor how to vote card and then the Libs volunteer tried to hand me hers and said "How to vote Labo....sorry Liberals"....everyone around us heard it, felt terrible for her.

Stephanie Marshall

[amber_fluid]

Turned up to vote yesterday, took the Labor how to vote card and then the Libs volunteer tried to hand me hers and said "How to vote Labo....sorry Liberals"....everyone around us heard it, felt terrible for her.

She had one job

[DOC]

Chris McDemott has kept his day job.

[wenchbarwer]

Well done to the voters of Black for seeing through Spiers' bullshit, hopefully that unflushed turd can now piss off and get a real job, the coke dealing wannabe fiddler that he is...

Amazing the amount of people who were seduced* by Pauline.

*

Honestly, it's not that hard to work out that Pauline is a front for the Libs, why would you give the red headed clown any more credence than she deserves (which is three fifths of fxxx all)

[RB]

I doubt he’ll last a year in her colours

I’m giving him one year before he jumps ship to form his own party

I'm about 50-50 as to whether he's still with ON in a year's time.

They should have at least half a dozen MPs and MLCs in total. I expect all sorts of shenanigans, party-hopping, fallings out Pauline, and maybe even a couple jumping across to the Libs if the tide looks like turning back towards them down the track.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Well done to the voters of Black for seeing through Spiers' bullshit, hopefully that unflushed turd can now piss off and get a real job, the coke dealing wannabe fiddler that he is...

Amazing the amount of people who were seduced* by Pauline.

*

Honestly, it's not that hard to work out that Pauline is a front for the Libs, why would you give the red headed clown any more credence than she deserves (which is three fifths of fxxx all)

A front for the Libs??? The same Libs preferencing Labor??

[Booney]

Well done to the people who voted ON with their first preference, $6 per vote to Hansen and her Queensland team.